I begin by stating that everyone has the right to thier opinion, but here is my rebuttal to this.
The answers to the question about selling those secrets is yes they would. I have given some very valuable pieces of information out here about trading only to be challenged and mimicked about a few of them. Ironically, this is the exact reaction I expected and was somewhat of a trial balloon for me. I am now much less worried about revealing things. The reason for this is in the spirit of your message, most people will not follow it anyway because they think they know better.
This model is absolutely terriffic, it filters out alot of noise. Another reason people sell things like this is to “fill in the periods of underperformance in their method.” Systematic approaches to anything still have periods of under performance, and cash flows from other sources help smooth out the monthly income. It is the only reason I offer my services, because on balance it is very time consuming and frustrating to deal with the public in general.
I used a modified version of his model to time selling my property in Newport Beach at the exact high of the market. I have clients that pay me for access to timing trading signals that work, and yet some of them do not follow all of them. They hand pick some and disregard others, then call and ask questions.
You would be surprised at the questions I get some times, when the answers are always, just follow the system. People in general have to tinker with everything, so there is not in reality great risk of an edge being diminished by revealing it, sad but true.
It is human nature to be undisciplined and that greatly reduces the risk of revealing a great secret about something. I have done the research on each of the five categories and confirmed that they are in fact signinficant leading indicators of price. He also mentions interest rates as being alot less important than many other things, and this matches my research exactly. This was a surprising discovery when I found it 2 yrs ago. Ignore it if you wish, but it just gives me that much more of an edge over you when the next buy cycle comes up.
His book makes no such claim about being the ticket to riches, you must not have read the book. All it gives is a mechanical model to buying and selling. Most people would be much better served with rule based decsion making than all of these aribtrary things they come up with that they use to make decisions.
The only negative with Robert is that he is a little hyper, and that he has close relationships with the Anderson guys at UCLA. However, he is much more bearish than they are. He had a seminar this year with several great speakers one of whom specializes in PAT (Private Annuity Trust) transactions.
I guess if I have typos that will diminish my credibility in my post, so I hope I do not have any.
