- This topic has 7 replies, 4 voices, and was last updated 4 years, 7 months ago by
svelte.
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January 12, 2019 at 8:48 PM #22655January 12, 2019 at 9:09 PM #811585
gzz
ParticipantMy prediction last year was 6%.
https://www.piggington.com/downgrading_my_2018_forecast_sd_re_6
Two years ago I said 5-7%
https://www.piggington.com/what_do_you_think_will_happen_san_diego_real_estate_prices_2017
Three years ago I said 11%
https://www.piggington.com/2016_housing_prices_predictions_where_do_you_see_sd_county_sfh
Four years ago I said 15% over 2 years.
https://www.piggington.com/would_you_purchase_or_wait_my_position
February 7, 2019 at 12:50 PM #811713gzz
ParticipantAverage mortgage rates in 2019 so far are below the 2018 full year average:
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/mortgage-rates-fall-on-worries-about-global-economy-2019-02-07
Could 2019 also be a year where the treasury/mortgage spread goes down?
January 22, 2020 at 11:12 AM #814420gzz
ParticipantHey, I hit my price prediction directly on the nose last year.
January 22, 2020 at 3:49 PM #814421carlsbadworker
ParticipantWhat’s your prediction for 2020?
January 22, 2020 at 4:22 PM #814422gzz
ParticipantI’ll go with 8%, no large differences between single family and condo.
Unfortunately the many sources of rent data disagree on this important factor.
ApartmentGuide.com says SD 2 bed rentals are up 16%.
Rent Jungle says down 4%.
CoreLogic says up 3%.
Average the three and you get up 5%.
The prices at new coastal complexes are staggering. Jefferson “PB” is actually next to the 5 ramp on the wrong side of Mission Bay Drive and a 52 minute walk to the actual beach. You can’t really walk to anything other than maybe the In N Out.
Yet the cheapest 580sf studio is $2300 and the cheapest 1000sf 2 bedroom is $3600, with the 1400sf floorplans going for $4500.
January 22, 2020 at 4:50 PM #814423The-Shoveler
ParticipantWow people must really hate to commute LOL.
You could own a good size house for the rent money on the 2 bed up the road an hour or so.
More power to them.
January 22, 2020 at 7:24 PM #814425svelte
ParticipantSpeaking of commuting, has anyone else noticed traffic is heavier much earlier since Jan 1? Seems like everyone’s new years resolution was to get to work earlier.
Now even 6 AM doesn’t cut it.
By chance I had to go in an hour later one day last week and traffic was lighter than at 6 AM! I think all those folks shifted earlier…
Let’s see how long that resolution lasts. Will probably be like the gym…
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