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December 19, 2007 at 4:30 PM #11264December 19, 2007 at 4:53 PM #120920SD RealtorParticipant
One month does not make a trend.
A few thoughts though…
The 10 year treasury yield was pretty darn low in November and may have afforded some an opportunity to refinance. This includes those already in NOD status so that they would not have a NOT filed nor would they go to auction.
Many short sales actually started to move through the clogged pipelines in November. Why it took so long? I do not know. However again, a property in distress that has gets sold via short sale will then drop off the chart. So again, no NOT, no auction. Generally though in order to get a short sale approved the home must be a NOD.
Compared to October, November does have Thanksgiving. Not a huge excuse but hey a few days are a few days right?
Loan workouts by lenders may have actually started to occur in November, again, the 10 year was LOW and opportunity was there so people who needed a possible workout may have indeed achieved it at that time.
Individually, none of these factors makes up 30% compared to October. Collectively they don’t as well however they do account for some of the drop off.
Look, much like a secular depreciating market, the foreclosure numbers will not increase monotonically every single month. Again it is the trend that is important. Yes November showed less then October but show me that behavior for the next 10 months where each month is less then the previous month and I will then take serious note.
SD Realtor
December 19, 2007 at 4:53 PM #121057SD RealtorParticipantOne month does not make a trend.
A few thoughts though…
The 10 year treasury yield was pretty darn low in November and may have afforded some an opportunity to refinance. This includes those already in NOD status so that they would not have a NOT filed nor would they go to auction.
Many short sales actually started to move through the clogged pipelines in November. Why it took so long? I do not know. However again, a property in distress that has gets sold via short sale will then drop off the chart. So again, no NOT, no auction. Generally though in order to get a short sale approved the home must be a NOD.
Compared to October, November does have Thanksgiving. Not a huge excuse but hey a few days are a few days right?
Loan workouts by lenders may have actually started to occur in November, again, the 10 year was LOW and opportunity was there so people who needed a possible workout may have indeed achieved it at that time.
Individually, none of these factors makes up 30% compared to October. Collectively they don’t as well however they do account for some of the drop off.
Look, much like a secular depreciating market, the foreclosure numbers will not increase monotonically every single month. Again it is the trend that is important. Yes November showed less then October but show me that behavior for the next 10 months where each month is less then the previous month and I will then take serious note.
SD Realtor
December 19, 2007 at 4:53 PM #121090SD RealtorParticipantOne month does not make a trend.
A few thoughts though…
The 10 year treasury yield was pretty darn low in November and may have afforded some an opportunity to refinance. This includes those already in NOD status so that they would not have a NOT filed nor would they go to auction.
Many short sales actually started to move through the clogged pipelines in November. Why it took so long? I do not know. However again, a property in distress that has gets sold via short sale will then drop off the chart. So again, no NOT, no auction. Generally though in order to get a short sale approved the home must be a NOD.
Compared to October, November does have Thanksgiving. Not a huge excuse but hey a few days are a few days right?
Loan workouts by lenders may have actually started to occur in November, again, the 10 year was LOW and opportunity was there so people who needed a possible workout may have indeed achieved it at that time.
Individually, none of these factors makes up 30% compared to October. Collectively they don’t as well however they do account for some of the drop off.
Look, much like a secular depreciating market, the foreclosure numbers will not increase monotonically every single month. Again it is the trend that is important. Yes November showed less then October but show me that behavior for the next 10 months where each month is less then the previous month and I will then take serious note.
SD Realtor
December 19, 2007 at 4:53 PM #121138SD RealtorParticipantOne month does not make a trend.
A few thoughts though…
The 10 year treasury yield was pretty darn low in November and may have afforded some an opportunity to refinance. This includes those already in NOD status so that they would not have a NOT filed nor would they go to auction.
Many short sales actually started to move through the clogged pipelines in November. Why it took so long? I do not know. However again, a property in distress that has gets sold via short sale will then drop off the chart. So again, no NOT, no auction. Generally though in order to get a short sale approved the home must be a NOD.
Compared to October, November does have Thanksgiving. Not a huge excuse but hey a few days are a few days right?
Loan workouts by lenders may have actually started to occur in November, again, the 10 year was LOW and opportunity was there so people who needed a possible workout may have indeed achieved it at that time.
Individually, none of these factors makes up 30% compared to October. Collectively they don’t as well however they do account for some of the drop off.
Look, much like a secular depreciating market, the foreclosure numbers will not increase monotonically every single month. Again it is the trend that is important. Yes November showed less then October but show me that behavior for the next 10 months where each month is less then the previous month and I will then take serious note.
SD Realtor
December 19, 2007 at 4:53 PM #121161SD RealtorParticipantOne month does not make a trend.
A few thoughts though…
The 10 year treasury yield was pretty darn low in November and may have afforded some an opportunity to refinance. This includes those already in NOD status so that they would not have a NOT filed nor would they go to auction.
Many short sales actually started to move through the clogged pipelines in November. Why it took so long? I do not know. However again, a property in distress that has gets sold via short sale will then drop off the chart. So again, no NOT, no auction. Generally though in order to get a short sale approved the home must be a NOD.
Compared to October, November does have Thanksgiving. Not a huge excuse but hey a few days are a few days right?
Loan workouts by lenders may have actually started to occur in November, again, the 10 year was LOW and opportunity was there so people who needed a possible workout may have indeed achieved it at that time.
Individually, none of these factors makes up 30% compared to October. Collectively they don’t as well however they do account for some of the drop off.
Look, much like a secular depreciating market, the foreclosure numbers will not increase monotonically every single month. Again it is the trend that is important. Yes November showed less then October but show me that behavior for the next 10 months where each month is less then the previous month and I will then take serious note.
SD Realtor
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