Home › Forums › Financial Markets/Economics › gold up 1.5% overnight in Asia
- This topic has 50 replies, 5 voices, and was last updated 16 years ago by
scaredyclassic.
-
AuthorPosts
-
December 2, 2009 at 10:23 AM #490124December 2, 2009 at 10:31 AM #489290
sdduuuude
ParticipantTell me if this sounds crazy.
I’m expecting some badness next year in the stock market, maybe as late as Fall 2010, as we head back into recession.
In 2008, as the market tanked, gold came down hard with the market for a while, but recovered early. With the pain of the market dropping, margin calls and such, supposedly people were selling gold to cover losses in other areas.
I think the same will happen in late 2010. Gold will plod along until then, drop with the next negative stock market event, creating a buying opportunity, then continue upward.
I wouldn’t say it is in a bubble, but I’m not sure it is going to continue steadily upward for much longer.
This is a SWAG, not a researched opinion.
December 2, 2009 at 10:31 AM #489457sdduuuude
ParticipantTell me if this sounds crazy.
I’m expecting some badness next year in the stock market, maybe as late as Fall 2010, as we head back into recession.
In 2008, as the market tanked, gold came down hard with the market for a while, but recovered early. With the pain of the market dropping, margin calls and such, supposedly people were selling gold to cover losses in other areas.
I think the same will happen in late 2010. Gold will plod along until then, drop with the next negative stock market event, creating a buying opportunity, then continue upward.
I wouldn’t say it is in a bubble, but I’m not sure it is going to continue steadily upward for much longer.
This is a SWAG, not a researched opinion.
December 2, 2009 at 10:31 AM #489840sdduuuude
ParticipantTell me if this sounds crazy.
I’m expecting some badness next year in the stock market, maybe as late as Fall 2010, as we head back into recession.
In 2008, as the market tanked, gold came down hard with the market for a while, but recovered early. With the pain of the market dropping, margin calls and such, supposedly people were selling gold to cover losses in other areas.
I think the same will happen in late 2010. Gold will plod along until then, drop with the next negative stock market event, creating a buying opportunity, then continue upward.
I wouldn’t say it is in a bubble, but I’m not sure it is going to continue steadily upward for much longer.
This is a SWAG, not a researched opinion.
December 2, 2009 at 10:31 AM #489928sdduuuude
ParticipantTell me if this sounds crazy.
I’m expecting some badness next year in the stock market, maybe as late as Fall 2010, as we head back into recession.
In 2008, as the market tanked, gold came down hard with the market for a while, but recovered early. With the pain of the market dropping, margin calls and such, supposedly people were selling gold to cover losses in other areas.
I think the same will happen in late 2010. Gold will plod along until then, drop with the next negative stock market event, creating a buying opportunity, then continue upward.
I wouldn’t say it is in a bubble, but I’m not sure it is going to continue steadily upward for much longer.
This is a SWAG, not a researched opinion.
December 2, 2009 at 10:31 AM #490159sdduuuude
ParticipantTell me if this sounds crazy.
I’m expecting some badness next year in the stock market, maybe as late as Fall 2010, as we head back into recession.
In 2008, as the market tanked, gold came down hard with the market for a while, but recovered early. With the pain of the market dropping, margin calls and such, supposedly people were selling gold to cover losses in other areas.
I think the same will happen in late 2010. Gold will plod along until then, drop with the next negative stock market event, creating a buying opportunity, then continue upward.
I wouldn’t say it is in a bubble, but I’m not sure it is going to continue steadily upward for much longer.
This is a SWAG, not a researched opinion.
December 2, 2009 at 11:04 AM #489320scaredyclassic
Participantsounds crazy.
ok, not crazy, but gold and the stock market don’t necessarily correlate. the correlation camp probably says, well, there’s all this money floating around that has to land somehwre, and when losses amount from leverage, people sell whatever they can to pay the losses.
true enough. if it’s people that do the buying.
but if this is a seismic shift, if governments are going to be sucking up huge amounts, if big funds are going to step in and try to preserve assets with a gold-not-stocks theory, then there is no reaosn gold canot decouple from stocks.
gold is as valuable as you beleive fiat money to be worth less. i’d say it’s a good bet over the next 3-5 years. and impossible to time.
