China is interesting because without us they don’t have much of an export market. That is changing as their middle class grows, but I wonder what they’d rather lose: their #1 market or their #1 supply of oil. Chicken or the egg, it seems.
I also wonder where India would align themselves. I’m not very privy to India’s current geo-political position, but they are turning out to be quite the oil consumer as well.
I can see it now:
USA/Israel vs. Iran/Syria/Russia/China/India/Everyone Else … odds don’t look too promising.
