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  • June 25, 2010 at 4:06 PM #572606
    DWCAP
    Participant

    [quote=SK in CV][quote=outtamojo]
    Imo it doesn’t matter what builders believe. Lack of building and less than trend household formation are bullish for prices in the far out future.[/quote]

    I think you mean bearish, no?[/quote]

    What he means is that with more American households in the future, more new houses will be needed for them to live in. Therefore, long term, new housing is bullish.

    What he doesnt give is a time line. Who cares if housing is set to be bullish ten years from now, which companies survive that bearish decade is really hard to know from an investment standpoint, and even the dumbest home builders can get their act together in a decade.

    But in general I agree with him, at somepoint in the future housing will boom again.

    June 25, 2010 at 4:23 PM #571605
    SK in CV
    Participant

    [quote=DWCAP]
    What he means is that with more American households in the future, more new houses will be needed for them to live in. Therefore, long term, new housing is bullish.

    [/quote]

    Then bullish would make sense. But what he said was

    [quote=outtamojo]
    Lack of building and less than trend household formation are bullish for prices in the far out future.[/quote]

    “less than trend” sounds like he’s saying that household formation is going down. Which I think is probably true. I’m shorting whatever he’s buying.

    June 25, 2010 at 4:23 PM #571701
    SK in CV
    Participant

    [quote=DWCAP]
    What he means is that with more American households in the future, more new houses will be needed for them to live in. Therefore, long term, new housing is bullish.

    [/quote]

    Then bullish would make sense. But what he said was

    [quote=outtamojo]
    Lack of building and less than trend household formation are bullish for prices in the far out future.[/quote]

    “less than trend” sounds like he’s saying that household formation is going down. Which I think is probably true. I’m shorting whatever he’s buying.

    June 25, 2010 at 4:23 PM #572220
    SK in CV
    Participant

    [quote=DWCAP]
    What he means is that with more American households in the future, more new houses will be needed for them to live in. Therefore, long term, new housing is bullish.

    [/quote]

    Then bullish would make sense. But what he said was

    [quote=outtamojo]
    Lack of building and less than trend household formation are bullish for prices in the far out future.[/quote]

    “less than trend” sounds like he’s saying that household formation is going down. Which I think is probably true. I’m shorting whatever he’s buying.

    June 25, 2010 at 4:23 PM #572328
    SK in CV
    Participant

    [quote=DWCAP]
    What he means is that with more American households in the future, more new houses will be needed for them to live in. Therefore, long term, new housing is bullish.

    [/quote]

    Then bullish would make sense. But what he said was

    [quote=outtamojo]
    Lack of building and less than trend household formation are bullish for prices in the far out future.[/quote]

    “less than trend” sounds like he’s saying that household formation is going down. Which I think is probably true. I’m shorting whatever he’s buying.

    June 25, 2010 at 4:23 PM #572616
    SK in CV
    Participant

    [quote=DWCAP]
    What he means is that with more American households in the future, more new houses will be needed for them to live in. Therefore, long term, new housing is bullish.

    [/quote]

    Then bullish would make sense. But what he said was

    [quote=outtamojo]
    Lack of building and less than trend household formation are bullish for prices in the far out future.[/quote]

    “less than trend” sounds like he’s saying that household formation is going down. Which I think is probably true. I’m shorting whatever he’s buying.

    June 25, 2010 at 4:30 PM #571615
    Arraya
    Participant

    No, it most definitely will not, boom again.

    June 25, 2010 at 4:30 PM #571711
    Arraya
    Participant

    No, it most definitely will not, boom again.

    June 25, 2010 at 4:30 PM #572229
    Arraya
    Participant

    No, it most definitely will not, boom again.

    June 25, 2010 at 4:30 PM #572338
    Arraya
    Participant

    No, it most definitely will not, boom again.

    June 25, 2010 at 4:30 PM #572626
    Arraya
    Participant

    No, it most definitely will not, boom again.

    June 25, 2010 at 10:27 PM #571685
    DWCAP
    Participant

    [quote=Arraya]No, it most definitely will not, boom again.[/quote]

    Sure it will, notice I didnt put any timeline on it. Maybe it will take 1000 years, but it will happen eventually, unless you think the extintion of the human race is nigh.

    June 25, 2010 at 10:27 PM #571781
    DWCAP
    Participant

    [quote=Arraya]No, it most definitely will not, boom again.[/quote]

    Sure it will, notice I didnt put any timeline on it. Maybe it will take 1000 years, but it will happen eventually, unless you think the extintion of the human race is nigh.

    June 25, 2010 at 10:27 PM #572299
    DWCAP
    Participant

    [quote=Arraya]No, it most definitely will not, boom again.[/quote]

    Sure it will, notice I didnt put any timeline on it. Maybe it will take 1000 years, but it will happen eventually, unless you think the extintion of the human race is nigh.

    June 25, 2010 at 10:27 PM #572406
    DWCAP
    Participant

    [quote=Arraya]No, it most definitely will not, boom again.[/quote]

    Sure it will, notice I didnt put any timeline on it. Maybe it will take 1000 years, but it will happen eventually, unless you think the extintion of the human race is nigh.

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