Number of Foreclosed Homes Keeps Rising

[hipmatt]

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB121236060176236293.html?mod=todays_us_page_one

Number of Foreclosed Homes Keeps Rising
Lenders Cut Prices
To Jump-Start Sales
As Inventory Grows
By JAMES R. HAGERTY
June 2, 2008; Page A3

The number of foreclosed homes owned by lenders continues to rise despite signs that they are increasingly willing to slash prices to sell those properties.

Lenders and investors in mortgages owned about 660,000 foreclosed homes in April, up from 493,000 in January and 231,000 in January 2007, according to First American CoreLogic, a research firm based in Santa Ana, Calif., that collects data from lenders and county clerks. The April total works out to about one in seven previously occupied homes available for sale nationwide.

A surge in defaults has increased the inventory of bank-owned homes, known in the trade as REO, for “real estate owned.” By cutting prices, lenders have managed to increase sales of such homes sharply in recent months in some cities hit hard by foreclosures, including Las Vegas, Detroit and Sacramento, Calif., local real-estate brokers say.

With home prices falling, “holding the assets means further losses,” said Mark Fleming, chief economist for First American CoreLogic. Some lenders now are cutting prices as often as every 20 days on homes that aren’t selling, said David McCarthy, chief executive officer of Integrated Asset Services LLC, a Denver-based company that helps banks value and sell REO homes.

But lenders haven’t yet managed to catch up with the inflow of foreclosed homes. Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Economy.com, forecasts that the inventory of REO homes won’t peak before the end of 2009.

In dollar terms, foreclosed one- to four-family homes owned by lenders whose deposits are insured by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. more than doubled to $8.56 billion at the end of the first quarter from $3.59 billion a year earlier.

The REO glut is weighing on house prices in many areas, as banks tend to cut prices faster than other sellers. A new set of local home-price indexes, to be introduced this week by Integrated Asset Services, shows that the median price of homes sold in Riverside County, Calif., in April was down about 29% from a year earlier. The median price fell about 13% in Clark County, Nev., and 12% in Arizona’s Maricopa and Pima counties. Median-price comparisons can be skewed by shifts in the proportions of high- and lower-priced homes sold from one year to the next but provide a broad indication of market trends.

To avoid or at least delay losses, many lenders are trying to avert foreclosures by easing loan terms or giving struggling borrowers more time to catch up. Hope Now, an alliance of mortgage companies and investors, said last week that mortgage companies completed loan workouts for 183,000 households in April, up from 160,000 in March.

Meanwhile, long-term interest rates rose last week, marking another potential drag on the housing market. The average rate on 30-year fixed rate loans eligible for sale to government-sponsored investors Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac was 6.17%, up from 6.02% a week earlier, according to HSH Associates, a financial publisher in Pompton Plains, N.J.

Write to James R. Hagerty at [email protected]

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VIVA GRAVITY!

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VIVA GRAVITY!

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VIVA GRAVITY!

[jpinpb]

VIVA GRAVITY!

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VIVA GRAVITY!

[DWCAP]

-“To avoid or at least delay losses, many lenders are trying to avert foreclosures by easing loan terms or giving struggling borrowers more time to catch up. Hope Now, an alliance of mortgage companies and investors, said last week that mortgage companies completed loan workouts for 183,000 households in April, up from 160,000 in March.”

So, what is really going on is that the banks cant modify morgages AND sell their reo fast enough.
Lets be honest, people wouldnt be defaulting if they could afford their morgages without special teaser rates and Neg Am’s. Just giving someone another year to pay something they cant afford anyways wont change the underlying issue that people cant afford their homes. Hope Now is a delay tactic. We’ll see how many of those 183000 workouts actually result in the avoidance of foreclosure. My guess is less than 25% (those are the people who got sick, divorced, or laid off and actually can afford it given alittle time) will be saved, and the other 75% will be 2009 REO instead of 2008.
Even Moody’s recognizes this, saying REO wont PEAK till late 2009, 18 months away.

