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(former)FormerSanDiegan
ParticipantAs for current rental rate conditions in the SD area, they appear to be tracking inflation at least through 1Q2008 …
http://www.signonsandiego.com/news/business/20080417-9999-1b17rent.html
http://www.nctimes.com/articles/2008/04/18/business/556f18fc997c15ad8825742e0061b53a.txt
P.S. – As for the original topic regarding flattening of inventory … This is necessary, but not sifficient for price stabilization. We need to see an extended period of increasing sales at the current inventory levels to even talk about a bottom. Once we see decreasing Months of inventory (and account for seasonality), then you can start to think about price stabilization.
ParticipantSure …
If rents fall, then one should adjust the anticipated price range downward accordingly.Similarly, if interest rates are outside of the range assumed then one would have to adjust price expectations also.
I am not really predicting the future of these parameters, just using current ranges for both in projecting forward.
One thing I learned from this site is that deviations from the long-term trend tend to revert.
Rents have risen roughly in line with inflation for the past three decades. So, real rents may decline (nominal rates lower than inflation) n the near term, but I do not try to outsmart the averages.
ParticipantSure …
If rents fall, then one should adjust the anticipated price range downward accordingly.Similarly, if interest rates are outside of the range assumed then one would have to adjust price expectations also.
I am not really predicting the future of these parameters, just using current ranges for both in projecting forward.
One thing I learned from this site is that deviations from the long-term trend tend to revert.
Rents have risen roughly in line with inflation for the past three decades. So, real rents may decline (nominal rates lower than inflation) n the near term, but I do not try to outsmart the averages.
ParticipantSure …
If rents fall, then one should adjust the anticipated price range downward accordingly.Similarly, if interest rates are outside of the range assumed then one would have to adjust price expectations also.
I am not really predicting the future of these parameters, just using current ranges for both in projecting forward.
One thing I learned from this site is that deviations from the long-term trend tend to revert.
Rents have risen roughly in line with inflation for the past three decades. So, real rents may decline (nominal rates lower than inflation) n the near term, but I do not try to outsmart the averages.
ParticipantSure …
If rents fall, then one should adjust the anticipated price range downward accordingly.Similarly, if interest rates are outside of the range assumed then one would have to adjust price expectations also.
I am not really predicting the future of these parameters, just using current ranges for both in projecting forward.
One thing I learned from this site is that deviations from the long-term trend tend to revert.
Rents have risen roughly in line with inflation for the past three decades. So, real rents may decline (nominal rates lower than inflation) n the near term, but I do not try to outsmart the averages.
ParticipantSure …
If rents fall, then one should adjust the anticipated price range downward accordingly.Similarly, if interest rates are outside of the range assumed then one would have to adjust price expectations also.
I am not really predicting the future of these parameters, just using current ranges for both in projecting forward.
One thing I learned from this site is that deviations from the long-term trend tend to revert.
Rents have risen roughly in line with inflation for the past three decades. So, real rents may decline (nominal rates lower than inflation) n the near term, but I do not try to outsmart the averages.
ParticipantAssuming interest rates in the ~6.5 to 7% range and rents keeping up with inflation, we could be within 10-15% of price points where buying in Central San Diego (e.g. Clairemont/Mira Mesa) would be sensible in comparison to renting.
ParticipantAssuming interest rates in the ~6.5 to 7% range and rents keeping up with inflation, we could be within 10-15% of price points where buying in Central San Diego (e.g. Clairemont/Mira Mesa) would be sensible in comparison to renting.
ParticipantAssuming interest rates in the ~6.5 to 7% range and rents keeping up with inflation, we could be within 10-15% of price points where buying in Central San Diego (e.g. Clairemont/Mira Mesa) would be sensible in comparison to renting.
ParticipantAssuming interest rates in the ~6.5 to 7% range and rents keeping up with inflation, we could be within 10-15% of price points where buying in Central San Diego (e.g. Clairemont/Mira Mesa) would be sensible in comparison to renting.
ParticipantAssuming interest rates in the ~6.5 to 7% range and rents keeping up with inflation, we could be within 10-15% of price points where buying in Central San Diego (e.g. Clairemont/Mira Mesa) would be sensible in comparison to renting.
ParticipantFirst shorting oil, now fighting the Fed. After that, what’s next ? Putting what’s left on the Padres to win the World Series ?
ParticipantFirst shorting oil, now fighting the Fed. After that, what’s next ? Putting what’s left on the Padres to win the World Series ?
ParticipantFirst shorting oil, now fighting the Fed. After that, what’s next ? Putting what’s left on the Padres to win the World Series ?
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