[sdduuuude]

[quote=sdrealtor]
550K to 700K now 450K to 600K
700K to 850K now 600K to 700K
850K to 1M now 700K to 850K
1M to 1.25M now 850K to 1M
1.25M to 1.5M now 1M to 1.2M
[/quote]

OK. That’s useful. Thanks. Looks like it’s down 15-20%, roughly. Not sure I really have any follow-up questions now that I htink about it. Just trying to understand the market up there.

One thought I have is – I, personally, don’t understand why that place is so expensive in the first place. It isn’t my cup of tea. I’d rather live in an 800K UC house than an 800K house in those zip codes. It is too far north for me, which means a bad commute, and nothing to do. So, I don’t have a handle on that market at all.

Here’s a Q for you – how much for a small house (1700-2000 sq. ft) on a 10K sq. ft canyon lot up there? Do houses that small even exist ?

I still object to your concept that sales are down because there is not enough inventory. That just doesn’t make sense, especially in light of the 20% reduction over the time period in which both sales and prices were falling. Though you are probably seeing a much better balance in supply/demand now, with both down significantly from where they once were.

Also, the dichotomoy in the economy is fascinating to me. Some have been devastated, while others are totally unaffected or thriving. I was just pondering this today. It’s almost like there are two economies out there. I’m not sure exactly what separates them.

So, up or down for the next 2 years ?

[sdduuuude]

[quote=sdrealtor]
550K to 700K now 450K to 600K
700K to 850K now 600K to 700K
850K to 1M now 700K to 850K
1M to 1.25M now 850K to 1M
1.25M to 1.5M now 1M to 1.2M
[/quote]

OK. That’s useful. Thanks. Looks like it’s down 15-20%, roughly. Not sure I really have any follow-up questions now that I htink about it. Just trying to understand the market up there.

One thought I have is – I, personally, don’t understand why that place is so expensive in the first place. It isn’t my cup of tea. I’d rather live in an 800K UC house than an 800K house in those zip codes. It is too far north for me, which means a bad commute, and nothing to do. So, I don’t have a handle on that market at all.

Here’s a Q for you – how much for a small house (1700-2000 sq. ft) on a 10K sq. ft canyon lot up there? Do houses that small even exist ?

I still object to your concept that sales are down because there is not enough inventory. That just doesn’t make sense, especially in light of the 20% reduction over the time period in which both sales and prices were falling. Though you are probably seeing a much better balance in supply/demand now, with both down significantly from where they once were.

Also, the dichotomoy in the economy is fascinating to me. Some have been devastated, while others are totally unaffected or thriving. I was just pondering this today. It’s almost like there are two economies out there. I’m not sure exactly what separates them.

So, up or down for the next 2 years ?

[sdduuuude]

[quote=sdrealtor]
550K to 700K now 450K to 600K
700K to 850K now 600K to 700K
850K to 1M now 700K to 850K
1M to 1.25M now 850K to 1M
1.25M to 1.5M now 1M to 1.2M
[/quote]

OK. That’s useful. Thanks. Looks like it’s down 15-20%, roughly. Not sure I really have any follow-up questions now that I htink about it. Just trying to understand the market up there.

One thought I have is – I, personally, don’t understand why that place is so expensive in the first place. It isn’t my cup of tea. I’d rather live in an 800K UC house than an 800K house in those zip codes. It is too far north for me, which means a bad commute, and nothing to do. So, I don’t have a handle on that market at all.

Here’s a Q for you – how much for a small house (1700-2000 sq. ft) on a 10K sq. ft canyon lot up there? Do houses that small even exist ?

I still object to your concept that sales are down because there is not enough inventory. That just doesn’t make sense, especially in light of the 20% reduction over the time period in which both sales and prices were falling. Though you are probably seeing a much better balance in supply/demand now, with both down significantly from where they once were.

Also, the dichotomoy in the economy is fascinating to me. Some have been devastated, while others are totally unaffected or thriving. I was just pondering this today. It’s almost like there are two economies out there. I’m not sure exactly what separates them.

So, up or down for the next 2 years ?

[sdduuuude]

[quote=sdrealtor]
550K to 700K now 450K to 600K
700K to 850K now 600K to 700K
850K to 1M now 700K to 850K
1M to 1.25M now 850K to 1M
1.25M to 1.5M now 1M to 1.2M
[/quote]

OK. That’s useful. Thanks. Looks like it’s down 15-20%, roughly. Not sure I really have any follow-up questions now that I htink about it. Just trying to understand the market up there.

One thought I have is – I, personally, don’t understand why that place is so expensive in the first place. It isn’t my cup of tea. I’d rather live in an 800K UC house than an 800K house in those zip codes. It is too far north for me, which means a bad commute, and nothing to do. So, I don’t have a handle on that market at all.

Here’s a Q for you – how much for a small house (1700-2000 sq. ft) on a 10K sq. ft canyon lot up there? Do houses that small even exist ?

I still object to your concept that sales are down because there is not enough inventory. That just doesn’t make sense, especially in light of the 20% reduction over the time period in which both sales and prices were falling. Though you are probably seeing a much better balance in supply/demand now, with both down significantly from where they once were.

