[Artifact]

I redid the figure from above, but it is not even worth posting – basically the same as last week with a slight increase – needs another month or so of data before it maybe looks interesting.

Jim (or someone else with access) – is it possible to get the cumulative number of REO’s? I think that would be an interesting comparison here.

T

[Artifact]

I redid the figure from above, but it is not even worth posting – basically the same as last week with a slight increase – needs another month or so of data before it maybe looks interesting.

Jim (or someone else with access) – is it possible to get the cumulative number of REO’s? I think that would be an interesting comparison here.

T

[Artifact]

A third figure – I added trendlines to the 2 sets of data for short sales. For total short listings, I excluded the data from 2006. It still shows that in the past few weeks, the numbers have increased. The numbers for percent change are still all over the place. I added the trendline, and it is nominally increasing, but the fit is not significant statistically. If anything, in the past few weeks we have seen an interesting increase in variability (not counting the two weeks with negative changes).

T

[img_assist|nid=3888|title= Short Sale Data|desc=|link=node|align=left|width=466|height=465]

[Artifact]

A third figure – I added trendlines to the 2 sets of data for short sales. For total short listings, I excluded the data from 2006. It still shows that in the past few weeks, the numbers have increased. The numbers for percent change are still all over the place. I added the trendline, and it is nominally increasing, but the fit is not significant statistically. If anything, in the past few weeks we have seen an interesting increase in variability (not counting the two weeks with negative changes).

T

[img_assist|nid=3888|title= Short Sale Data|desc=|link=node|align=left|width=466|height=465]

[Artifact]

Figures – The scales have changed (the short sales ran off of my previous scale!) The percent Short ot toal sales also ran off of my previous scale. I would wait until next week to judge the inflection – but that looks like more than just 2 days worth based on what we have seen. Averaging across the 9 days period, if we assume that ~ 20 short sales were added per day, that would still have been more than a 5% increase.

[img_assist|nid=3886|title= Short Sales and Total Listings|desc=|link=node|align=left|width=466|height=269]
[img_assist|nid=3887|title= Percent Change and Percent Short of Total|desc=|link=node|align=left|width=466|height=269]

[Artifact]

Figures – The scales have changed (the short sales ran off of my previous scale!) The percent Short ot toal sales also ran off of my previous scale. I would wait until next week to judge the inflection – but that looks like more than just 2 days worth based on what we have seen. Averaging across the 9 days period, if we assume that ~ 20 short sales were added per day, that would still have been more than a 5% increase.

[img_assist|nid=3886|title= Short Sales and Total Listings|desc=|link=node|align=left|width=466|height=269]
[img_assist|nid=3887|title= Percent Change and Percent Short of Total|desc=|link=node|align=left|width=466|height=269]

[Artifact]

So let’s start watching the trend graphically – some missing data here that may or may not be available (?) are the cumulative numbers for these categories. As noted above, the numbers are all over the place with so few points to look at – maybe with another month of data and cumulative numbers we will have something more to talk about.

If those with the data keep posting, I can generate the pictures easily enough.

T

[img_assist|nid=3849|title= NOD’s, NOT’s and REO’s|desc=|link=node|align=left|width=466|height=232]

[Artifact]

So let’s start watching the trend graphically – some missing data here that may or may not be available (?) are the cumulative numbers for these categories. As noted above, the numbers are all over the place with so few points to look at – maybe with another month of data and cumulative numbers we will have something more to talk about.

If those with the data keep posting, I can generate the pictures easily enough.

T

[img_assist|nid=3849|title= NOD’s, NOT’s and REO’s|desc=|link=node|align=left|width=466|height=232]

[Artifact]

Figures…The inflection from last week must have just been a random point. Overall the steady increase in the percent short sales of total (green line in the second figure) has remained amazingly linear. Every week the short sales increase more (in percent) than total listings.

[img_assist|nid=3820|title= Short Sales and Total Listings|desc=|link=node|align=left|width=466|height=280]
[img_assist|nid=3821|title= Percent change and percent short of total|desc=|link=node|align=left|width=466|height=301]

[Artifact]

Figures…The inflection from last week must have just been a random point. Overall the steady increase in the percent short sales of total (green line in the second figure) has remained amazingly linear. Every week the short sales increase more (in percent) than total listings.

[img_assist|nid=3820|title= Short Sales and Total Listings|desc=|link=node|align=left|width=466|height=280]
[img_assist|nid=3821|title= Percent change and percent short of total|desc=|link=node|align=left|width=466|height=301]

[Artifact]

It is a good thing all those people moving to San Diego will keep driving demand for housing…

I think my math is good enough to figure out that a net loss in population is in fact less than the number of new homes built in the last year. I am sure someone can spin that story though.

T

[Artifact]

It is a good thing all those people moving to San Diego will keep driving demand for housing…

I think my math is good enough to figure out that a net loss in population is in fact less than the number of new homes built in the last year. I am sure someone can spin that story though.

T

[Artifact]

Figures….

[img_assist|nid=3796|title= Total Listings and Short Sales|desc=|link=node|align=left|width=466|height=317]
[img_assist|nid=3797|title= Percent Change and Percent Short of Total|desc=|link=node|align=left|width=466|height=317]

[Artifact]

Figures….

[img_assist|nid=3796|title= Total Listings and Short Sales|desc=|link=node|align=left|width=466|height=317]
[img_assist|nid=3797|title= Percent Change and Percent Short of Total|desc=|link=node|align=left|width=466|height=317]

[Artifact]

Here are the figures – late again (insert work excuse here) – same trend, both numbers increasing, short sales always increasing slightly faster.

[img_assist|nid=3745|title= Total Listings and Short Sales|desc=|link=node|align=left|width=466|height=278]
[img_assist|nid=3746|title= Percent Increase and Percent Short Sales of Total|desc=|link=node|align=left|width=466|height=278]

[Author]

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