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October 27, 2007 at 6:08 PM #10747October 27, 2007 at 10:37 PM #92545patientrenterParticipant
manu, you know most people on this blog think housing is going down more, and for a while. That said, many bloggers who already own homes plan to stay in them, either because they’re not 100% sure about the price decline, or because they are just too comfortable where they are to make a move.
You don’t sound comfortable, as a couple, where you are. So if I were in your shoes, I might move for family harmony, and possible financial gain. If prices rise in the future, well, you might have to set aside some of that extra income to pay for a bigger house, but it won’t kill you.
I wouldn’t trust Zillow. You’d be very lucky to get the Zillow price now.
By the way, you say you won’t get back the $500,000 you spent on improvements. That doesn’t look right to me, based on what you said:
Paid = $950,000 (purchase) + $500,000 (past improvements) + $15,000 (future improvements) = $1,465,000
Current Zillow value = $1,635,000.
Based on Zillow (a risky basis, as I said) you will not only get back every penny of your purchase and improvement money, you will get a tax-free gain of $170,000. If you got the Zillow price, that’s like getting your full physican paychecks starting today instead of 2 years from now. Which just goes to show that, even when the real estate money machine is spluttering it beats, for most people, returns for lucrative work. Something not right there.
Good luck!
Patient renter in OC
October 27, 2007 at 10:37 PM #92574patientrenterParticipantmanu, you know most people on this blog think housing is going down more, and for a while. That said, many bloggers who already own homes plan to stay in them, either because they’re not 100% sure about the price decline, or because they are just too comfortable where they are to make a move.
You don’t sound comfortable, as a couple, where you are. So if I were in your shoes, I might move for family harmony, and possible financial gain. If prices rise in the future, well, you might have to set aside some of that extra income to pay for a bigger house, but it won’t kill you.
I wouldn’t trust Zillow. You’d be very lucky to get the Zillow price now.
By the way, you say you won’t get back the $500,000 you spent on improvements. That doesn’t look right to me, based on what you said:
Paid = $950,000 (purchase) + $500,000 (past improvements) + $15,000 (future improvements) = $1,465,000
Current Zillow value = $1,635,000.
Based on Zillow (a risky basis, as I said) you will not only get back every penny of your purchase and improvement money, you will get a tax-free gain of $170,000. If you got the Zillow price, that’s like getting your full physican paychecks starting today instead of 2 years from now. Which just goes to show that, even when the real estate money machine is spluttering it beats, for most people, returns for lucrative work. Something not right there.
Good luck!
Patient renter in OC
October 27, 2007 at 10:37 PM #92585patientrenterParticipantmanu, you know most people on this blog think housing is going down more, and for a while. That said, many bloggers who already own homes plan to stay in them, either because they’re not 100% sure about the price decline, or because they are just too comfortable where they are to make a move.
You don’t sound comfortable, as a couple, where you are. So if I were in your shoes, I might move for family harmony, and possible financial gain. If prices rise in the future, well, you might have to set aside some of that extra income to pay for a bigger house, but it won’t kill you.
I wouldn’t trust Zillow. You’d be very lucky to get the Zillow price now.
By the way, you say you won’t get back the $500,000 you spent on improvements. That doesn’t look right to me, based on what you said:
Paid = $950,000 (purchase) + $500,000 (past improvements) + $15,000 (future improvements) = $1,465,000
Current Zillow value = $1,635,000.
Based on Zillow (a risky basis, as I said) you will not only get back every penny of your purchase and improvement money, you will get a tax-free gain of $170,000. If you got the Zillow price, that’s like getting your full physican paychecks starting today instead of 2 years from now. Which just goes to show that, even when the real estate money machine is spluttering it beats, for most people, returns for lucrative work. Something not right there.
Good luck!
Patient renter in OC
October 28, 2007 at 12:03 AM #92566PortlockParticipantI’d just like to try to summarize:
1) You bought close to the peak
2) You spent half the purchase price just to improve the property to Zillow estimates (which may now be inflated…)
3) You wonder if you should spend more to improve the property during a declining market, thinking that it should ‘affect positively the house value’.
Sounds like you want to break even, or better make some profit….
If you had purchased with the idea that your property was a long term investment, i.e, more than 4 years, why would you care if the ‘marking is crushing’?
