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August 19, 2011 at 12:49 PM #722583August 19, 2011 at 1:13 PM #721378bearishgurlParticipant
[quote=sdcellar]If instead, that’s a bad interpretation and the Stonebridge property was something approaching a steal, then still don’t let the M-R equivalence fool you. You saved the money on the purchase price of the house plain and simple. M-R didn’t suddenly become awesome. (and if you really think about it, as a percentage of purchase price, the M-R is even higher!)[/quote]
sdcellar, if I understand you correctly here, are you saying that since the builders in SB didn’t receive a (lump-sum equivalent of 30 yrs worth of MR) in the purchase prices that these properties originally sold for and instead owners’ annual MR payments were diverted to bonds to run the CFD(s), that the buyers who bought new in SB and possibly thought they were getting a “good deal” at the time weren’t because they were paying exactly what the market would bear at the time (and still give the developers a profit)? And that the price they paid had nothing to do with whether MR bonds were present there or not? Of course, the above is all irrespective of the boom/bust cycle that took place.
If this is what you are saying, I agree. A resale buyer will try to get the most “bang for their buck” in their price range and will add the remaining MR encumbrance onto the price of the property when comparing that property to a non MR-encumbered comparable one (apples to apples).
Unfortunately, there aren’t yet enough “traditional” resales which took place in a “normal” market to prove whether a property in some of these recently-built high-MR communities will appreciate sufficiently over an average length of ownership of say, 7-10 years, to determine if taking on these MR encumbrances was “a good investment.”
But this is a very interesting subject, nonetheless.
I haven’t studied the comps but this is why I think the SCP community may very well attract a different subset buyers who are shopping in a higher price range than SB buyers and properties in SCP may be more valuable, overall.
But I don’t know for sure. I’m not very familiar with the various communities of SR.
August 19, 2011 at 1:13 PM #721471bearishgurlParticipant[quote=sdcellar]If instead, that’s a bad interpretation and the Stonebridge property was something approaching a steal, then still don’t let the M-R equivalence fool you. You saved the money on the purchase price of the house plain and simple. M-R didn’t suddenly become awesome. (and if you really think about it, as a percentage of purchase price, the M-R is even higher!)[/quote]
sdcellar, if I understand you correctly here, are you saying that since the builders in SB didn’t receive a (lump-sum equivalent of 30 yrs worth of MR) in the purchase prices that these properties originally sold for and instead owners’ annual MR payments were diverted to bonds to run the CFD(s), that the buyers who bought new in SB and possibly thought they were getting a “good deal” at the time weren’t because they were paying exactly what the market would bear at the time (and still give the developers a profit)? And that the price they paid had nothing to do with whether MR bonds were present there or not? Of course, the above is all irrespective of the boom/bust cycle that took place.
If this is what you are saying, I agree. A resale buyer will try to get the most “bang for their buck” in their price range and will add the remaining MR encumbrance onto the price of the property when comparing that property to a non MR-encumbered comparable one (apples to apples).
Unfortunately, there aren’t yet enough “traditional” resales which took place in a “normal” market to prove whether a property in some of these recently-built high-MR communities will appreciate sufficiently over an average length of ownership of say, 7-10 years, to determine if taking on these MR encumbrances was “a good investment.”
But this is a very interesting subject, nonetheless.
I haven’t studied the comps but this is why I think the SCP community may very well attract a different subset buyers who are shopping in a higher price range than SB buyers and properties in SCP may be more valuable, overall.
But I don’t know for sure. I’m not very familiar with the various communities of SR.
August 19, 2011 at 1:13 PM #722072bearishgurlParticipant[quote=sdcellar]If instead, that’s a bad interpretation and the Stonebridge property was something approaching a steal, then still don’t let the M-R equivalence fool you. You saved the money on the purchase price of the house plain and simple. M-R didn’t suddenly become awesome. (and if you really think about it, as a percentage of purchase price, the M-R is even higher!)[/quote]
sdcellar, if I understand you correctly here, are you saying that since the builders in SB didn’t receive a (lump-sum equivalent of 30 yrs worth of MR) in the purchase prices that these properties originally sold for and instead owners’ annual MR payments were diverted to bonds to run the CFD(s), that the buyers who bought new in SB and possibly thought they were getting a “good deal” at the time weren’t because they were paying exactly what the market would bear at the time (and still give the developers a profit)? And that the price they paid had nothing to do with whether MR bonds were present there or not? Of course, the above is all irrespective of the boom/bust cycle that took place.