Also, the dichotomoy in the economy is fascinating to me. Some have been devastated, while others are totally unaffected or thriving. I was just pondering this today. It’s almost like there are two economies out there. I’m not sure exactly what separates them.

So, up or down for the next 2 years ?

[sdduuuude]

So, sdr, I’m hoping you can clarify something for me.

Lets start by breaking your market up into price segments. These are prices as of the peak – say 2005 or 2006, whenever you say the peak is.

Lets say at the peak, price ranges were:
500K – 750K,
750 – 1M,
1.25 – 1.5,
1.5M – 2M, and
2M – 3M.

(Anything higher doesn’t register with me and is such a small number of unique sales, it’s hard to quantify.)

To what levels would you say those ranges have shifted today? And in 2 years, where do you think they’ll be ?

Ranges don’t have to stay the same size. i.e. 1M can move to 900K, while 1.5M can move to 1.2M.

Anyone can play, by the way. Lets keep it to only sdr’s zip codes for now.

Thanks. I’ll have follow-on Q’s for you after this.

[sdduuuude]

So, sdr, I’m hoping you can clarify something for me.

Lets start by breaking your market up into price segments. These are prices as of the peak – say 2005 or 2006, whenever you say the peak is.

Lets say at the peak, price ranges were:
500K – 750K,
750 – 1M,
1.25 – 1.5,
1.5M – 2M, and
2M – 3M.

(Anything higher doesn’t register with me and is such a small number of unique sales, it’s hard to quantify.)

To what levels would you say those ranges have shifted today? And in 2 years, where do you think they’ll be ?

Ranges don’t have to stay the same size. i.e. 1M can move to 900K, while 1.5M can move to 1.2M.

Anyone can play, by the way. Lets keep it to only sdr’s zip codes for now.

Thanks. I’ll have follow-on Q’s for you after this.

[sdduuuude]

So, sdr, I’m hoping you can clarify something for me.

Lets start by breaking your market up into price segments. These are prices as of the peak – say 2005 or 2006, whenever you say the peak is.

Lets say at the peak, price ranges were:
500K – 750K,
750 – 1M,
1.25 – 1.5,
1.5M – 2M, and
2M – 3M.

(Anything higher doesn’t register with me and is such a small number of unique sales, it’s hard to quantify.)

To what levels would you say those ranges have shifted today? And in 2 years, where do you think they’ll be ?

Ranges don’t have to stay the same size. i.e. 1M can move to 900K, while 1.5M can move to 1.2M.

Anyone can play, by the way. Lets keep it to only sdr’s zip codes for now.

Thanks. I’ll have follow-on Q’s for you after this.

[sdduuuude]

So, sdr, I’m hoping you can clarify something for me.

Lets start by breaking your market up into price segments. These are prices as of the peak – say 2005 or 2006, whenever you say the peak is.

Lets say at the peak, price ranges were:
500K – 750K,
750 – 1M,
1.25 – 1.5,
1.5M – 2M, and
2M – 3M.

(Anything higher doesn’t register with me and is such a small number of unique sales, it’s hard to quantify.)

To what levels would you say those ranges have shifted today? And in 2 years, where do you think they’ll be ?

Ranges don’t have to stay the same size. i.e. 1M can move to 900K, while 1.5M can move to 1.2M.

Anyone can play, by the way. Lets keep it to only sdr’s zip codes for now.

Thanks. I’ll have follow-on Q’s for you after this.

[sdduuuude]

So, sdr, I’m hoping you can clarify something for me.

Lets start by breaking your market up into price segments. These are prices as of the peak – say 2005 or 2006, whenever you say the peak is.

Lets say at the peak, price ranges were:
500K – 750K,
750 – 1M,
1.25 – 1.5,
1.5M – 2M, and
2M – 3M.

(Anything higher doesn’t register with me and is such a small number of unique sales, it’s hard to quantify.)

To what levels would you say those ranges have shifted today? And in 2 years, where do you think they’ll be ?

Ranges don’t have to stay the same size. i.e. 1M can move to 900K, while 1.5M can move to 1.2M.

Anyone can play, by the way. Lets keep it to only sdr’s zip codes for now.

Thanks. I’ll have follow-on Q’s for you after this.

[sdduuuude]

Just what I don’t need – an indoor activity in San Diego. Maybe in Alaska or something …. ?!

[sdduuuude]

Just what I don’t need – an indoor activity in San Diego. Maybe in Alaska or something …. ?!

[sdduuuude]

Just what I don’t need – an indoor activity in San Diego. Maybe in Alaska or something …. ?!

[sdduuuude]

Just what I don’t need – an indoor activity in San Diego. Maybe in Alaska or something …. ?!

[sdduuuude]

Just what I don’t need – an indoor activity in San Diego. Maybe in Alaska or something …. ?!

[sdduuuude]

[quote=sdrealtor] … the vast majority of your neighbors are just as responsible as you are.[/quote]

Probably so, but it takes a vast minority of households to go bad to affect the market. The market is priced on the margin, which means all house values fluctuate based on only those that sell.

I can’t argue that this market is currently stable, but I can’t see round 2 missing this market. A nasty stock market year could really hurt the high end, though it would take time to manifest itself.

[Author]

Posts