As a buyer, I don’t care what influence your ‘money pit’ has had on your ‘relationship
because of the financial stressor.’ That is a consequence of your decision to overpay for the place to begin with.Yes, I would appreciate it if you put 500,000 dollars more into your home, because I am the one who will be looking to buy your property when the market has regained some reasonability, and that figure will be much lower than what your vice is currently telling you.
If you want to put the finishing touches on your house thinking that will increase the value of the property, then you meet all the definitions of a flipper.
Sorry for the venom….I make a better than average wage, have no debt, have substantial savings and a great job and I’m still priced out of the market? WTF…
October 28, 2007 at 12:03 AM #92595PortlockParticipantI’d just like to try to summarize:
1) You bought close to the peak
2) You spent half the purchase price just to improve the property to Zillow estimates (which may now be inflated…)
3) You wonder if you should spend more to improve the property during a declining market, thinking that it should ‘affect positively the house value’.
Sounds like you want to break even, or better make some profit….
If you had purchased with the idea that your property was a long term investment, i.e, more than 4 years, why would you care if the ‘marking is crushing’?
As a buyer, I don’t care what influence your ‘money pit’ has had on your ‘relationship
because of the financial stressor.’ That is a consequence of your decision to overpay for the place to begin with.Yes, I would appreciate it if you put 500,000 dollars more into your home, because I am the one who will be looking to buy your property when the market has regained some reasonability, and that figure will be much lower than what your vice is currently telling you.
If you want to put the finishing touches on your house thinking that will increase the value of the property, then you meet all the definitions of a flipper.
Sorry for the venom….I make a better than average wage, have no debt, have substantial savings and a great job and I’m still priced out of the market? WTF…
October 28, 2007 at 12:03 AM #92606PortlockParticipantI’d just like to try to summarize:
1) You bought close to the peak
2) You spent half the purchase price just to improve the property to Zillow estimates (which may now be inflated…)
3) You wonder if you should spend more to improve the property during a declining market, thinking that it should ‘affect positively the house value’.
Sounds like you want to break even, or better make some profit….
If you had purchased with the idea that your property was a long term investment, i.e, more than 4 years, why would you care if the ‘marking is crushing’?
As a buyer, I don’t care what influence your ‘money pit’ has had on your ‘relationship
because of the financial stressor.’ That is a consequence of your decision to overpay for the place to begin with.Yes, I would appreciate it if you put 500,000 dollars more into your home, because I am the one who will be looking to buy your property when the market has regained some reasonability, and that figure will be much lower than what your vice is currently telling you.
If you want to put the finishing touches on your house thinking that will increase the value of the property, then you meet all the definitions of a flipper.
Sorry for the venom….I make a better than average wage, have no debt, have substantial savings and a great job and I’m still priced out of the market? WTF…
October 28, 2007 at 3:11 AM #92572Diego MamaniParticipantManu,
To answer your question we need to know where you expect to be 5 and 10 years from now, proessionally, personally, and geographically. Also, why did you decide to buy such a huge house in the first place? (The answer to that question culd be illuminating). And wuld you pay near $1MM for a house that wasn’t in move-in condition?
That said, if you think that you’ll stay in the same area for the next 10 years, it may be best to stay put and work dilligently towards paying down your $600K mortgage. I know you said that all your money goes into the house. Is that really tru? For instance, how much are your car payments? If you bought a used Corolla and shared it among the two of you, and kept it for another 10 years, you could have some substantial savings. The same is true of eating out, giving to charity, travel, etc. You can find money to pay your debt.
If you work hard towards paying off your mortgage, and then you sell the house when the next boom peaks (not earlier than in the later part of the next decade IMO), you’ll have a huge nest egg to retire on.
Forget Zillow. My old house, which I sold at the top of the market in 2005, now it’s valued by Zillow at about 23% over what it could realistically sell for today.
D.M.
October 28, 2007 at 3:11 AM #92601Diego MamaniParticipantManu,
To answer your question we need to know where you expect to be 5 and 10 years from now, proessionally, personally, and geographically. Also, why did you decide to buy such a huge house in the first place? (The answer to that question culd be illuminating). And wuld you pay near $1MM for a house that wasn’t in move-in condition?
