Home › Forums › Closed Forums › Buying and Selling RE › My “suburban compound” search so far: leaning toward Rancho SD.
- This topic has 14 replies, 6 voices, and was last updated 10 months, 2 weeks ago by flyer.
July 23, 2022 at 2:34 PM #23212July 24, 2022 at 7:34 AM #826416
When cars self drive, distant suburbs will appreciate more since an extra 15 minute commute is just an extra 15 minutes playing on your phone or watching netflix, which you were going to do anyway.
Unfortunately I think door to door real self drive is still 8-10 years away.July 24, 2022 at 3:47 PM #826417
For now, East County is much weaker than OB/PL/Clairemont/UTC. More inventory (2.0-2.5 month supply in the larger zips), more huge price reductions. The big price reduction houses all seem way overpriced beforehand, so I am not reading too much into it.
More significant is there are a lot of fairly priced places cutting prices 50-100k after leas than 3 weeks on the market. That is something I haven’t seen before in large numbers.July 24, 2022 at 4:58 PM #826418HobieParticipant
Is your search just for investment or are considering moving to a space with more room for your family? If kiddos, are you looking at the schools?July 24, 2022 at 8:38 PM #826419
Looking for a 2-family property where the smaller one is for my parents and still 2 bedroom and 900+ SF. I want some hobby farm space too, so more lookout at old homes on big lots. I can’t afford the new homes on big lots.
1 baby born in early 2022, hope to have a couple more. I feel like the difference between average and the absolute best schools is small for K to 2nd, so my school quality concerns are not until around 2030. Looking hardest in the 1.4-1.7 range, up to 2.3 could be possible if the perfect place pops up, but seems like the listings that high are numerically rare and not great values. To put it another way, there are giant improvements between 1.0m and 1.4m homes, but a lot of the 2.0-2.3s the additional value is hard to see.
The proposed Cottonwood Sand Mine looks like a moderate negative for RSD. There’s heavy local opposition, but at first blush it doesn’t look that bad other than the additional truck traffic. It will only operate for 10 years, and in 3 year phases at each subpart, and there will be a nice bike lane and other substantial “free” upgrades to Willow Glen, and the land will be permanently rewilded and undeveloped. It is possible the EIR draft is understating the noise and air pollution risks.
I just made my first low-ballish offer today. I will look at two more places this week, both around Mt Helix, and then make a few more offers if my initial offer isn’t accepted.
I offered 8% below list, and the list price is pretty fair if the seller is OK waiting since the property is expensive and unique and has already been listed 3 months. It is a strange time to be hunting since, even though I am very bullish long term, semi-rural east county high-end had a good chance of falling 8-10% below peak, maybe even 15%. The people there are San Diego natives in much higher numbers and driving the market there, and they don’t have the high incomes of techie transplants.July 28, 2022 at 1:16 PM #826455
Making my first east county offer today!
The big rate drop is encouraging.
Zillow says I can refi my house at 4.5 30 year or 3.6 15 year.
At the same time, jumbo rates on zillow are the same for my purchase, despite MND saying they are .8 lower nationwide. The small number of results leads me to believe zillow isn’t a good place to look, though they are great for conventional mortgages.July 28, 2022 at 4:14 PM #826457CoronitaParticipant
What? This sounds like a bad idea. It’s right up there with going long on Intel, just on a much larger and different scale.
This isn’t suburban living…This is rural living…
You sure your wife is ok with living in a rural area?
I mean if you’re going to do that you might as well seriously consider St. George.
I think you are trying too hard to prove your financial investment finesse, and your pride is going to lead you into making some pretty interesting decisions that you won’t be happy with the results.
Imho, stop and smell the roses. You can’t be right all the time and harder you try, worse the decision process will be.July 28, 2022 at 9:02 PM #826458
Rural isn’t a problem! Rural fringe of a major city can be a great lifestyle.
The offer is on a 1+ acre rural road home but it’s also only 1/2 of a mile from the nearest tract home subdivision and about 1.5 miles from the RSD strip mall area.
I don’t expect it to be profitable initially, I see a good chance of a small further dip, and as I said I don’t think East County is going to perform as well as areas further north. Purely as an investment, I think Santee, Vista and Mira Mesa are best positioned to move upscale as they are already fairly nice and close to high wage job growth.
However, I want my parents on the same lot as me, but a different house. And they want a two-bedroom house so they have a study. I also want gardening and fruit tree space, play areas for my son and future kids. RSD being close to the 94 provides the best value while still feeling upscale.
East County is already weaker than the rest of SD. ~2.5 months of inventory, lots of price reductions, lots of perfectly nice places with reasonable prices sitting on the market.July 28, 2022 at 10:16 PM #826459CoronitaParticipant
Good luck to you in your adventures.July 29, 2022 at 7:22 AM #826460sdrealtorParticipant
Look forward to watching:
“Nezzting in Rancho San Diego” (2022)
and the inevitable sequel
“Fleeing Rancho ZZan Diego” (2024)July 29, 2022 at 8:42 AM #826461The-ShovelerParticipant
I Live in a very rural part of North county (out in the sticks LOL), I am about 7 miles from town.
It’s not for everyone but I like it a lot especially since I have been working remotely the last several years.
Just my two cents.
WalMart delivery still makes it to my door.July 29, 2022 at 9:42 AM #826462sdrealtorParticipant
Fallbrook? One of my good buds lives off Knottwood. Nice spotJuly 29, 2022 at 10:42 AM #826463The-ShovelerParticipant
I feel like courage the cowardly dog sometimes LOL
Just kidding.July 29, 2022 at 12:53 PM #826465
Fallbrook might be too rural for me, but I still enjoy looking at the listings.July 29, 2022 at 7:49 PM #826467flyerParticipant
gzz, totally understand that you want acreage. We felt the same, but, 20+ years ago in San Diego, we were able to choose a home that has acreage and is still city and beach close. If I were making that decision in today’s market, and, if I had to make a choice, I’d probably pass on the rural acreage in order to continue to accommodate our lifestyle.
That said, it sounds like you’ve checked all of your boxes, so I wish you the best, and I hope it all works out the way you’ve envisioned.
- The forum ‘Buying and Selling RE’ is closed to new topics and replies.