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SD Realtor.
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February 4, 2010 at 9:26 PM #510242February 4, 2010 at 10:25 PM #509357
sdduuuude
ParticipantNot sure I buy the part about “because sales are down 770 units per year, there is unmet demand.”
Maybe demand has permanently shifted down (along with inventory).
I think it is fair to say the first downturn didn’t hit that market very hard, but I’m not sure it is wise to believe that round 2 will miss it again.
February 4, 2010 at 10:25 PM #509503sdduuuude
ParticipantNot sure I buy the part about “because sales are down 770 units per year, there is unmet demand.”
Maybe demand has permanently shifted down (along with inventory).
I think it is fair to say the first downturn didn’t hit that market very hard, but I’m not sure it is wise to believe that round 2 will miss it again.
February 4, 2010 at 10:25 PM #509916sdduuuude
ParticipantNot sure I buy the part about “because sales are down 770 units per year, there is unmet demand.”
Maybe demand has permanently shifted down (along with inventory).
I think it is fair to say the first downturn didn’t hit that market very hard, but I’m not sure it is wise to believe that round 2 will miss it again.
February 4, 2010 at 10:25 PM #510009sdduuuude
ParticipantNot sure I buy the part about “because sales are down 770 units per year, there is unmet demand.”
Maybe demand has permanently shifted down (along with inventory).
I think it is fair to say the first downturn didn’t hit that market very hard, but I’m not sure it is wise to believe that round 2 will miss it again.
February 4, 2010 at 10:25 PM #510262sdduuuude
ParticipantNot sure I buy the part about “because sales are down 770 units per year, there is unmet demand.”
Maybe demand has permanently shifted down (along with inventory).
I think it is fair to say the first downturn didn’t hit that market very hard, but I’m not sure it is wise to believe that round 2 will miss it again.
February 4, 2010 at 10:34 PM #509362sdrealtor
ParticipantSpeaking of wine. There is another phenomenal tasting coming up in about a month. I blogged about it last year and will again this year. $45 for tickets in advance and about 200 quality wineries at Del Mar Fairgrounds.
February 4, 2010 at 10:34 PM #509508sdrealtor
ParticipantSpeaking of wine. There is another phenomenal tasting coming up in about a month. I blogged about it last year and will again this year. $45 for tickets in advance and about 200 quality wineries at Del Mar Fairgrounds.
February 4, 2010 at 10:34 PM #509921sdrealtor
ParticipantSpeaking of wine. There is another phenomenal tasting coming up in about a month. I blogged about it last year and will again this year. $45 for tickets in advance and about 200 quality wineries at Del Mar Fairgrounds.
February 4, 2010 at 10:34 PM #510014sdrealtor
ParticipantSpeaking of wine. There is another phenomenal tasting coming up in about a month. I blogged about it last year and will again this year. $45 for tickets in advance and about 200 quality wineries at Del Mar Fairgrounds.
February 4, 2010 at 10:34 PM #510267sdrealtor
ParticipantSpeaking of wine. There is another phenomenal tasting coming up in about a month. I blogged about it last year and will again this year. $45 for tickets in advance and about 200 quality wineries at Del Mar Fairgrounds.
February 4, 2010 at 10:36 PM #509367sdduuuude
ParticipantI’m not saying there isn’t unmet demand, but I’m saying that there is unmet demand because there is not enough inventory at an appropriate price point to meet the demand today.
You can’t compare today’s sales to sales three years ago and say the delta constitutes viable buyers.
In fact, that sales are so low could suggest prices are too high and to get the sales back to where they were, the prices must give.
Regarding the 8 offers on 1 property … To me, that means there are 7 buyers who aren’t in the market at the current price, which of course, is the highest price. It shows interested buyers, but unless all those offers came in really close together, I’m not sure it constitutes it real “demand” at current prices. For all we know, one of them was Nor-LA and he only bid 400K.
Just sayin – more than one way to look at those numbers.
February 4, 2010 at 10:36 PM #509513sdduuuude
ParticipantI’m not saying there isn’t unmet demand, but I’m saying that there is unmet demand because there is not enough inventory at an appropriate price point to meet the demand today.
You can’t compare today’s sales to sales three years ago and say the delta constitutes viable buyers.
In fact, that sales are so low could suggest prices are too high and to get the sales back to where they were, the prices must give.
Regarding the 8 offers on 1 property … To me, that means there are 7 buyers who aren’t in the market at the current price, which of course, is the highest price. It shows interested buyers, but unless all those offers came in really close together, I’m not sure it constitutes it real “demand” at current prices. For all we know, one of them was Nor-LA and he only bid 400K.
Just sayin – more than one way to look at those numbers.
February 4, 2010 at 10:36 PM #509926sdduuuude
ParticipantI’m not saying there isn’t unmet demand, but I’m saying that there is unmet demand because there is not enough inventory at an appropriate price point to meet the demand today.
You can’t compare today’s sales to sales three years ago and say the delta constitutes viable buyers.
In fact, that sales are so low could suggest prices are too high and to get the sales back to where they were, the prices must give.
Regarding the 8 offers on 1 property … To me, that means there are 7 buyers who aren’t in the market at the current price, which of course, is the highest price. It shows interested buyers, but unless all those offers came in really close together, I’m not sure it constitutes it real “demand” at current prices. For all we know, one of them was Nor-LA and he only bid 400K.
Just sayin – more than one way to look at those numbers.
February 4, 2010 at 10:36 PM #510019sdduuuude
ParticipantI’m not saying there isn’t unmet demand, but I’m saying that there is unmet demand because there is not enough inventory at an appropriate price point to meet the demand today.
You can’t compare today’s sales to sales three years ago and say the delta constitutes viable buyers.
In fact, that sales are so low could suggest prices are too high and to get the sales back to where they were, the prices must give.
Regarding the 8 offers on 1 property … To me, that means there are 7 buyers who aren’t in the market at the current price, which of course, is the highest price. It shows interested buyers, but unless all those offers came in really close together, I’m not sure it constitutes it real “demand” at current prices. For all we know, one of them was Nor-LA and he only bid 400K.
Just sayin – more than one way to look at those numbers.
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