If this is what you are saying, I agree. A resale buyer will try to get the most “bang for their buck” in their price range and will add the remaining MR encumbrance onto the price of the property when comparing that property to a non MR-encumbered comparable one (apples to apples).
Unfortunately, there aren’t yet enough “traditional” resales which took place in a “normal” market to prove whether a property in some of these recently-built high-MR communities will appreciate sufficiently over an average length of ownership of say, 7-10 years, to determine if taking on these MR encumbrances was “a good investment.”
But this is a very interesting subject, nonetheless.
I haven’t studied the comps but this is why I think the SCP community may very well attract a different subset buyers who are shopping in a higher price range than SB buyers and properties in SCP may be more valuable, overall.
But I don’t know for sure. I’m not very familiar with the various communities of SR.
August 19, 2011 at 1:13 PM #722229bearishgurlParticipant[quote=sdcellar]If instead, that’s a bad interpretation and the Stonebridge property was something approaching a steal, then still don’t let the M-R equivalence fool you. You saved the money on the purchase price of the house plain and simple. M-R didn’t suddenly become awesome. (and if you really think about it, as a percentage of purchase price, the M-R is even higher!)[/quote]
sdcellar, if I understand you correctly here, are you saying that since the builders in SB didn’t receive a (lump-sum equivalent of 30 yrs worth of MR) in the purchase prices that these properties originally sold for and instead owners’ annual MR payments were diverted to bonds to run the CFD(s), that the buyers who bought new in SB and possibly thought they were getting a “good deal” at the time weren’t because they were paying exactly what the market would bear at the time (and still give the developers a profit)? And that the price they paid had nothing to do with whether MR bonds were present there or not? Of course, the above is all irrespective of the boom/bust cycle that took place.
If this is what you are saying, I agree. A resale buyer will try to get the most “bang for their buck” in their price range and will add the remaining MR encumbrance onto the price of the property when comparing that property to a non MR-encumbered comparable one (apples to apples).
Unfortunately, there aren’t yet enough “traditional” resales which took place in a “normal” market to prove whether a property in some of these recently-built high-MR communities will appreciate sufficiently over an average length of ownership of say, 7-10 years, to determine if taking on these MR encumbrances was “a good investment.”
But this is a very interesting subject, nonetheless.
I haven’t studied the comps but this is why I think the SCP community may very well attract a different subset buyers who are shopping in a higher price range than SB buyers and properties in SCP may be more valuable, overall.
But I don’t know for sure. I’m not very familiar with the various communities of SR.
August 19, 2011 at 1:13 PM #722593bearishgurlParticipant[quote=sdcellar]If instead, that’s a bad interpretation and the Stonebridge property was something approaching a steal, then still don’t let the M-R equivalence fool you. You saved the money on the purchase price of the house plain and simple. M-R didn’t suddenly become awesome. (and if you really think about it, as a percentage of purchase price, the M-R is even higher!)[/quote]
sdcellar, if I understand you correctly here, are you saying that since the builders in SB didn’t receive a (lump-sum equivalent of 30 yrs worth of MR) in the purchase prices that these properties originally sold for and instead owners’ annual MR payments were diverted to bonds to run the CFD(s), that the buyers who bought new in SB and possibly thought they were getting a “good deal” at the time weren’t because they were paying exactly what the market would bear at the time (and still give the developers a profit)? And that the price they paid had nothing to do with whether MR bonds were present there or not? Of course, the above is all irrespective of the boom/bust cycle that took place.
If this is what you are saying, I agree. A resale buyer will try to get the most “bang for their buck” in their price range and will add the remaining MR encumbrance onto the price of the property when comparing that property to a non MR-encumbered comparable one (apples to apples).
Unfortunately, there aren’t yet enough “traditional” resales which took place in a “normal” market to prove whether a property in some of these recently-built high-MR communities will appreciate sufficiently over an average length of ownership of say, 7-10 years, to determine if taking on these MR encumbrances was “a good investment.”
But this is a very interesting subject, nonetheless.
I haven’t studied the comps but this is why I think the SCP community may very well attract a different subset buyers who are shopping in a higher price range than SB buyers and properties in SCP may be more valuable, overall.
But I don’t know for sure. I’m not very familiar with the various communities of SR.
