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Raybyrnes.
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AuthorPosts
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January 21, 2008 at 11:00 PM #140786January 21, 2008 at 11:42 PM #140480
La Jolla Renter
ParticipantThe silly dems loose the election (yeah baby!!!!!!!!!!!)
It’s laughable… all they had to do was put the silver spoon back in their fat condescending two sided mouths and shut the hell up…
but nooooooooooooooo… they just can’t resist telling joe american what he needs big government to do for him… they over kiss the asses of all the special interest groups and end up piss them all off.
The dow swings wildly all year to end up at 12,500.
The $1M+ homes in the premium zips, to my chagrin, hang tough all year maybe dropping 5%.
January 21, 2008 at 11:42 PM #140702ParticipantThe silly dems loose the election (yeah baby!!!!!!!!!!!)
It’s laughable… all they had to do was put the silver spoon back in their fat condescending two sided mouths and shut the hell up…
but nooooooooooooooo… they just can’t resist telling joe american what he needs big government to do for him… they over kiss the asses of all the special interest groups and end up piss them all off.
The dow swings wildly all year to end up at 12,500.
The $1M+ homes in the premium zips, to my chagrin, hang tough all year maybe dropping 5%.
January 21, 2008 at 11:42 PM #140720ParticipantThe silly dems loose the election (yeah baby!!!!!!!!!!!)
It’s laughable… all they had to do was put the silver spoon back in their fat condescending two sided mouths and shut the hell up…
but nooooooooooooooo… they just can’t resist telling joe american what he needs big government to do for him… they over kiss the asses of all the special interest groups and end up piss them all off.
The dow swings wildly all year to end up at 12,500.
The $1M+ homes in the premium zips, to my chagrin, hang tough all year maybe dropping 5%.
January 21, 2008 at 11:42 PM #140744ParticipantThe silly dems loose the election (yeah baby!!!!!!!!!!!)
It’s laughable… all they had to do was put the silver spoon back in their fat condescending two sided mouths and shut the hell up…
but nooooooooooooooo… they just can’t resist telling joe american what he needs big government to do for him… they over kiss the asses of all the special interest groups and end up piss them all off.
The dow swings wildly all year to end up at 12,500.
The $1M+ homes in the premium zips, to my chagrin, hang tough all year maybe dropping 5%.
January 21, 2008 at 11:42 PM #140796ParticipantThe silly dems loose the election (yeah baby!!!!!!!!!!!)
It’s laughable… all they had to do was put the silver spoon back in their fat condescending two sided mouths and shut the hell up…
but nooooooooooooooo… they just can’t resist telling joe american what he needs big government to do for him… they over kiss the asses of all the special interest groups and end up piss them all off.
The dow swings wildly all year to end up at 12,500.
The $1M+ homes in the premium zips, to my chagrin, hang tough all year maybe dropping 5%.
January 24, 2008 at 7:41 AM #141947eccen in esc
Participanteccen in esc
other than housing and economy which has been covered here accurately, here are my predictions:higher than average rainfall in Socal
water shortage and higher water bills
large earthquake on the west coast
Iran invasion
alien invasion
McCain “wins” election
something happens in Texas
mass awareness of corruption in govt.January 24, 2008 at 7:41 AM #142173Participanteccen in esc
other than housing and economy which has been covered here accurately, here are my predictions:higher than average rainfall in Socal
water shortage and higher water bills
large earthquake on the west coast
Iran invasion
alien invasion
McCain “wins” election
something happens in Texas
mass awareness of corruption in govt.January 24, 2008 at 7:41 AM #142186Participanteccen in esc
other than housing and economy which has been covered here accurately, here are my predictions:higher than average rainfall in Socal
water shortage and higher water bills
large earthquake on the west coast
Iran invasion
alien invasion
McCain “wins” election
something happens in Texas
mass awareness of corruption in govt.January 24, 2008 at 7:41 AM #142212Participanteccen in esc
other than housing and economy which has been covered here accurately, here are my predictions:higher than average rainfall in Socal
water shortage and higher water bills
large earthquake on the west coast
Iran invasion
alien invasion
McCain “wins” election
something happens in Texas
mass awareness of corruption in govt.January 24, 2008 at 7:41 AM #142274Participanteccen in esc
other than housing and economy which has been covered here accurately, here are my predictions:higher than average rainfall in Socal
water shortage and higher water bills
large earthquake on the west coast
Iran invasion
alien invasion
McCain “wins” election
something happens in Texas
mass awareness of corruption in govt.December 31, 2008 at 10:14 PM #322193stansd
ParticipantHere’s my own assessment for myself (I like writing this down to hold myself accountable). I got the direction of most things right, but was only about 1/2 way there on magnitude. I certainly didn’t anticipate the amount of financial dislocation from the crisis, though the personal impact I did anticipate…looking forward to 2009. Wishing I would have traded more on my own predictions: Experience has told me I’m not as good as I think I am, however, so I tread cautiously.