[DWCAP]

-“To avoid or at least delay losses, many lenders are trying to avert foreclosures by easing loan terms or giving struggling borrowers more time to catch up. Hope Now, an alliance of mortgage companies and investors, said last week that mortgage companies completed loan workouts for 183,000 households in April, up from 160,000 in March.”

So, what is really going on is that the banks cant modify morgages AND sell their reo fast enough.
Lets be honest, people wouldnt be defaulting if they could afford their morgages without special teaser rates and Neg Am’s. Just giving someone another year to pay something they cant afford anyways wont change the underlying issue that people cant afford their homes. Hope Now is a delay tactic. We’ll see how many of those 183000 workouts actually result in the avoidance of foreclosure. My guess is less than 25% (those are the people who got sick, divorced, or laid off and actually can afford it given alittle time) will be saved, and the other 75% will be 2009 REO instead of 2008.
Even Moody’s recognizes this, saying REO wont PEAK till late 2009, 18 months away.

[DWCAP]

-“To avoid or at least delay losses, many lenders are trying to avert foreclosures by easing loan terms or giving struggling borrowers more time to catch up. Hope Now, an alliance of mortgage companies and investors, said last week that mortgage companies completed loan workouts for 183,000 households in April, up from 160,000 in March.”

So, what is really going on is that the banks cant modify morgages AND sell their reo fast enough.
Lets be honest, people wouldnt be defaulting if they could afford their morgages without special teaser rates and Neg Am’s. Just giving someone another year to pay something they cant afford anyways wont change the underlying issue that people cant afford their homes. Hope Now is a delay tactic. We’ll see how many of those 183000 workouts actually result in the avoidance of foreclosure. My guess is less than 25% (those are the people who got sick, divorced, or laid off and actually can afford it given alittle time) will be saved, and the other 75% will be 2009 REO instead of 2008.
Even Moody’s recognizes this, saying REO wont PEAK till late 2009, 18 months away.

[DWCAP]

-“To avoid or at least delay losses, many lenders are trying to avert foreclosures by easing loan terms or giving struggling borrowers more time to catch up. Hope Now, an alliance of mortgage companies and investors, said last week that mortgage companies completed loan workouts for 183,000 households in April, up from 160,000 in March.”

So, what is really going on is that the banks cant modify morgages AND sell their reo fast enough.
Lets be honest, people wouldnt be defaulting if they could afford their morgages without special teaser rates and Neg Am’s. Just giving someone another year to pay something they cant afford anyways wont change the underlying issue that people cant afford their homes. Hope Now is a delay tactic. We’ll see how many of those 183000 workouts actually result in the avoidance of foreclosure. My guess is less than 25% (those are the people who got sick, divorced, or laid off and actually can afford it given alittle time) will be saved, and the other 75% will be 2009 REO instead of 2008.
Even Moody’s recognizes this, saying REO wont PEAK till late 2009, 18 months away.

[DWCAP]

-“To avoid or at least delay losses, many lenders are trying to avert foreclosures by easing loan terms or giving struggling borrowers more time to catch up. Hope Now, an alliance of mortgage companies and investors, said last week that mortgage companies completed loan workouts for 183,000 households in April, up from 160,000 in March.”

So, what is really going on is that the banks cant modify morgages AND sell their reo fast enough.
Lets be honest, people wouldnt be defaulting if they could afford their morgages without special teaser rates and Neg Am’s. Just giving someone another year to pay something they cant afford anyways wont change the underlying issue that people cant afford their homes. Hope Now is a delay tactic. We’ll see how many of those 183000 workouts actually result in the avoidance of foreclosure. My guess is less than 25% (those are the people who got sick, divorced, or laid off and actually can afford it given alittle time) will be saved, and the other 75% will be 2009 REO instead of 2008.
Even Moody’s recognizes this, saying REO wont PEAK till late 2009, 18 months away.

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