August 19, 2011 at 1:22 PM #721383bearishgurlParticipantsdcellar, that last question to you was a “run-on” sentence, lol.
What I’m trying to ask here is, “Do you think the new properties in SB would have sold for the SAME price as they did even if the area DID NOT have MR?”
August 19, 2011 at 1:22 PM #721476bearishgurlParticipantsdcellar, that last question to you was a “run-on” sentence, lol.
What I’m trying to ask here is, “Do you think the new properties in SB would have sold for the SAME price as they did even if the area DID NOT have MR?”
August 19, 2011 at 1:22 PM #722077bearishgurlParticipantsdcellar, that last question to you was a “run-on” sentence, lol.
What I’m trying to ask here is, “Do you think the new properties in SB would have sold for the SAME price as they did even if the area DID NOT have MR?”
August 19, 2011 at 1:22 PM #722234bearishgurlParticipantsdcellar, that last question to you was a “run-on” sentence, lol.
What I’m trying to ask here is, “Do you think the new properties in SB would have sold for the SAME price as they did even if the area DID NOT have MR?”
August 19, 2011 at 1:22 PM #722598bearishgurlParticipantsdcellar, that last question to you was a “run-on” sentence, lol.
What I’m trying to ask here is, “Do you think the new properties in SB would have sold for the SAME price as they did even if the area DID NOT have MR?”
August 19, 2011 at 1:52 PM #721403sdcellarParticipantMy contention is that they almost certainly would have sold for higher prices.
I should also take this opportunity to correct myself and acknowledge that the one other thing that will negate the impact of significant M-R taxes is time itself. In twenty years or so, they should be paid off and become a non-factor (and this may well occur more quickly than inflation will numb the hit).
I’ve heard anecdotally that the M-R assessments can be extended, but I have no idea how often it occurs to any meaningful extent.
A buyer today would still be wise to not overrate such long-term effects, however. That is, be careful not to put too much stock into the 30-year (or 20-) argument as many homeowners never get there. If instead, it’s honestly your home to die in, then yes, your kids might not be so affected by your currently (outrageous) Mello-Roos.
August 19, 2011 at 1:52 PM #721496sdcellarParticipantMy contention is that they almost certainly would have sold for higher prices.
I should also take this opportunity to correct myself and acknowledge that the one other thing that will negate the impact of significant M-R taxes is time itself. In twenty years or so, they should be paid off and become a non-factor (and this may well occur more quickly than inflation will numb the hit).
I’ve heard anecdotally that the M-R assessments can be extended, but I have no idea how often it occurs to any meaningful extent.
A buyer today would still be wise to not overrate such long-term effects, however. That is, be careful not to put too much stock into the 30-year (or 20-) argument as many homeowners never get there. If instead, it’s honestly your home to die in, then yes, your kids might not be so affected by your currently (outrageous) Mello-Roos.
August 19, 2011 at 1:52 PM #722097sdcellarParticipantMy contention is that they almost certainly would have sold for higher prices.
I should also take this opportunity to correct myself and acknowledge that the one other thing that will negate the impact of significant M-R taxes is time itself. In twenty years or so, they should be paid off and become a non-factor (and this may well occur more quickly than inflation will numb the hit).
I’ve heard anecdotally that the M-R assessments can be extended, but I have no idea how often it occurs to any meaningful extent.
A buyer today would still be wise to not overrate such long-term effects, however. That is, be careful not to put too much stock into the 30-year (or 20-) argument as many homeowners never get there. If instead, it’s honestly your home to die in, then yes, your kids might not be so affected by your currently (outrageous) Mello-Roos.
August 19, 2011 at 1:52 PM #722254sdcellarParticipantMy contention is that they almost certainly would have sold for higher prices.
I should also take this opportunity to correct myself and acknowledge that the one other thing that will negate the impact of significant M-R taxes is time itself. In twenty years or so, they should be paid off and become a non-factor (and this may well occur more quickly than inflation will numb the hit).
I’ve heard anecdotally that the M-R assessments can be extended, but I have no idea how often it occurs to any meaningful extent.
A buyer today would still be wise to not overrate such long-term effects, however. That is, be careful not to put too much stock into the 30-year (or 20-) argument as many homeowners never get there. If instead, it’s honestly your home to die in, then yes, your kids might not be so affected by your currently (outrageous) Mello-Roos.
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