I have a feeling the March 15th primaries will end Bernie’s campaign. Although the polls were badly wrong in Michigan, March 15th has a bunch of big states Hillary should carry by decent margins. Even if there’s one surprise (Ohio?) she’s likely to build a pledged delegate lead big enough the narrative will more or less call her the winner.

Still, after that it’s a sparse calendar with a month of mostly Western states that Bernie should do OK in. I could see him hanging on until New York in mid-April where Hillary will look to throw the Knock-out punch.