[(former)FormerSanDiegan]

[quote=capeman]They’re still taking 5% Downs? That means we’re nowhere near bottom.

[/quote]

Not that history is any guide or anything, but we put 5% down on our house in 1996. I don’t think downpayment amounts are indicative of a a housing bottom.

[(former)FormerSanDiegan]

[quote=capeman]They’re still taking 5% Downs? That means we’re nowhere near bottom.

[/quote]

Not that history is any guide or anything, but we put 5% down on our house in 1996. I don’t think downpayment amounts are indicative of a a housing bottom.

[(former)FormerSanDiegan]

[quote=4plexowner]
how’s that buy-and-hold strategy working out for ya’???[/quote]

I actually lightened my position in stocks over the last couple of years in the hopes of buying either RE or stocks in the next bear market.

I am assuming that we are currently in a bear market and a long period where stocks will underperform, so I am playing the cyclical 3-5 year moves.

So, it’s really not a pure buy-and-hold. But either way, right now it really really sucks, because I have about 50% in stocks.

Thanks for asking.

I am willing to entertain alternatives and hedges. What’s your favorite place for your investments currently ?

[(former)FormerSanDiegan]

[quote=4plexowner]
how’s that buy-and-hold strategy working out for ya’???[/quote]

I actually lightened my position in stocks over the last couple of years in the hopes of buying either RE or stocks in the next bear market.

I am assuming that we are currently in a bear market and a long period where stocks will underperform, so I am playing the cyclical 3-5 year moves.

So, it’s really not a pure buy-and-hold. But either way, right now it really really sucks, because I have about 50% in stocks.

Thanks for asking.

I am willing to entertain alternatives and hedges. What’s your favorite place for your investments currently ?

[(former)FormerSanDiegan]

[quote=4plexowner]
how’s that buy-and-hold strategy working out for ya’???[/quote]

I actually lightened my position in stocks over the last couple of years in the hopes of buying either RE or stocks in the next bear market.

I am assuming that we are currently in a bear market and a long period where stocks will underperform, so I am playing the cyclical 3-5 year moves.

So, it’s really not a pure buy-and-hold. But either way, right now it really really sucks, because I have about 50% in stocks.

Thanks for asking.

I am willing to entertain alternatives and hedges. What’s your favorite place for your investments currently ?

[(former)FormerSanDiegan]

[quote=4plexowner]
how’s that buy-and-hold strategy working out for ya’???[/quote]

I actually lightened my position in stocks over the last couple of years in the hopes of buying either RE or stocks in the next bear market.

I am assuming that we are currently in a bear market and a long period where stocks will underperform, so I am playing the cyclical 3-5 year moves.

So, it’s really not a pure buy-and-hold. But either way, right now it really really sucks, because I have about 50% in stocks.

Thanks for asking.

I am willing to entertain alternatives and hedges. What’s your favorite place for your investments currently ?

[(former)FormerSanDiegan]

[quote=4plexowner]
how’s that buy-and-hold strategy working out for ya’???[/quote]

I actually lightened my position in stocks over the last couple of years in the hopes of buying either RE or stocks in the next bear market.

I am assuming that we are currently in a bear market and a long period where stocks will underperform, so I am playing the cyclical 3-5 year moves.

So, it’s really not a pure buy-and-hold. But either way, right now it really really sucks, because I have about 50% in stocks.

Thanks for asking.

I am willing to entertain alternatives and hedges. What’s your favorite place for your investments currently ?

[(former)FormerSanDiegan]

I see my mistake.

I used a broad stock index.

My bad.

[(former)FormerSanDiegan]

I see my mistake.

I used a broad stock index.

My bad.

[(former)FormerSanDiegan]

I see my mistake.

I used a broad stock index.

My bad.

[(former)FormerSanDiegan]

I see my mistake.

I used a broad stock index.

My bad.

[(former)FormerSanDiegan]

I see my mistake.

I used a broad stock index.

My bad.

[(former)FormerSanDiegan]

[quote=4plexowner]”In fact, the recent five-month decline of 31% was the sharpest five months of losses since the bear market of 1937.”

again, from Richard Russell’s Feb 2 missive

notice he didn’t say, “… since the bear market of 2000-2003”
[/quote]

Simple. This decline is steeper than the decline in 2000-2003.

It does not mean there was not a bear market during that period.

[img_assist|nid=10205|title=S&P500|desc=|link=node|align=left|width=100|height=75]

[(former)FormerSanDiegan]

[quote=4plexowner]”In fact, the recent five-month decline of 31% was the sharpest five months of losses since the bear market of 1937.”

again, from Richard Russell’s Feb 2 missive

notice he didn’t say, “… since the bear market of 2000-2003”
[/quote]

Simple. This decline is steeper than the decline in 2000-2003.

It does not mean there was not a bear market during that period.

[img_assist|nid=10205|title=S&P500|desc=|link=node|align=left|width=100|height=75]

[(former)FormerSanDiegan]

[quote=4plexowner]”In fact, the recent five-month decline of 31% was the sharpest five months of losses since the bear market of 1937.”

again, from Richard Russell’s Feb 2 missive

notice he didn’t say, “… since the bear market of 2000-2003”
[/quote]

Simple. This decline is steeper than the decline in 2000-2003.

It does not mean there was not a bear market during that period.

[img_assist|nid=10205|title=S&P500|desc=|link=node|align=left|width=100|height=75]

[Author]

Posts