[quote=markmax33]SK in CV,
I’m sorry but you clearly show you don’t understand polls or how polling numbers work. You can skew any system in your favor. How come Ron Paul has won more straw polls than everyone else, wins every single debate poll, even the ones linked to facebook account where you can only vote once, etc? You clearly don’t realize the “national polls” are incorrect in their methodology of only calling registered 60+ year old voters with landlines. THEY DON’T CALL CELL PHONES. He is around 20% among the republican party and if you throw in the disgruntled democrats who can’t vote he’ll easily capture another 10% from there. That doesn’t include the independents that will obviously mostly vote for him. New Hampshire has like 40% independents. That puts him at 30%+ going into the general election. The math is there, he can win. Stop spreading hate and discontent and think critically sir.[/quote]
I’m thinking hard here. Trying to remember when a a candidate won a general election with 30% support. Hmmm….. Pretty sure the answer is never.
And no the math is not there. All pollsters do not only use land lines. Each of the last 10 polls listed on Real Clear Politics used both cell and landlines. Landline only polls (based on 2010 election results) tend to bias towards Republicans by 5-7%. If there is a bias away from Ron Paul within the Republican party on landline only polls, I’ve yet to see the evidence. But since pollsters all appear to be polling with a combination of cells/landlines, it appears to be a moot point.
Sorry that the math is so unsupportive of your dream.