[quote=millennial][quote=CA renter]Yep. I’ve been telling people that if Bernie didn’t make it past Clinton’s firewall, Trump would win in November.[/quote]

I really can’t see how Trump can win when his appeal is to such a small minority of people. Yes you are correct that he creates very strong reactions one way or the other, but his chances to win are slim to none. The only scenario I could see him winning is if it was a tight race between 3 or more candidates. I think he has a strong appeal to 25%-35% of the population (predominately white, male, lower-middle class) who will make it in droves to the voting booths. However the rest of America loathes him.[/quote]

Trump’s appeal isn’t the right way of looking at this election. Hillary’s appeal is rather low as well. This election comes down to how the people that don’t really like either candidate vote or don’t vote for them. I think Hillary will probably win. She’ll possibly win big if voter turnout is good, but I don’t think voter turnout is going to be very good. Trump’s path to victory is low voter turnout. Are the disenfranchised Black and Hispanic voter who tend to vote at polling places going to show up and possibly wait in line to vote for Hillary. They did enthusiastically for Obama but I don’t really see it for Hillary.