[quote=Hobie][quote=zk][quote=Hobie]Bad economy helps elect a non-incumbent. That is my point.[/quote]
So you have no evidence, then? You just made a wild assumption and you’re convinced of it until convinced otherwise?[/quote]
Why don’t we hear of any flu statistics? Why is there not a side by side comparison of number of flu vs. corona stats? Just sayin'[/quote]
Just sayin’ what? That you can’t come up with any reasonable responses to what I said so you completely change the subject?
Ok.
If flu stats and covid stats were understood by the general public the way they’re understood by scientists, you wouldn’t want them to be hearing about them.
I wrote this on another thread:
When comparing Covid-19 death rate with influenza death rate, virtually everybody (including me) has been using a 0.1% death rate for the flu.
0.1% is actually the case fatality rate for the flu, not the infection fatality rate for the flu.
“Case fatality rate” means deaths per confirmed case. “Infection fatality rate” means deaths per actual infection. Because we don’t test everybody for these infections, the infection fatality rate can only be estimated. Also, the case fatality rate will necessarily be higher than the infection fatality rate.
Technically, the case fatality rate for Covid-19 is some very-high number (because we test so few people) that means nothing right now. But the estimated infection fatality rate of Covid-19 seems to be around 0.5% to 0.8%. The infection fatality rate of influenza is estimated between 0.025% and 0.05%.
That makes infection with the novel coronavirus somewhere between 10 and 32 times deadlier than infection with an influenza virus.
And don’t forget, it’s also wildly more contagious than influenza.
If we compare, for instance, the number of people who died in the United States from COVID-19 in the second full week of April to the number of people who died from influenza during the worst week of the past seven flu seasons (as reported to the CDC), we find that the novel coronavirus killed between 9.5 and 44 times more people than seasonal flu. In other words, the coronavirus is not anything like the flu: It is much, much worse.
Remember, there were lock downs in place a lot of places during that time frame for covid. But not for influenza during its worst week of the last 7 years. There obviously would have been far more deaths from covid than during that week without the lock downs. So it’s possible the numbers are even worse than that.
