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October 11, 2008 at 9:03 AM #285524October 11, 2008 at 9:15 AM #285856peterbParticipant
Kewp- I think you’ve hit on exactly what’s happening out there. Credit was a gigantic part of the money supply….see charts of global credit growth for the last 8 years.
That’s all but destroyed now. Compare this recent destruction of global credit to what’s actually in bank account deposits and in wages. It is tiny compared to the credit destruction. Keep in mind, there’s little money left in home equity, stock market equity has been devistated and wages are not rising (unemployment rising).
How can the US$ not rise in this equation?! There’s really not that much of it out there. Go try to take your money out of bank, see how they cry. Cause they aint got any more they can get.“Cash is king” and “cash in a crash” Is really true. Look around, it’s happening real-time. The US$ is buying more of almost everything by the day!!
October 11, 2008 at 9:15 AM #285835peterbParticipantKewp- I think you’ve hit on exactly what’s happening out there. Credit was a gigantic part of the money supply….see charts of global credit growth for the last 8 years.
That’s all but destroyed now. Compare this recent destruction of global credit to what’s actually in bank account deposits and in wages. It is tiny compared to the credit destruction. Keep in mind, there’s little money left in home equity, stock market equity has been devistated and wages are not rising (unemployment rising).
How can the US$ not rise in this equation?! There’s really not that much of it out there. Go try to take your money out of bank, see how they cry. Cause they aint got any more they can get.“Cash is king” and “cash in a crash” Is really true. Look around, it’s happening real-time. The US$ is buying more of almost everything by the day!!
October 11, 2008 at 9:15 AM #285879peterbParticipantKewp- I think you’ve hit on exactly what’s happening out there. Credit was a gigantic part of the money supply….see charts of global credit growth for the last 8 years.
That’s all but destroyed now. Compare this recent destruction of global credit to what’s actually in bank account deposits and in wages. It is tiny compared to the credit destruction. Keep in mind, there’s little money left in home equity, stock market equity has been devistated and wages are not rising (unemployment rising).
How can the US$ not rise in this equation?! There’s really not that much of it out there. Go try to take your money out of bank, see how they cry. Cause they aint got any more they can get.“Cash is king” and “cash in a crash” Is really true. Look around, it’s happening real-time. The US$ is buying more of almost everything by the day!!
October 11, 2008 at 9:15 AM #285887peterbParticipantKewp- I think you’ve hit on exactly what’s happening out there. Credit was a gigantic part of the money supply….see charts of global credit growth for the last 8 years.
That’s all but destroyed now. Compare this recent destruction of global credit to what’s actually in bank account deposits and in wages. It is tiny compared to the credit destruction. Keep in mind, there’s little money left in home equity, stock market equity has been devistated and wages are not rising (unemployment rising).
How can the US$ not rise in this equation?! There’s really not that much of it out there. Go try to take your money out of bank, see how they cry. Cause they aint got any more they can get.“Cash is king” and “cash in a crash” Is really true. Look around, it’s happening real-time. The US$ is buying more of almost everything by the day!!
October 11, 2008 at 9:15 AM #285544peterbParticipantKewp- I think you’ve hit on exactly what’s happening out there. Credit was a gigantic part of the money supply….see charts of global credit growth for the last 8 years.
That’s all but destroyed now. Compare this recent destruction of global credit to what’s actually in bank account deposits and in wages. It is tiny compared to the credit destruction. Keep in mind, there’s little money left in home equity, stock market equity has been devistated and wages are not rising (unemployment rising).
How can the US$ not rise in this equation?! There’s really not that much of it out there. Go try to take your money out of bank, see how they cry. Cause they aint got any more they can get.“Cash is king” and “cash in a crash” Is really true. Look around, it’s happening real-time. The US$ is buying more of almost everything by the day!!
October 11, 2008 at 10:02 AM #285901XBoxBoyParticipant[quote=peterb]The US$ is buying more of almost everything by the day!![/quote]
But what happens when this crisis settles down? (and it will settle down at some point) With the market crashing, you would expect treasuries to be skyrocketing. But they aren’t. Matter of fact, yields on 10yrs have been rising. Might be because people need to liquidate them so they pay their Lehman CDS’s, but might it be that there is an enormous bubble in treasuries right now?
If the people arguing that treasuries are the mother of all bubbles out there are right, what happens when that pops? The obvious answer would be that interest rates go through the roof. And then we get a full blown dollar crisis. This could put a crimp in all the bailout plans.
Of course if you’re buying an american house with american dollars all this might be irrelevant. Then again, it might not. What do I know.