stocks are limited in some sense by earnings. IMHO maybe not sucha good bet over the next 3-5 years.
deflation will kill stocks, but not necessarily gold…
December 2, 2009 at 11:04 AM #489487scaredyclassic
Participantsounds crazy.
ok, not crazy, but gold and the stock market don’t necessarily correlate. the correlation camp probably says, well, there’s all this money floating around that has to land somehwre, and when losses amount from leverage, people sell whatever they can to pay the losses.
true enough. if it’s people that do the buying.
but if this is a seismic shift, if governments are going to be sucking up huge amounts, if big funds are going to step in and try to preserve assets with a gold-not-stocks theory, then there is no reaosn gold canot decouple from stocks.
gold is as valuable as you beleive fiat money to be worth less. i’d say it’s a good bet over the next 3-5 years. and impossible to time.
stocks are limited in some sense by earnings. IMHO maybe not sucha good bet over the next 3-5 years.
deflation will kill stocks, but not necessarily gold…
December 2, 2009 at 11:04 AM #489870scaredyclassic
Participantsounds crazy.
ok, not crazy, but gold and the stock market don’t necessarily correlate. the correlation camp probably says, well, there’s all this money floating around that has to land somehwre, and when losses amount from leverage, people sell whatever they can to pay the losses.
true enough. if it’s people that do the buying.
but if this is a seismic shift, if governments are going to be sucking up huge amounts, if big funds are going to step in and try to preserve assets with a gold-not-stocks theory, then there is no reaosn gold canot decouple from stocks.
gold is as valuable as you beleive fiat money to be worth less. i’d say it’s a good bet over the next 3-5 years. and impossible to time.
stocks are limited in some sense by earnings. IMHO maybe not sucha good bet over the next 3-5 years.
deflation will kill stocks, but not necessarily gold…
December 2, 2009 at 11:04 AM #489958scaredyclassic
Participantsounds crazy.
ok, not crazy, but gold and the stock market don’t necessarily correlate. the correlation camp probably says, well, there’s all this money floating around that has to land somehwre, and when losses amount from leverage, people sell whatever they can to pay the losses.
true enough. if it’s people that do the buying.
but if this is a seismic shift, if governments are going to be sucking up huge amounts, if big funds are going to step in and try to preserve assets with a gold-not-stocks theory, then there is no reaosn gold canot decouple from stocks.
gold is as valuable as you beleive fiat money to be worth less. i’d say it’s a good bet over the next 3-5 years. and impossible to time.
stocks are limited in some sense by earnings. IMHO maybe not sucha good bet over the next 3-5 years.
deflation will kill stocks, but not necessarily gold…
December 2, 2009 at 11:04 AM #490189scaredyclassic
Participantsounds crazy.
ok, not crazy, but gold and the stock market don’t necessarily correlate. the correlation camp probably says, well, there’s all this money floating around that has to land somehwre, and when losses amount from leverage, people sell whatever they can to pay the losses.
true enough. if it’s people that do the buying.
but if this is a seismic shift, if governments are going to be sucking up huge amounts, if big funds are going to step in and try to preserve assets with a gold-not-stocks theory, then there is no reaosn gold canot decouple from stocks.
gold is as valuable as you beleive fiat money to be worth less. i’d say it’s a good bet over the next 3-5 years. and impossible to time.
stocks are limited in some sense by earnings. IMHO maybe not sucha good bet over the next 3-5 years.
deflation will kill stocks, but not necessarily gold…
December 2, 2009 at 11:22 AM #489350sdduuuude
ParticipantI agree, they don’t necessarily correlate, but when the market went bad, it took lots of stuff with it for a few weeks.
December 2, 2009 at 11:22 AM #489517sdduuuude
ParticipantI agree, they don’t necessarily correlate, but when the market went bad, it took lots of stuff with it for a few weeks.
December 2, 2009 at 11:22 AM #489900sdduuuude
ParticipantI agree, they don’t necessarily correlate, but when the market went bad, it took lots of stuff with it for a few weeks.
December 2, 2009 at 11:22 AM #489988sdduuuude
ParticipantI agree, they don’t necessarily correlate, but when the market went bad, it took lots of stuff with it for a few weeks.
-
AuthorPosts
- You must be logged in to reply to this topic.
