- This topic has 100 replies, 12 voices, and was last updated 17 years, 4 months ago by
partypup.
-
AuthorPosts
-
July 26, 2008 at 9:24 PM #247786July 28, 2008 at 12:42 PM #248226
carlsbadworker
ParticipantSD Realtor, here is the reasoning behind my prognostication:
1. I see steep price drop highly correlated with the amount of foreclosure homes in the market (as banks always cut price relentlessly). We have a spike in foreclosure activities in earlier this year, that is when we see 3%+ price drop each month in SD real estate price.
2. In May-June, we reached a psychological threshold of 30% price drop from the peak, as a result, we see a lot of “investors” jump in but I believe at the same time we should be seeing people walking away from their houses since they are under water so much.
3. It takes 5 months for homeowner to stop payment and the NOD are being filed against them, then 1-4 months for the house to go into foreclosure pool. That is why I think toward the end of the year, we will see 3%+ price drop every single month all over again.July 28, 2008 at 12:42 PM #248383carlsbadworker
ParticipantSD Realtor, here is the reasoning behind my prognostication:
1. I see steep price drop highly correlated with the amount of foreclosure homes in the market (as banks always cut price relentlessly). We have a spike in foreclosure activities in earlier this year, that is when we see 3%+ price drop each month in SD real estate price.
2. In May-June, we reached a psychological threshold of 30% price drop from the peak, as a result, we see a lot of “investors” jump in but I believe at the same time we should be seeing people walking away from their houses since they are under water so much.
3. It takes 5 months for homeowner to stop payment and the NOD are being filed against them, then 1-4 months for the house to go into foreclosure pool. That is why I think toward the end of the year, we will see 3%+ price drop every single month all over again.July 28, 2008 at 12:42 PM #248386carlsbadworker
ParticipantSD Realtor, here is the reasoning behind my prognostication:
1. I see steep price drop highly correlated with the amount of foreclosure homes in the market (as banks always cut price relentlessly). We have a spike in foreclosure activities in earlier this year, that is when we see 3%+ price drop each month in SD real estate price.
2. In May-June, we reached a psychological threshold of 30% price drop from the peak, as a result, we see a lot of “investors” jump in but I believe at the same time we should be seeing people walking away from their houses since they are under water so much.
3. It takes 5 months for homeowner to stop payment and the NOD are being filed against them, then 1-4 months for the house to go into foreclosure pool. That is why I think toward the end of the year, we will see 3%+ price drop every single month all over again.July 28, 2008 at 12:42 PM #248445carlsbadworker
ParticipantSD Realtor, here is the reasoning behind my prognostication:
1. I see steep price drop highly correlated with the amount of foreclosure homes in the market (as banks always cut price relentlessly). We have a spike in foreclosure activities in earlier this year, that is when we see 3%+ price drop each month in SD real estate price.
2. In May-June, we reached a psychological threshold of 30% price drop from the peak, as a result, we see a lot of “investors” jump in but I believe at the same time we should be seeing people walking away from their houses since they are under water so much.
3. It takes 5 months for homeowner to stop payment and the NOD are being filed against them, then 1-4 months for the house to go into foreclosure pool. That is why I think toward the end of the year, we will see 3%+ price drop every single month all over again.July 28, 2008 at 12:42 PM #248454carlsbadworker
ParticipantSD Realtor, here is the reasoning behind my prognostication:
1. I see steep price drop highly correlated with the amount of foreclosure homes in the market (as banks always cut price relentlessly). We have a spike in foreclosure activities in earlier this year, that is when we see 3%+ price drop each month in SD real estate price.
2. In May-June, we reached a psychological threshold of 30% price drop from the peak, as a result, we see a lot of “investors” jump in but I believe at the same time we should be seeing people walking away from their houses since they are under water so much.
3. It takes 5 months for homeowner to stop payment and the NOD are being filed against them, then 1-4 months for the house to go into foreclosure pool. That is why I think toward the end of the year, we will see 3%+ price drop every single month all over again.July 28, 2008 at 1:43 PM #248246(former)FormerSanDiegan
ParticipantSo I’m seriously thinking of jumping in and buying a condo. Am I crazy to do this within the next 6 months?
It depends on the specifics. Would the unit provide positive after-tax cash flow, assuming reasonable expenses ?
If the answer is yes, then you are not crazy.
July 28, 2008 at 1:43 PM #248403(former)FormerSanDiegan
ParticipantSo I’m seriously thinking of jumping in and buying a condo. Am I crazy to do this within the next 6 months?
It depends on the specifics. Would the unit provide positive after-tax cash flow, assuming reasonable expenses ?
If the answer is yes, then you are not crazy.
July 28, 2008 at 1:43 PM #248405(former)FormerSanDiegan
ParticipantSo I’m seriously thinking of jumping in and buying a condo. Am I crazy to do this within the next 6 months?
It depends on the specifics. Would the unit provide positive after-tax cash flow, assuming reasonable expenses ?
If the answer is yes, then you are not crazy.
July 28, 2008 at 1:43 PM #248466(former)FormerSanDiegan
ParticipantSo I’m seriously thinking of jumping in and buying a condo. Am I crazy to do this within the next 6 months?
It depends on the specifics. Would the unit provide positive after-tax cash flow, assuming reasonable expenses ?
If the answer is yes, then you are not crazy.
July 28, 2008 at 1:43 PM #248474(former)FormerSanDiegan
ParticipantSo I’m seriously thinking of jumping in and buying a condo. Am I crazy to do this within the next 6 months?
It depends on the specifics. Would the unit provide positive after-tax cash flow, assuming reasonable expenses ?
If the answer is yes, then you are not crazy.
July 28, 2008 at 2:00 PM #248262eyePod
ParticipantOK, I will state the obvious. FLPSanDiego, you do not provide any detail as to why you want to buy. What is your motivation, personal situation, criteria for deciding, etc?
July 28, 2008 at 2:00 PM #248418eyePod
ParticipantOK, I will state the obvious. FLPSanDiego, you do not provide any detail as to why you want to buy. What is your motivation, personal situation, criteria for deciding, etc?
July 28, 2008 at 2:00 PM #248420eyePod
ParticipantOK, I will state the obvious. FLPSanDiego, you do not provide any detail as to why you want to buy. What is your motivation, personal situation, criteria for deciding, etc?
July 28, 2008 at 2:00 PM #248481eyePod
ParticipantOK, I will state the obvious. FLPSanDiego, you do not provide any detail as to why you want to buy. What is your motivation, personal situation, criteria for deciding, etc?
-
AuthorPosts
- You must be logged in to reply to this topic.
