This prophet prognosticates: 40% chance of mild depression lasting less than 1.75 years. Caveats: all bets are are off if any dirty bombs go off or if Iran goes nuclear forcing a new war with the West.

In general, CNBC always has a bunch of experts on giving their opinions on such matters.

Beatus ille qui procul negotiis … paterna rura bobus exercet suis, solutus omni fenore….. Horace