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LuckyInOC.
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March 18, 2009 at 10:59 AM #369852March 18, 2009 at 11:30 AM #369262
davelj
Participant[quote=DWCAP]
I think your challenge is something along these lines. What would you do that is so much better?
Am I right?
[/quote]
Yes. And the answer’s not, “nothing.” Because “nothing” has consequences that no one here wants to live with.
March 18, 2009 at 11:30 AM #369549davelj
Participant[quote=DWCAP]
I think your challenge is something along these lines. What would you do that is so much better?
Am I right?
[/quote]
Yes. And the answer’s not, “nothing.” Because “nothing” has consequences that no one here wants to live with.
March 18, 2009 at 11:30 AM #369715davelj
Participant[quote=DWCAP]
I think your challenge is something along these lines. What would you do that is so much better?
Am I right?
[/quote]
Yes. And the answer’s not, “nothing.” Because “nothing” has consequences that no one here wants to live with.
March 18, 2009 at 11:30 AM #369756davelj
Participant[quote=DWCAP]
I think your challenge is something along these lines. What would you do that is so much better?
Am I right?
[/quote]
Yes. And the answer’s not, “nothing.” Because “nothing” has consequences that no one here wants to live with.
March 18, 2009 at 11:30 AM #369872davelj
Participant[quote=DWCAP]
I think your challenge is something along these lines. What would you do that is so much better?
Am I right?
[/quote]
Yes. And the answer’s not, “nothing.” Because “nothing” has consequences that no one here wants to live with.
March 18, 2009 at 11:49 AM #369272davelj
ParticipantOn a side note – and I can’t believe I’m typing this – I’m actually somewhat optimistic regarding Bernanke’s handling of his end of things.
Yeah, he totally missed the housing bubble. (Doh!!) Yeah, he was a part of Greespan’s Fed that lowered rates too much and did various and sundry other damage. (Double Doh!!) In other words, this guy’s stock is in the shitter, big time. I don’t think he can look any more the Economist Assclown.
But… I think I understand a little bit about this guy’s personality. He was always Mr. Smartypants. Always had the answers. Worked his ass off. Didn’t make a lot of money, but took his payment in psychic income: respect. Now he realizes he was part of a Major Fuck Up. And there’s nowhere to hide. So, what’s he going to do? He’s going to work his ass off to rebuild his reputation – 10x harder than he’s ever worked before. And in a bizarre way, despite the fact that he was part of the Problem(s), I want a guy at the helm who’s been taken down a few notches and has something to prove. Whose only currency his whole life has been respect, and now it’s swirling down the toilet. This guy is gonna fight. We may question some of the unorthodox ideas he comes up with, but at the end of the day I bet he does more good than harm going forward. It’s a pure contrary opinion.
Everybody hates Bernanke and thinks he’s an idiot. (When he was named Fed Chairman I said, “Oh shit. THAT guy? Gimme a break!”) I’ve gotta take the other side of that trade at this point. Geitner… eh… not so much. That may be inconsistent, but something about Geitner unnerves me. I can’t explain it.
March 18, 2009 at 11:49 AM #369559davelj
ParticipantOn a side note – and I can’t believe I’m typing this – I’m actually somewhat optimistic regarding Bernanke’s handling of his end of things.
Yeah, he totally missed the housing bubble. (Doh!!) Yeah, he was a part of Greespan’s Fed that lowered rates too much and did various and sundry other damage. (Double Doh!!) In other words, this guy’s stock is in the shitter, big time. I don’t think he can look any more the Economist Assclown.
But… I think I understand a little bit about this guy’s personality. He was always Mr. Smartypants. Always had the answers. Worked his ass off. Didn’t make a lot of money, but took his payment in psychic income: respect. Now he realizes he was part of a Major Fuck Up. And there’s nowhere to hide. So, what’s he going to do? He’s going to work his ass off to rebuild his reputation – 10x harder than he’s ever worked before. And in a bizarre way, despite the fact that he was part of the Problem(s), I want a guy at the helm who’s been taken down a few notches and has something to prove. Whose only currency his whole life has been respect, and now it’s swirling down the toilet. This guy is gonna fight. We may question some of the unorthodox ideas he comes up with, but at the end of the day I bet he does more good than harm going forward. It’s a pure contrary opinion.