XBoxBoy
October 11, 2008 at 10:02 AM #285924XBoxBoyParticipant[quote=peterb]The US$ is buying more of almost everything by the day!![/quote]
But what happens when this crisis settles down? (and it will settle down at some point) With the market crashing, you would expect treasuries to be skyrocketing. But they aren’t. Matter of fact, yields on 10yrs have been rising. Might be because people need to liquidate them so they pay their Lehman CDS’s, but might it be that there is an enormous bubble in treasuries right now?
If the people arguing that treasuries are the mother of all bubbles out there are right, what happens when that pops? The obvious answer would be that interest rates go through the roof. And then we get a full blown dollar crisis. This could put a crimp in all the bailout plans.
Of course if you’re buying an american house with american dollars all this might be irrelevant. Then again, it might not. What do I know.
XBoxBoy
October 11, 2008 at 10:02 AM #285932XBoxBoyParticipant[quote=peterb]The US$ is buying more of almost everything by the day!![/quote]
But what happens when this crisis settles down? (and it will settle down at some point) With the market crashing, you would expect treasuries to be skyrocketing. But they aren’t. Matter of fact, yields on 10yrs have been rising. Might be because people need to liquidate them so they pay their Lehman CDS’s, but might it be that there is an enormous bubble in treasuries right now?
If the people arguing that treasuries are the mother of all bubbles out there are right, what happens when that pops? The obvious answer would be that interest rates go through the roof. And then we get a full blown dollar crisis. This could put a crimp in all the bailout plans.
Of course if you’re buying an american house with american dollars all this might be irrelevant. Then again, it might not. What do I know.
XBoxBoy
October 11, 2008 at 10:02 AM #285589XBoxBoyParticipant[quote=peterb]The US$ is buying more of almost everything by the day!![/quote]
But what happens when this crisis settles down? (and it will settle down at some point) With the market crashing, you would expect treasuries to be skyrocketing. But they aren’t. Matter of fact, yields on 10yrs have been rising. Might be because people need to liquidate them so they pay their Lehman CDS’s, but might it be that there is an enormous bubble in treasuries right now?
If the people arguing that treasuries are the mother of all bubbles out there are right, what happens when that pops? The obvious answer would be that interest rates go through the roof. And then we get a full blown dollar crisis. This could put a crimp in all the bailout plans.
Of course if you’re buying an american house with american dollars all this might be irrelevant. Then again, it might not. What do I know.
XBoxBoy
October 11, 2008 at 10:02 AM #285880XBoxBoyParticipant[quote=peterb]The US$ is buying more of almost everything by the day!![/quote]
But what happens when this crisis settles down? (and it will settle down at some point) With the market crashing, you would expect treasuries to be skyrocketing. But they aren’t. Matter of fact, yields on 10yrs have been rising. Might be because people need to liquidate them so they pay their Lehman CDS’s, but might it be that there is an enormous bubble in treasuries right now?
If the people arguing that treasuries are the mother of all bubbles out there are right, what happens when that pops? The obvious answer would be that interest rates go through the roof. And then we get a full blown dollar crisis. This could put a crimp in all the bailout plans.
Of course if you’re buying an american house with american dollars all this might be irrelevant. Then again, it might not. What do I know.
XBoxBoy
October 11, 2008 at 11:37 AM #285930jpinpbParticipantIf there’s a worldwide crisis and the dollar is worthless, then what difference would it make to have cash on hand? I’ve heard/read to buy gold. But in a real crisis, you can’t eat money or gold. Just stock up on food and water, right?
I can’t imagine it will get that bad, but I made a trip to Costco today, JIC, and got a few extra things.
October 11, 2008 at 11:37 AM #285951jpinpbParticipantIf there’s a worldwide crisis and the dollar is worthless, then what difference would it make to have cash on hand? I’ve heard/read to buy gold. But in a real crisis, you can’t eat money or gold. Just stock up on food and water, right?
I can’t imagine it will get that bad, but I made a trip to Costco today, JIC, and got a few extra things.
October 11, 2008 at 11:37 AM #285974jpinpbParticipantIf there’s a worldwide crisis and the dollar is worthless, then what difference would it make to have cash on hand? I’ve heard/read to buy gold. But in a real crisis, you can’t eat money or gold. Just stock up on food and water, right?
I can’t imagine it will get that bad, but I made a trip to Costco today, JIC, and got a few extra things.
October 11, 2008 at 11:37 AM #285982jpinpbParticipantIf there’s a worldwide crisis and the dollar is worthless, then what difference would it make to have cash on hand? I’ve heard/read to buy gold. But in a real crisis, you can’t eat money or gold. Just stock up on food and water, right?
I can’t imagine it will get that bad, but I made a trip to Costco today, JIC, and got a few extra things.
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