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Thanks for that link. I had not seen this site before. David Lereah’s last presentation was surprising; he admits the rough times ahead. It’s quite different from what he says on TV.
The guy may be the enemy, but he comes up with some pretty bitchin graphs. I think that there were a few slides that were smoke, but most seem to be in line with what we have been pointing out in the SoCal market for some time: rising costs, stagnant wages, net migration out of Cali, etc.
I thought it was a bit telling to see his slides on immigration. I can’t remember which presentation file it was, but he seemed to basically show that immigrants will be making up a major portion of America’s population in the future and that they are a potential market for real estate. I always had an inkling that the real estate industry was in favor of illegal immigration and seeing this helped confirm my suspicions.
fascinating indeed!
these graphs tell a very different story than NAR media snippets. Interestingly, he singles out SD several times, especially when highlighting the incredibly high mortage/income ratio (45%). This is on slide 25 of this latest presentation from the Leadship Summit (August 2006).
Thanks for a great link!
Astounding.
Now that cash-out refis are evaporating, due to appreciation capping or even turning, what will happen to consumer spending in San Diego?
45% of income to mortgage debt service??? On average??? Wow!
Indeed a great and insightful presentation. For the longest time, I wished I were a fly on the wall to some of the NAR meetings. I wonder no more…….reality check is here.
Thank you for the article