Everybody hates Bernanke and thinks he’s an idiot. (When he was named Fed Chairman I said, “Oh shit. THAT guy? Gimme a break!”) I’ve gotta take the other side of that trade at this point. Geitner… eh… not so much. That may be inconsistent, but something about Geitner unnerves me. I can’t explain it.
March 18, 2009 at 11:49 AM #369725davelj
ParticipantOn a side note – and I can’t believe I’m typing this – I’m actually somewhat optimistic regarding Bernanke’s handling of his end of things.
Yeah, he totally missed the housing bubble. (Doh!!) Yeah, he was a part of Greespan’s Fed that lowered rates too much and did various and sundry other damage. (Double Doh!!) In other words, this guy’s stock is in the shitter, big time. I don’t think he can look any more the Economist Assclown.
But… I think I understand a little bit about this guy’s personality. He was always Mr. Smartypants. Always had the answers. Worked his ass off. Didn’t make a lot of money, but took his payment in psychic income: respect. Now he realizes he was part of a Major Fuck Up. And there’s nowhere to hide. So, what’s he going to do? He’s going to work his ass off to rebuild his reputation – 10x harder than he’s ever worked before. And in a bizarre way, despite the fact that he was part of the Problem(s), I want a guy at the helm who’s been taken down a few notches and has something to prove. Whose only currency his whole life has been respect, and now it’s swirling down the toilet. This guy is gonna fight. We may question some of the unorthodox ideas he comes up with, but at the end of the day I bet he does more good than harm going forward. It’s a pure contrary opinion.
Everybody hates Bernanke and thinks he’s an idiot. (When he was named Fed Chairman I said, “Oh shit. THAT guy? Gimme a break!”) I’ve gotta take the other side of that trade at this point. Geitner… eh… not so much. That may be inconsistent, but something about Geitner unnerves me. I can’t explain it.
March 18, 2009 at 11:49 AM #369766davelj
ParticipantOn a side note – and I can’t believe I’m typing this – I’m actually somewhat optimistic regarding Bernanke’s handling of his end of things.
Yeah, he totally missed the housing bubble. (Doh!!) Yeah, he was a part of Greespan’s Fed that lowered rates too much and did various and sundry other damage. (Double Doh!!) In other words, this guy’s stock is in the shitter, big time. I don’t think he can look any more the Economist Assclown.
But… I think I understand a little bit about this guy’s personality. He was always Mr. Smartypants. Always had the answers. Worked his ass off. Didn’t make a lot of money, but took his payment in psychic income: respect. Now he realizes he was part of a Major Fuck Up. And there’s nowhere to hide. So, what’s he going to do? He’s going to work his ass off to rebuild his reputation – 10x harder than he’s ever worked before. And in a bizarre way, despite the fact that he was part of the Problem(s), I want a guy at the helm who’s been taken down a few notches and has something to prove. Whose only currency his whole life has been respect, and now it’s swirling down the toilet. This guy is gonna fight. We may question some of the unorthodox ideas he comes up with, but at the end of the day I bet he does more good than harm going forward. It’s a pure contrary opinion.
Everybody hates Bernanke and thinks he’s an idiot. (When he was named Fed Chairman I said, “Oh shit. THAT guy? Gimme a break!”) I’ve gotta take the other side of that trade at this point. Geitner… eh… not so much. That may be inconsistent, but something about Geitner unnerves me. I can’t explain it.
March 18, 2009 at 11:49 AM #369882davelj
ParticipantOn a side note – and I can’t believe I’m typing this – I’m actually somewhat optimistic regarding Bernanke’s handling of his end of things.
Yeah, he totally missed the housing bubble. (Doh!!) Yeah, he was a part of Greespan’s Fed that lowered rates too much and did various and sundry other damage. (Double Doh!!) In other words, this guy’s stock is in the shitter, big time. I don’t think he can look any more the Economist Assclown.
But… I think I understand a little bit about this guy’s personality. He was always Mr. Smartypants. Always had the answers. Worked his ass off. Didn’t make a lot of money, but took his payment in psychic income: respect. Now he realizes he was part of a Major Fuck Up. And there’s nowhere to hide. So, what’s he going to do? He’s going to work his ass off to rebuild his reputation – 10x harder than he’s ever worked before. And in a bizarre way, despite the fact that he was part of the Problem(s), I want a guy at the helm who’s been taken down a few notches and has something to prove. Whose only currency his whole life has been respect, and now it’s swirling down the toilet. This guy is gonna fight. We may question some of the unorthodox ideas he comes up with, but at the end of the day I bet he does more good than harm going forward. It’s a pure contrary opinion.
