- This topic has 185 replies, 19 voices, and was last updated 13 years, 4 months ago by
enron_by_the_sea.
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December 15, 2010 at 4:33 PM #640992December 15, 2010 at 5:04 PM #639897
enron_by_the_sea
Participantbragging =ON
In the old post ( http://piggington.com/how_low_will_mortgage_rates_go_in_the_next_two_years ) I predicted a low of 3.75% on 30-year fixed. Apparently I was 0.25% more optimistic. sdrealtor and DWCAP were spot on.
bragging =OFF
I still stand by my prediction that this was the absolute low in my lifetime. (Let’s see how well I do.)
Going forward following can happen.
(0)Economy recovers at fast pace – Rates zoom up and buyers snap up houses. Means you missed the golden chance. <-- HIGHLY UNLIKELY (1) Economy recovers at slow pace with small crisis here and there. - Rates will creep up a little bit when everything is calm and drop down when there is stress coming close to this October levels. Prices stagnate. That means you will have your chance later. <--- HIGLY LIKELY (2) There is a big crisis in the financial markets and then in the economy. - Mtg Rates will not fall because risk premiums will rise. House prices will fall. But you won't buy because you will be worried about your job and possibility of further drop in prices. Therefore you might as well forget about this. π <-- SOMEWHAT UNLIKELY (3) Uncle Sam decides to offer you 3.5% mortgage. With tea party, republican congress, Chinese debt, rising budget deficit and slowly awakening bond market do you really think this could happen? <-- NO CHANCE (4) Hyperinflation - 11% mortgage rates return. But house prices will rise in response to inflation too. <-- HIGHLY UNLIKELY
December 15, 2010 at 5:04 PM #639968enron_by_the_sea
Participantbragging =ON
In the old post ( http://piggington.com/how_low_will_mortgage_rates_go_in_the_next_two_years ) I predicted a low of 3.75% on 30-year fixed. Apparently I was 0.25% more optimistic. sdrealtor and DWCAP were spot on.
bragging =OFF
I still stand by my prediction that this was the absolute low in my lifetime. (Let’s see how well I do.)
Going forward following can happen.
(0)Economy recovers at fast pace – Rates zoom up and buyers snap up houses. Means you missed the golden chance. <-- HIGHLY UNLIKELY (1) Economy recovers at slow pace with small crisis here and there. - Rates will creep up a little bit when everything is calm and drop down when there is stress coming close to this October levels. Prices stagnate. That means you will have your chance later. <--- HIGLY LIKELY (2) There is a big crisis in the financial markets and then in the economy. - Mtg Rates will not fall because risk premiums will rise. House prices will fall. But you won't buy because you will be worried about your job and possibility of further drop in prices. Therefore you might as well forget about this. π <-- SOMEWHAT UNLIKELY (3) Uncle Sam decides to offer you 3.5% mortgage. With tea party, republican congress, Chinese debt, rising budget deficit and slowly awakening bond market do you really think this could happen? <-- NO CHANCE (4) Hyperinflation - 11% mortgage rates return. But house prices will rise in response to inflation too. <-- HIGHLY UNLIKELY
December 15, 2010 at 5:04 PM #640549enron_by_the_sea
Participantbragging =ON
In the old post ( http://piggington.com/how_low_will_mortgage_rates_go_in_the_next_two_years ) I predicted a low of 3.75% on 30-year fixed. Apparently I was 0.25% more optimistic. sdrealtor and DWCAP were spot on.
bragging =OFF
I still stand by my prediction that this was the absolute low in my lifetime. (Let’s see how well I do.)
Going forward following can happen.
(0)Economy recovers at fast pace – Rates zoom up and buyers snap up houses. Means you missed the golden chance. <-- HIGHLY UNLIKELY (1) Economy recovers at slow pace with small crisis here and there. - Rates will creep up a little bit when everything is calm and drop down when there is stress coming close to this October levels. Prices stagnate. That means you will have your chance later. <--- HIGLY LIKELY (2) There is a big crisis in the financial markets and then in the economy. - Mtg Rates will not fall because risk premiums will rise. House prices will fall. But you won't buy because you will be worried about your job and possibility of further drop in prices. Therefore you might as well forget about this. π <-- SOMEWHAT UNLIKELY (3) Uncle Sam decides to offer you 3.5% mortgage. With tea party, republican congress, Chinese debt, rising budget deficit and slowly awakening bond market do you really think this could happen? <-- NO CHANCE (4) Hyperinflation - 11% mortgage rates return. But house prices will rise in response to inflation too. <-- HIGHLY UNLIKELY
December 15, 2010 at 5:04 PM #640685enron_by_the_sea
Participantbragging =ON
In the old post ( http://piggington.com/how_low_will_mortgage_rates_go_in_the_next_two_years ) I predicted a low of 3.75% on 30-year fixed. Apparently I was 0.25% more optimistic. sdrealtor and DWCAP were spot on.
bragging =OFF
I still stand by my prediction that this was the absolute low in my lifetime. (Let’s see how well I do.)