I am short T Bonds right now…we’ll see how that goes. Inflation is my big bet this year along with CA bailout…still thinking though the rest.
Yes, I’m posting this on new year’s eve-kids have killed my partying days, and my great bottle of champagne in the fridge will likely go unopened:)
Last Year:
Prediction: San Diego Housing Market drops 15%.Actual: -27%
Prediction: Fed lowers interest rates to 3% by year end.
Actual: 0% to 0.25% (Started at 4.5%)
Prediction: Recession is officially declared, but interest rate cuts cause the dollar to fall further and CPI inflation goes over 4%.
Actual: Recession declared, dollar fell for most of the year, but rose in the end except vs. the yen, but CPI stayed mute in the end at 1.1%
Prediction: The Euro hits $1.45, the Yen hits 100/$, and gas goes over $4.00 per gallon.
Actual: Euro hit mid 1.20’s. Euro ended the year at 1.40 (Started year at 1.47), and Yen at 90 (Started year at 110). Gas definitely went over $4.00 per gallon (started the year around $3.20), but eventually came back down to where it is now.
Stock Market Drops 20% from 2007 End.
Actual: DJIA down 34%, S&P 39%
John McCain beats Obama in the national election as republicans flock to him in masse, and Obama’s inexperience pulls enough independents into the McCain camp. If Bloomberg enters a three way race, Obama wins.
Actual: I got the final candidates right, but the winner wrong. Obama didn’t make any big mistakes: I thought he would.
Foreclosures skyrocket, social acceptability of walking jingle mail is cemented, and banks start to voluntarily write loans down and freeze interest rates rather than foreclose.
Actual: Foreclosures up 300-400%, jingle mail not quite cemented, banks not quite voluntarily writing down loans yet
Unemployment hits 6%, and $50K in the bank becomes as fashionable as a hummer was 2 years ago.
Unemployment at 6.7% starting from 4.9%. $50K in the bank more fashionable now than a hummer was 2 years ago.
Stan
December 31, 2008 at 10:14 PM #322536ParticipantHere’s my own assessment for myself (I like writing this down to hold myself accountable). I got the direction of most things right, but was only about 1/2 way there on magnitude. I certainly didn’t anticipate the amount of financial dislocation from the crisis, though the personal impact I did anticipate…looking forward to 2009. Wishing I would have traded more on my own predictions: Experience has told me I’m not as good as I think I am, however, so I tread cautiously.
I am short T Bonds right now…we’ll see how that goes. Inflation is my big bet this year along with CA bailout…still thinking though the rest.
Yes, I’m posting this on new year’s eve-kids have killed my partying days, and my great bottle of champagne in the fridge will likely go unopened:)
Last Year:
Prediction: San Diego Housing Market drops 15%.Actual: -27%
Prediction: Fed lowers interest rates to 3% by year end.
Actual: 0% to 0.25% (Started at 4.5%)
Prediction: Recession is officially declared, but interest rate cuts cause the dollar to fall further and CPI inflation goes over 4%.
Actual: Recession declared, dollar fell for most of the year, but rose in the end except vs. the yen, but CPI stayed mute in the end at 1.1%
Prediction: The Euro hits $1.45, the Yen hits 100/$, and gas goes over $4.00 per gallon.
Actual: Euro hit mid 1.20’s. Euro ended the year at 1.40 (Started year at 1.47), and Yen at 90 (Started year at 110). Gas definitely went over $4.00 per gallon (started the year around $3.20), but eventually came back down to where it is now.
Stock Market Drops 20% from 2007 End.
Actual: DJIA down 34%, S&P 39%
John McCain beats Obama in the national election as republicans flock to him in masse, and Obama’s inexperience pulls enough independents into the McCain camp. If Bloomberg enters a three way race, Obama wins.
Actual: I got the final candidates right, but the winner wrong. Obama didn’t make any big mistakes: I thought he would.
Foreclosures skyrocket, social acceptability of walking jingle mail is cemented, and banks start to voluntarily write loans down and freeze interest rates rather than foreclose.
Actual: Foreclosures up 300-400%, jingle mail not quite cemented, banks not quite voluntarily writing down loans yet
Unemployment hits 6%, and $50K in the bank becomes as fashionable as a hummer was 2 years ago.
Unemployment at 6.7% starting from 4.9%. $50K in the bank more fashionable now than a hummer was 2 years ago.
