- This topic has 75 replies, 11 voices, and was last updated 16 years, 9 months ago by Arraya.
-
AuthorPosts
-
February 24, 2008 at 10:59 AM #158951February 24, 2008 at 11:45 AM #158966kewpParticipant
There is no reason you can’t have inflation and deflation going on simultaneously. I’m not even sure why this is such a big debate.
The fed inflates money supply. This in turn inflates a housing bubble. Inflation.
Bubble pops. Deflation.
All that money needs a new home and finds commodities. More inflation.
One thing is for sure though, wages are not inflating!
February 24, 2008 at 11:45 AM #159260kewpParticipantThere is no reason you can’t have inflation and deflation going on simultaneously. I’m not even sure why this is such a big debate.
The fed inflates money supply. This in turn inflates a housing bubble. Inflation.
Bubble pops. Deflation.
All that money needs a new home and finds commodities. More inflation.
One thing is for sure though, wages are not inflating!
February 24, 2008 at 11:45 AM #159271kewpParticipantThere is no reason you can’t have inflation and deflation going on simultaneously. I’m not even sure why this is such a big debate.
The fed inflates money supply. This in turn inflates a housing bubble. Inflation.
Bubble pops. Deflation.
All that money needs a new home and finds commodities. More inflation.
One thing is for sure though, wages are not inflating!
February 24, 2008 at 11:45 AM #159277kewpParticipantThere is no reason you can’t have inflation and deflation going on simultaneously. I’m not even sure why this is such a big debate.
The fed inflates money supply. This in turn inflates a housing bubble. Inflation.
Bubble pops. Deflation.
All that money needs a new home and finds commodities. More inflation.
One thing is for sure though, wages are not inflating!
February 24, 2008 at 11:45 AM #159354kewpParticipantThere is no reason you can’t have inflation and deflation going on simultaneously. I’m not even sure why this is such a big debate.
The fed inflates money supply. This in turn inflates a housing bubble. Inflation.
Bubble pops. Deflation.
All that money needs a new home and finds commodities. More inflation.
One thing is for sure though, wages are not inflating!
February 24, 2008 at 12:38 PM #159002macmichaelParticipantSee UT sunday business section, Dean Calbreath article. Sorry don’t know how to get it tied in here, maybe someone else can help with that.
He says oil should not be over about $ 78 – 80 at present and lots of speculation, hyping, manipulation going on so hedge funds, etc can make money.
It appears that in short term he is very much on. I suspect that there is a pump going on to push the price of oil up to $ 105 – $ 112 trying to set up a supposed new base level. Then a dump which will take it down to about $ 80 for the next period ( 3 – 9 months ? ).
Those shorting or positioned to benefit from the drop will make money. Then repositioning to go long and watch as the price reclimbs in the face of real “peak oil”. I wouldn’t be surprised if this cycle repeats a number of times till a break out on the high side.
How do others who follow oil think this will play out? Do we need to start a new thread just on oil futures?
February 24, 2008 at 12:38 PM #159390macmichaelParticipantSee UT sunday business section, Dean Calbreath article. Sorry don’t know how to get it tied in here, maybe someone else can help with that.
He says oil should not be over about $ 78 – 80 at present and lots of speculation, hyping, manipulation going on so hedge funds, etc can make money.
It appears that in short term he is very much on. I suspect that there is a pump going on to push the price of oil up to $ 105 – $ 112 trying to set up a supposed new base level. Then a dump which will take it down to about $ 80 for the next period ( 3 – 9 months ? ).
Those shorting or positioned to benefit from the drop will make money. Then repositioning to go long and watch as the price reclimbs in the face of real “peak oil”. I wouldn’t be surprised if this cycle repeats a number of times till a break out on the high side.
How do others who follow oil think this will play out? Do we need to start a new thread just on oil futures?
February 24, 2008 at 12:38 PM #159313macmichaelParticipantSee UT sunday business section, Dean Calbreath article. Sorry don’t know how to get it tied in here, maybe someone else can help with that.
He says oil should not be over about $ 78 – 80 at present and lots of speculation, hyping, manipulation going on so hedge funds, etc can make money.
It appears that in short term he is very much on. I suspect that there is a pump going on to push the price of oil up to $ 105 – $ 112 trying to set up a supposed new base level. Then a dump which will take it down to about $ 80 for the next period ( 3 – 9 months ? ).
Those shorting or positioned to benefit from the drop will make money. Then repositioning to go long and watch as the price reclimbs in the face of real “peak oil”. I wouldn’t be surprised if this cycle repeats a number of times till a break out on the high side.
How do others who follow oil think this will play out? Do we need to start a new thread just on oil futures?
February 24, 2008 at 12:38 PM #159306macmichaelParticipantSee UT sunday business section, Dean Calbreath article. Sorry don’t know how to get it tied in here, maybe someone else can help with that.
He says oil should not be over about $ 78 – 80 at present and lots of speculation, hyping, manipulation going on so hedge funds, etc can make money.