Going forward following can happen.
(0)Economy recovers at fast pace – Rates zoom up and buyers snap up houses. Means you missed the golden chance. <-- HIGHLY UNLIKELY (1) Economy recovers at slow pace with small crisis here and there. - Rates will creep up a little bit when everything is calm and drop down when there is stress coming close to this October levels. Prices stagnate. That means you will have your chance later. <--- HIGLY LIKELY (2) There is a big crisis in the financial markets and then in the economy. - Mtg Rates will not fall because risk premiums will rise. House prices will fall. But you won't buy because you will be worried about your job and possibility of further drop in prices. Therefore you might as well forget about this. π <-- SOMEWHAT UNLIKELY (3) Uncle Sam decides to offer you 3.5% mortgage. With tea party, republican congress, Chinese debt, rising budget deficit and slowly awakening bond market do you really think this could happen? <-- NO CHANCE (4) Hyperinflation - 11% mortgage rates return. But house prices will rise in response to inflation too. <-- HIGHLY UNLIKELY
December 15, 2010 at 5:04 PM #641002enron_by_the_sea
Participantbragging =ON
In the old post ( http://piggington.com/how_low_will_mortgage_rates_go_in_the_next_two_years ) I predicted a low of 3.75% on 30-year fixed. Apparently I was 0.25% more optimistic. sdrealtor and DWCAP were spot on.
bragging =OFF
I still stand by my prediction that this was the absolute low in my lifetime. (Let’s see how well I do.)
Going forward following can happen.
(0)Economy recovers at fast pace – Rates zoom up and buyers snap up houses. Means you missed the golden chance. <-- HIGHLY UNLIKELY (1) Economy recovers at slow pace with small crisis here and there. - Rates will creep up a little bit when everything is calm and drop down when there is stress coming close to this October levels. Prices stagnate. That means you will have your chance later. <--- HIGLY LIKELY (2) There is a big crisis in the financial markets and then in the economy. - Mtg Rates will not fall because risk premiums will rise. House prices will fall. But you won't buy because you will be worried about your job and possibility of further drop in prices. Therefore you might as well forget about this. π <-- SOMEWHAT UNLIKELY (3) Uncle Sam decides to offer you 3.5% mortgage. With tea party, republican congress, Chinese debt, rising budget deficit and slowly awakening bond market do you really think this could happen? <-- NO CHANCE (4) Hyperinflation - 11% mortgage rates return. But house prices will rise in response to inflation too. <-- HIGHLY UNLIKELY
December 15, 2010 at 11:24 PM #640022paramount
ParticipantI just refinanced at 4.8% with a LTV of 103%.
My PI is now $1100/month.
Taxes = $2500/year
December 15, 2010 at 11:24 PM #640093paramount
ParticipantI just refinanced at 4.8% with a LTV of 103%.
My PI is now $1100/month.
Taxes = $2500/year
December 15, 2010 at 11:24 PM #640674paramount
ParticipantI just refinanced at 4.8% with a LTV of 103%.
My PI is now $1100/month.
Taxes = $2500/year
December 15, 2010 at 11:24 PM #640810paramount
ParticipantI just refinanced at 4.8% with a LTV of 103%.
My PI is now $1100/month.
Taxes = $2500/year
December 15, 2010 at 11:24 PM #641127paramount
ParticipantI just refinanced at 4.8% with a LTV of 103%.
My PI is now $1100/month.
Taxes = $2500/year
December 16, 2010 at 12:58 PM #640372briansd1
Guest[quote=paramount]I just refinanced at 4.8% with a LTV of 103%.
My PI is now $1100/month.
Taxes = $2500/year[/quote]
Can you please give a little more detail on your 103% LTV deal?
Fixed with a piggyback? PMI?
Some people might benefit from doing the same thing.
December 16, 2010 at 12:58 PM #640443briansd1
Guest[quote=paramount]I just refinanced at 4.8% with a LTV of 103%.
My PI is now $1100/month.
Taxes = $2500/year[/quote]
Can you please give a little more detail on your 103% LTV deal?
Fixed with a piggyback? PMI?
Some people might benefit from doing the same thing.
December 16, 2010 at 12:58 PM #641024briansd1
Guest[quote=paramount]I just refinanced at 4.8% with a LTV of 103%.
My PI is now $1100/month.
Taxes = $2500/year[/quote]
Can you please give a little more detail on your 103% LTV deal?
Fixed with a piggyback? PMI?
Some people might benefit from doing the same thing.
December 16, 2010 at 12:58 PM #641160briansd1
Guest[quote=paramount]I just refinanced at 4.8% with a LTV of 103%.
My PI is now $1100/month.
Taxes = $2500/year[/quote]
Can you please give a little more detail on your 103% LTV deal?
Fixed with a piggyback? PMI?
Some people might benefit from doing the same thing.
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