Stan
December 31, 2008 at 10:14 PM #322595ParticipantHere’s my own assessment for myself (I like writing this down to hold myself accountable). I got the direction of most things right, but was only about 1/2 way there on magnitude. I certainly didn’t anticipate the amount of financial dislocation from the crisis, though the personal impact I did anticipate…looking forward to 2009. Wishing I would have traded more on my own predictions: Experience has told me I’m not as good as I think I am, however, so I tread cautiously.
I am short T Bonds right now…we’ll see how that goes. Inflation is my big bet this year along with CA bailout…still thinking though the rest.
Yes, I’m posting this on new year’s eve-kids have killed my partying days, and my great bottle of champagne in the fridge will likely go unopened:)
Last Year:
Prediction: San Diego Housing Market drops 15%.Actual: -27%
Prediction: Fed lowers interest rates to 3% by year end.
Actual: 0% to 0.25% (Started at 4.5%)
Prediction: Recession is officially declared, but interest rate cuts cause the dollar to fall further and CPI inflation goes over 4%.
Actual: Recession declared, dollar fell for most of the year, but rose in the end except vs. the yen, but CPI stayed mute in the end at 1.1%
Prediction: The Euro hits $1.45, the Yen hits 100/$, and gas goes over $4.00 per gallon.
Actual: Euro hit mid 1.20’s. Euro ended the year at 1.40 (Started year at 1.47), and Yen at 90 (Started year at 110). Gas definitely went over $4.00 per gallon (started the year around $3.20), but eventually came back down to where it is now.
Stock Market Drops 20% from 2007 End.
Actual: DJIA down 34%, S&P 39%
John McCain beats Obama in the national election as republicans flock to him in masse, and Obama’s inexperience pulls enough independents into the McCain camp. If Bloomberg enters a three way race, Obama wins.
Actual: I got the final candidates right, but the winner wrong. Obama didn’t make any big mistakes: I thought he would.
Foreclosures skyrocket, social acceptability of walking jingle mail is cemented, and banks start to voluntarily write loans down and freeze interest rates rather than foreclose.
Actual: Foreclosures up 300-400%, jingle mail not quite cemented, banks not quite voluntarily writing down loans yet
Unemployment hits 6%, and $50K in the bank becomes as fashionable as a hummer was 2 years ago.
Unemployment at 6.7% starting from 4.9%. $50K in the bank more fashionable now than a hummer was 2 years ago.
Stan
December 31, 2008 at 10:14 PM #322613ParticipantHere’s my own assessment for myself (I like writing this down to hold myself accountable). I got the direction of most things right, but was only about 1/2 way there on magnitude. I certainly didn’t anticipate the amount of financial dislocation from the crisis, though the personal impact I did anticipate…looking forward to 2009. Wishing I would have traded more on my own predictions: Experience has told me I’m not as good as I think I am, however, so I tread cautiously.
I am short T Bonds right now…we’ll see how that goes. Inflation is my big bet this year along with CA bailout…still thinking though the rest.
Yes, I’m posting this on new year’s eve-kids have killed my partying days, and my great bottle of champagne in the fridge will likely go unopened:)
Last Year:
Prediction: San Diego Housing Market drops 15%.Actual: -27%
Prediction: Fed lowers interest rates to 3% by year end.
Actual: 0% to 0.25% (Started at 4.5%)
Prediction: Recession is officially declared, but interest rate cuts cause the dollar to fall further and CPI inflation goes over 4%.
Actual: Recession declared, dollar fell for most of the year, but rose in the end except vs. the yen, but CPI stayed mute in the end at 1.1%
Prediction: The Euro hits $1.45, the Yen hits 100/$, and gas goes over $4.00 per gallon.
Actual: Euro hit mid 1.20’s. Euro ended the year at 1.40 (Started year at 1.47), and Yen at 90 (Started year at 110). Gas definitely went over $4.00 per gallon (started the year around $3.20), but eventually came back down to where it is now.
Stock Market Drops 20% from 2007 End.
Actual: DJIA down 34%, S&P 39%
John McCain beats Obama in the national election as republicans flock to him in masse, and Obama’s inexperience pulls enough independents into the McCain camp. If Bloomberg enters a three way race, Obama wins.
Actual: I got the final candidates right, but the winner wrong. Obama didn’t make any big mistakes: I thought he would.
Foreclosures skyrocket, social acceptability of walking jingle mail is cemented, and banks start to voluntarily write loans down and freeze interest rates rather than foreclose.
Actual: Foreclosures up 300-400%, jingle mail not quite cemented, banks not quite voluntarily writing down loans yet
Unemployment hits 6%, and $50K in the bank becomes as fashionable as a hummer was 2 years ago.
Unemployment at 6.7% starting from 4.9%. $50K in the bank more fashionable now than a hummer was 2 years ago.
Stan
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