I agree the topic is tired at this point. You ignore the facts that do not fit your side such as the rallies in the recessionary years. There is not one 20% number in over a hundred numbers anywhere on the first page of the newsletter, I am looking at it right now.
Please do not misquote me in a public forum like this.
To answer your question about a recession being possible, absolutely it is. Also, could the market rally fail to materialize, absolutely. I outlined the conditions in the newsletter that would invalidate the setup. It is unfair of you not to mention these things that I have written that you have seen but others here have not without having them in the proper context.
I have just said there is likely to be a stock rally. I have said it itleast 50 times in here, I COULD BE WRONG. I am not sure that I have ever seen you type those words. Knowone knows the future. I could care less if there is a recession or not. That link is one that you drew. It is not part of my consideration to buy or sell stocks.
You will learn through time going forward that stocks can and have at times rallied during recessionary periods. This is a historical fact, it has happened in the past and will again during some down periods. These absolutes you draw are often not completely accurate.
You need to tighten some of these things up for your consulting because they are known by people with experience and you do not want your credibility undermined. It is ok to have strong opinions, but they need to be backed by the numbers. Absolutes are out there in some areas, but relationships that have had variations should not be presented as absolutes.
