I have never read here and seen so many delusional posts. I am still laughing because I know waiting hawk is playing Jedi Mind Tricks on you guys by joining in and encouraging it. Temecula is not Carlsbad and never will be, the market here will fall before S.D. and will recover afterwards, but to think high density untis, liquor stores, check cashing places and blight will overtake the town is just silly. The poster about white fight had me rolling, here is why those predisctions will not happen.
Here is why it will not happen.
1. The video is not shot in Temecula, it is on the furthest Northern edge of Murrieta, 15 miles from central Temecula, two school districts away and some of it’s problems have to do with a publicity surrounding a sex offender that moved into that tract, not the entire reason, but a contributing one. That tract is almost the same Distance from the most populous zip code in Temecula as Carlsbad is to Escondido.
2. The entire city limits of Temecula is zoned and almost all of it is under construction or permitted, the actual city is approaching build out.
3. The $530,000,000 in annual tourism and inordinate retail has given the city more discretional income than almost any city it’s size. It’s Police per resident ratio is higher than any S.D. or Riverside county town with the exception of Carlsbad (tied) and has crime rates lower than almost any S.D. city.
4. It does not have a single apartment building in 92592, it’s most populous zip code in excess of 50k residents. It is routinely is in trouble for lack of affordable housing and is routinely in danger of losing it’s gas tax revenues because it lacks mandated section 8 housing minimums, it cleverly avoids penalties by expanding city owned or rent controlled senior housing. The city is so strict they didn’t want a hooters and when they couldn’t stop it they refused to let them have their signature orange sign.
5. The schools aren’t just good, they are in a league with Poway and North Coastal districts. In Riverside and San Bernadino counties combined, 16 of the top 20 schools in those two couties were in the Temecula Unified, #1 Elementary and #1 High School, I compared the API’s to Poway and it’s almost a dead heat (edge going to Poway), to compare them to Santee is just goofy.
6. The bust of a massage parlor is because they actually have undercover cops working on those things, think that stuff doesn’t happen in your town, check craigs list and search in your town in the erotics services section, you’ll be surprised. The reality is most cities don’t have the manpower to deal with that stuff, they do.
7. Demographics- use Yahoo neigborhood profiles, SanDag (you can get crime rates there too), whatever demographics you want to, look at houshold income, education, home ownership rates, married rates, race, whatever you want and then check your town and you will see that the potential for temecula to become National City is non existent.
Finally, I only defend my neck of the woods because the sterotypes on this post are outrageous. I should play it like Hawk does and try to keep my island for myself. I did however sell in early 2006 because I firmly believe things will fall dramatically here and if S.D. falls the commuters can return so prices will fall further here. Then I will buy back in. Gas is a factor but mostly the reason it will fall first is that more homes were built and bought during the boom and the the rate of exotic loans is higher, plus there are more builders trying to finish off what they started. In the three neighborhoods I’ve lived in almost 90% of my neighbors moved here from S.D. or O.C. so the wife could stay home because she had to work in order for them to live in O.C. or S.D., the PTA volunteer hours are staggering. This is hardly the recepie for urban blight.
Or you could chalk me up as a homer and then agree to stay off my island.