It appears that in short term he is very much on. I suspect that there is a pump going on to push the price of oil up to $ 105 – $ 112 trying to set up a supposed new base level. Then a dump which will take it down to about $ 80 for the next period ( 3 – 9 months ? ).
Those shorting or positioned to benefit from the drop will make money. Then repositioning to go long and watch as the price reclimbs in the face of real “peak oil”. I wouldn’t be surprised if this cycle repeats a number of times till a break out on the high side.
How do others who follow oil think this will play out? Do we need to start a new thread just on oil futures?
February 24, 2008 at 12:38 PM #159295macmichaelParticipantSee UT sunday business section, Dean Calbreath article. Sorry don’t know how to get it tied in here, maybe someone else can help with that.
He says oil should not be over about $ 78 – 80 at present and lots of speculation, hyping, manipulation going on so hedge funds, etc can make money.
It appears that in short term he is very much on. I suspect that there is a pump going on to push the price of oil up to $ 105 – $ 112 trying to set up a supposed new base level. Then a dump which will take it down to about $ 80 for the next period ( 3 – 9 months ? ).
Those shorting or positioned to benefit from the drop will make money. Then repositioning to go long and watch as the price reclimbs in the face of real “peak oil”. I wouldn’t be surprised if this cycle repeats a number of times till a break out on the high side.
How do others who follow oil think this will play out? Do we need to start a new thread just on oil futures?
February 24, 2008 at 7:08 PM #159140ArrayaParticipant“See UT sunday business section, Dean Calbreath article. Sorry don’t know how to get it tied in here, maybe someone else can help with that.
He says oil should not be over about $ 78 – 80 at present and lots of speculation, hyping, manipulation going on so hedge funds, etc can make money.”
These guys f’n kill me. How do you even price something that is so vital to industrial life, about to be in short supply and has no viable replacement.
The market will price accordingly when we fall off our 85 million bbl per day plateau that we have been for almost 3 years.
Price fluxuations while we are at flat production is merely noise and all these so called “analyists” are doing is creating a narrative. We would be better served if he looked at production rates, new discoveries, declining fields and declining exports rates of oil exporting countries when discussing future prices.
$.15 a cup is way too cheap for a substance that creates so many btus. Starbucks coffee is priced higher than oil by our free market. Lets see which is priced higher when the declines start.
February 24, 2008 at 7:08 PM #159435ArrayaParticipant“See UT sunday business section, Dean Calbreath article. Sorry don’t know how to get it tied in here, maybe someone else can help with that.
He says oil should not be over about $ 78 – 80 at present and lots of speculation, hyping, manipulation going on so hedge funds, etc can make money.”
These guys f’n kill me. How do you even price something that is so vital to industrial life, about to be in short supply and has no viable replacement.
The market will price accordingly when we fall off our 85 million bbl per day plateau that we have been for almost 3 years.
Price fluxuations while we are at flat production is merely noise and all these so called “analyists” are doing is creating a narrative. We would be better served if he looked at production rates, new discoveries, declining fields and declining exports rates of oil exporting countries when discussing future prices.
$.15 a cup is way too cheap for a substance that creates so many btus. Starbucks coffee is priced higher than oil by our free market. Lets see which is priced higher when the declines start.
February 24, 2008 at 7:08 PM #159450ArrayaParticipant“See UT sunday business section, Dean Calbreath article. Sorry don’t know how to get it tied in here, maybe someone else can help with that.
He says oil should not be over about $ 78 – 80 at present and lots of speculation, hyping, manipulation going on so hedge funds, etc can make money.”
These guys f’n kill me. How do you even price something that is so vital to industrial life, about to be in short supply and has no viable replacement.
The market will price accordingly when we fall off our 85 million bbl per day plateau that we have been for almost 3 years.
Price fluxuations while we are at flat production is merely noise and all these so called “analyists” are doing is creating a narrative. We would be better served if he looked at production rates, new discoveries, declining fields and declining exports rates of oil exporting countries when discussing future prices.
$.15 a cup is way too cheap for a substance that creates so many btus. Starbucks coffee is priced higher than oil by our free market. Lets see which is priced higher when the declines start.
February 24, 2008 at 7:08 PM #159452ArrayaParticipant“See UT sunday business section, Dean Calbreath article. Sorry don’t know how to get it tied in here, maybe someone else can help with that.
He says oil should not be over about $ 78 – 80 at present and lots of speculation, hyping, manipulation going on so hedge funds, etc can make money.”
These guys f’n kill me. How do you even price something that is so vital to industrial life, about to be in short supply and has no viable replacement.
The market will price accordingly when we fall off our 85 million bbl per day plateau that we have been for almost 3 years.
Price fluxuations while we are at flat production is merely noise and all these so called “analyists” are doing is creating a narrative. We would be better served if he looked at production rates, new discoveries, declining fields and declining exports rates of oil exporting countries when discussing future prices.
$.15 a cup is way too cheap for a substance that creates so many btus. Starbucks coffee is priced higher than oil by our free market. Lets see which is priced higher when the declines start.
-
AuthorPosts
- You must be logged in to reply to this topic.