Everybody hates Bernanke and thinks he’s an idiot. (When he was named Fed Chairman I said, “Oh shit. THAT guy? Gimme a break!”) I’ve gotta take the other side of that trade at this point. Geitner… eh… not so much. That may be inconsistent, but something about Geitner unnerves me. I can’t explain it.
March 18, 2009 at 2:01 PM #369327LuckyInOC
ParticipantI sure does look like this is happening by Irving Fisher’s debt-deflation theory numbers:
1. Debt liquidation and distress selling
2. Contraction of the money supply as bank loans are paid off
3. A fall in the level of asset prices
4. A still greater fall in the net worths of business, precipitating bankruptcies
5. A fall in profits
6. A reduction in output, in trade and in employment.
7. Pessimism and loss of confidence
8. Hoarding of money
9. A fall in nominal interest rates and a rise in deflation adjusted interest rates.So…
are we at #4
– or –
are at #6 and moving to #7 about now.Though they seldom invoke Fisher, policymakers in America are applying his ideas. In academia Ben Bernanke, now the chairman of the Federal Reserve, sought to formalise Fisher’s debt-deflation theory.
http://www.economist.com/finance/displaystory.cfm?story_id=13104022
LuckyInOC
March 18, 2009 at 2:01 PM #369615LuckyInOC
ParticipantI sure does look like this is happening by Irving Fisher’s debt-deflation theory numbers:
1. Debt liquidation and distress selling
2. Contraction of the money supply as bank loans are paid off
3. A fall in the level of asset prices
4. A still greater fall in the net worths of business, precipitating bankruptcies
5. A fall in profits
6. A reduction in output, in trade and in employment.
7. Pessimism and loss of confidence
8. Hoarding of money
9. A fall in nominal interest rates and a rise in deflation adjusted interest rates.So…
are we at #4
– or –
are at #6 and moving to #7 about now.Though they seldom invoke Fisher, policymakers in America are applying his ideas. In academia Ben Bernanke, now the chairman of the Federal Reserve, sought to formalise Fisher’s debt-deflation theory.
http://www.economist.com/finance/displaystory.cfm?story_id=13104022
LuckyInOC
March 18, 2009 at 2:01 PM #369780LuckyInOC
ParticipantI sure does look like this is happening by Irving Fisher’s debt-deflation theory numbers:
1. Debt liquidation and distress selling
2. Contraction of the money supply as bank loans are paid off
3. A fall in the level of asset prices
4. A still greater fall in the net worths of business, precipitating bankruptcies
5. A fall in profits
6. A reduction in output, in trade and in employment.
7. Pessimism and loss of confidence
8. Hoarding of money
9. A fall in nominal interest rates and a rise in deflation adjusted interest rates.So…
are we at #4
– or –
are at #6 and moving to #7 about now.Though they seldom invoke Fisher, policymakers in America are applying his ideas. In academia Ben Bernanke, now the chairman of the Federal Reserve, sought to formalise Fisher’s debt-deflation theory.
http://www.economist.com/finance/displaystory.cfm?story_id=13104022
LuckyInOC
March 18, 2009 at 2:01 PM #369821LuckyInOC
ParticipantI sure does look like this is happening by Irving Fisher’s debt-deflation theory numbers:
1. Debt liquidation and distress selling
2. Contraction of the money supply as bank loans are paid off
3. A fall in the level of asset prices
4. A still greater fall in the net worths of business, precipitating bankruptcies
5. A fall in profits
6. A reduction in output, in trade and in employment.
7. Pessimism and loss of confidence
8. Hoarding of money
9. A fall in nominal interest rates and a rise in deflation adjusted interest rates.So…
are we at #4
– or –
are at #6 and moving to #7 about now.Though they seldom invoke Fisher, policymakers in America are applying his ideas. In academia Ben Bernanke, now the chairman of the Federal Reserve, sought to formalise Fisher’s debt-deflation theory.
http://www.economist.com/finance/displaystory.cfm?story_id=13104022
LuckyInOC
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