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August 22, 2006 at 9:10 AM #7266August 22, 2006 at 9:14 AM #32637JESParticipant
Thanks UTC. You can listen on the net at:
August 22, 2006 at 9:29 AM #32639JESParticipantAugust 22, 2006 at 9:35 AM #32641lendingbubblecontinuesParticipantNice comment, Peter, whoever you are!
This guest was a complete liar…Dan Holbrook(sp?), AtVantage Realty in SD. He’s a developer–what do you think he might say about the local housing market?
August 22, 2006 at 9:42 AM #32643UTC renterParticipantthanks 😉
it was quite amusing how he turned my comment:
“well, here is a specific example of a huge drop — I gave example of the park place property that sold at 100K+ loss, and there are 60 more at: http://sandiegomarketmonitor.blogspot.com”
into:
“well, this is unique to downtown, and (complete non-sequitur) we expect 7% appreciation national appreciation, and perhaps 2% for san diego”of course, it is pointless arguing with those people, but perhaps some poor soul out there will think twice about jumping into too-deep water
Somehow all this reminds me of this joke: “how can you tell a real-estate economist is lying? His lips are moving”.
August 22, 2006 at 9:58 AM #32644anParticipantI used to listen to Dan Holbrook everyday when I had to commute for work. Over the last year, his tone has change dramatically. Although he still hasn’t admit that RE is falling, last year, he was saying this is the best time to buy and he’s expecting 8-10% appreciation. Now, he’s saying don’t by RE retail, call him and he’ll show you how to buy it wholesale.
August 22, 2006 at 10:03 AM #32645pencilneckParticipantGreat call, UTC! I was wondering if that was someone who read Piggington’s.
These Day’s at 11:00 am will also be real estate related, sorry I can’t recall the exact topic.
Just fyi to all of those KPBS listeners out there.
August 22, 2006 at 10:54 AM #32653PerryChaseParticipantasianautica, who is Dan Holbrook? Does he have his own show on radio?
August 22, 2006 at 10:58 AM #32655pencilneckParticipantIts actually Talk of the Nation, and the discussion will be the end of the housing boom.
August 22, 2006 at 11:18 AM #32659anParticipantYes, he have his own show. It was around 6-7PM, but now, I think it’s around 3-4PM but have rerun @ 6-7PM. He own Atvantage.com. He’s a developer. He mentioned he was burned the last crash. So we’ll see if he learned his lesson or not.
August 22, 2006 at 11:51 AM #32662JESParticipantShiller is hitting it right on the head saying that psychology is the key factor. Listening to this show has really helped me understand how some people are simply in denial, hanging on to any bit of evidence that the landing will be soft, while demanding that a guy like Shiller prove that there will be a steep downturn.
Anyone know if this was taped earlier this year? Seems dated..
August 22, 2006 at 11:53 AM #32666anParticipantIt’s also funny how right after the lady guest mentioned that if you plan to stay in a house 5-10 years, you’re 100% safe from the down turn, he mentioned that there’s a huge boom in the 1880s and it didn’t recover until 1970s. That just come to show nothing is a sure thing.
August 22, 2006 at 11:56 AM #32667anParticipantIt’s also funny how right after the lady guest mentioned that if you plan to stay in a house 5-10 years, you’re 100% safe from the down turn, he mentioned that there’s a huge boom in the 1880s and it didn’t recover until 1970s. That just come to show nothing is a sure thing.
August 22, 2006 at 12:00 PM #32668anParticipantduplicate post.
August 22, 2006 at 6:11 PM #32753PerryChaseParticipanthttp://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=5690967
Here’s the link to the NPR Talk of the Nation show. Robert Shiller is a guest also.
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