I have always maintained that the first break through President, either female, black or latino, will likely be from the GOP.
As long as you fit their mold of family values or whatever the theme of the days is they’ll back you regardless. People were begging JC Watts to get involved years back, but he didn’t seem to “want it”. Texans have consistently supported Kay Bailey Hutchinson.
Obama could prove me wrong, but this is what I have believed for quite some time. My theory is that either type running from the right could draw in or steal just enough from the left to make it interesting.