IHME model implies a peak in mid-April, and those models have been pretty accurate thus far…

https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america/california

California started mass house arrest and store closings around mid-March, and time from infection to diagnosis is 2-4 weeks at most. Social interaction has likely been decreased by 80-90%, so there’s no way that r^0 is above 1.0 at this point.