That said, if you think that you’ll stay in the same area for the next 10 years, it may be best to stay put and work dilligently towards paying down your $600K mortgage. I know you said that all your money goes into the house. Is that really tru? For instance, how much are your car payments? If you bought a used Corolla and shared it among the two of you, and kept it for another 10 years, you could have some substantial savings. The same is true of eating out, giving to charity, travel, etc. You can find money to pay your debt.
If you work hard towards paying off your mortgage, and then you sell the house when the next boom peaks (not earlier than in the later part of the next decade IMO), you’ll have a huge nest egg to retire on.
Forget Zillow. My old house, which I sold at the top of the market in 2005, now it’s valued by Zillow at about 23% over what it could realistically sell for today.
D.M.
October 28, 2007 at 3:11 AM #92612Diego MamaniParticipantManu,
To answer your question we need to know where you expect to be 5 and 10 years from now, proessionally, personally, and geographically. Also, why did you decide to buy such a huge house in the first place? (The answer to that question culd be illuminating). And wuld you pay near $1MM for a house that wasn’t in move-in condition?
That said, if you think that you’ll stay in the same area for the next 10 years, it may be best to stay put and work dilligently towards paying down your $600K mortgage. I know you said that all your money goes into the house. Is that really tru? For instance, how much are your car payments? If you bought a used Corolla and shared it among the two of you, and kept it for another 10 years, you could have some substantial savings. The same is true of eating out, giving to charity, travel, etc. You can find money to pay your debt.
If you work hard towards paying off your mortgage, and then you sell the house when the next boom peaks (not earlier than in the later part of the next decade IMO), you’ll have a huge nest egg to retire on.
Forget Zillow. My old house, which I sold at the top of the market in 2005, now it’s valued by Zillow at about 23% over what it could realistically sell for today.
D.M.
October 28, 2007 at 8:02 AM #925844plexownerParticipantIf you need to borrow $15K for finishing touches YOU CAN’T AFFORD THE HOUSE
Where is your six months of living expenses that you have tucked away in the bank for a rainy day? Why don’t you tap that money? Because it doesn’t exist?
Two people living in 4200 SQFT? $300K/year in income and you don’t have $15K liquid? Give me a f’ing break!
October 28, 2007 at 8:02 AM #926134plexownerParticipantIf you need to borrow $15K for finishing touches YOU CAN’T AFFORD THE HOUSE
Where is your six months of living expenses that you have tucked away in the bank for a rainy day? Why don’t you tap that money? Because it doesn’t exist?
Two people living in 4200 SQFT? $300K/year in income and you don’t have $15K liquid? Give me a f’ing break!
October 28, 2007 at 8:02 AM #926244plexownerParticipantIf you need to borrow $15K for finishing touches YOU CAN’T AFFORD THE HOUSE
Where is your six months of living expenses that you have tucked away in the bank for a rainy day? Why don’t you tap that money? Because it doesn’t exist?
Two people living in 4200 SQFT? $300K/year in income and you don’t have $15K liquid? Give me a f’ing break!
October 28, 2007 at 8:09 AM #92587bsrsharmaParticipantManu,
I am not sure I see a compelling reason for you to sell in this market. Much of the damage has been done and you will probably suffer a net cash loss if you sell. If you can continue to live there and not get too nervous about market gyrations, you will be OK. Just remember: a lot of people will be willing to do anything to be in your shoes and have your problems! Enjoy your life – there is more to living than crying over asset bubbles.
On a positive side, A good million $ home in a nice neighborhood in LA region is a good hedge against $ devaluation and inflation that is inevitable in the next 10 years. You will be a happier person by 2020.
October 28, 2007 at 8:09 AM #92617bsrsharmaParticipantManu,
I am not sure I see a compelling reason for you to sell in this market. Much of the damage has been done and you will probably suffer a net cash loss if you sell. If you can continue to live there and not get too nervous about market gyrations, you will be OK. Just remember: a lot of people will be willing to do anything to be in your shoes and have your problems! Enjoy your life – there is more to living than crying over asset bubbles.
On a positive side, A good million $ home in a nice neighborhood in LA region is a good hedge against $ devaluation and inflation that is inevitable in the next 10 years. You will be a happier person by 2020.
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