If you pay me a consulting fee, I’ll give you all the data you want, siamcat. In the meantime, you can read it for free on Roubini’s blog. Just today, he wrote an entry about how economists almost never predict a recession; most are so bad at their jobs. But I am sticking my neck out to make a recession call. Beat me up if you want, but that won’t make me change my mind. Only a change in incoming data would reverse my recession call.