[quote=paramount][quote=flu]Well it looks like Cruz is going to win Iowa.[/quote]
Thankfully…
BTW, pay no attention to Iowa.
The Iowa process is ridiculous, focused on ethanol and not much more.
Does anyone even understand how the Iowa ‘voting’ process truly works?[/quote]
True that!!! And what svelte said about Iowa’s track record. Iowa has about as many people as San Diego County and does not have a demographic representation of the country as a whole. This thread was not about your personal choice nor was it about what might happen if congress gets to pick, it was a prediction thread.
When I make predictions, I try to take my emotions out of it and make observations. I have an advantage, I have a mother who has voted in every election she was eligible to and she has never not voted for the winner in the presidential election, can’t say the same about myself or my father. She’s nearing 70 so that’s 50 years of a perfect record. Dad and I both picked Ross Perot and pops liked Ron Paul. But mom is a flip flopper, changing her party affiliation before primaries and for 50 years she’s picked correctly. I’ll let you know who she picks, but thus far she has issues with Hillary so I’m doubting that will be her pick. My suspicion is Bernie if he holds up. She’s lucky because she has lived in California her whole life and our primary is like picking the Superbowl winner in the 4th quarter.
But my new observation is the future Mrs. TG, she’s the opposite of mom in that she is in her late 40’s and this will be her first time voting despite being born in California. She watched the 1st republican debate and registered as a republican because she loved it and fell for some of the candidates. She had seen debates in the past but this one inspired her and scared her at the same time. I just watched, knowing I had another person to observe and learn from. I know what I think, but I’m smart enough to know I am not the majority. Observing others helped me time the real estate market and make other financial choices, mostly to my benefit. Observing without judging will help you make predictions.
But the night of the Iowa caucus she began to fully understand the primary process and she started to get angry. She got angry that Cali goes near the end and places like Iowa and New Hampshire have undue influence. I believe she said “screw it, by the time I get to vote, my favorite might already be out, that’s crap, we should all vote at the same time.”
After an hour of explanation, her was response was “It’s still crap.” To which I have no argument, it is crap. An hour later my daughter called from college to brag about Bernie’s results, enter woman # three for my non scientific observational experiment. She’s volunteering to sign up voters and will probably campaign for Bernie.
Here are the informal results, Fiance likes Trump, Rubio, Christie and Kasich on the repub side, Bernie on the Dem side. Daughter is Bernie all the way and mom is still deliberating (but she is key, the other two are rookies). Daughter hates everyone not named Bernie, Fiance hates Rand Paul, Huckabee, Fiorina and Hillary. Mom has issues with Hillary, but she keeps her opinion quiet until almost post time.
All 3 were disgusted by Cruz’ shady tactics in Iowa.
My predictions, Cruz gets some serious backlash and Hillary falters as time goes on, the more people hear her, the less they trust her or like her.
My wager-Bernie vs. Rubio or Trump, yet I think hillary’s machine may get her the nomination. so I would hold back any real wager.
What I want, that doesn’t matter and I do not need to tell you because I do not live in Iowa so I do not caucus. I would love to see trump and bernie go head to head or on the same ticket so we can try an experiment in either direction and see if it works. But I’ll wait for mom to weigh in since she has a better track record than the state of Iowa.
