Home › Forums › Financial Markets/Economics › gold up 1.5% overnight in Asia
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December 2, 2009 at 10:23 AM #489422December 2, 2009 at 10:31 AM #489840sdduuuudeParticipant
Tell me if this sounds crazy.
I’m expecting some badness next year in the stock market, maybe as late as Fall 2010, as we head back into recession.
In 2008, as the market tanked, gold came down hard with the market for a while, but recovered early. With the pain of the market dropping, margin calls and such, supposedly people were selling gold to cover losses in other areas.
I think the same will happen in late 2010. Gold will plod along until then, drop with the next negative stock market event, creating a buying opportunity, then continue upward.
I wouldn’t say it is in a bubble, but I’m not sure it is going to continue steadily upward for much longer.
This is a SWAG, not a researched opinion.
December 2, 2009 at 10:31 AM #490159sdduuuudeParticipantTell me if this sounds crazy.
I’m expecting some badness next year in the stock market, maybe as late as Fall 2010, as we head back into recession.
In 2008, as the market tanked, gold came down hard with the market for a while, but recovered early. With the pain of the market dropping, margin calls and such, supposedly people were selling gold to cover losses in other areas.
I think the same will happen in late 2010. Gold will plod along until then, drop with the next negative stock market event, creating a buying opportunity, then continue upward.
I wouldn’t say it is in a bubble, but I’m not sure it is going to continue steadily upward for much longer.
This is a SWAG, not a researched opinion.
December 2, 2009 at 10:31 AM #489290sdduuuudeParticipantTell me if this sounds crazy.
I’m expecting some badness next year in the stock market, maybe as late as Fall 2010, as we head back into recession.
In 2008, as the market tanked, gold came down hard with the market for a while, but recovered early. With the pain of the market dropping, margin calls and such, supposedly people were selling gold to cover losses in other areas.
I think the same will happen in late 2010. Gold will plod along until then, drop with the next negative stock market event, creating a buying opportunity, then continue upward.
I wouldn’t say it is in a bubble, but I’m not sure it is going to continue steadily upward for much longer.
This is a SWAG, not a researched opinion.
December 2, 2009 at 10:31 AM #489457sdduuuudeParticipantTell me if this sounds crazy.
I’m expecting some badness next year in the stock market, maybe as late as Fall 2010, as we head back into recession.
In 2008, as the market tanked, gold came down hard with the market for a while, but recovered early. With the pain of the market dropping, margin calls and such, supposedly people were selling gold to cover losses in other areas.
I think the same will happen in late 2010. Gold will plod along until then, drop with the next negative stock market event, creating a buying opportunity, then continue upward.
I wouldn’t say it is in a bubble, but I’m not sure it is going to continue steadily upward for much longer.
This is a SWAG, not a researched opinion.
December 2, 2009 at 10:31 AM #489928sdduuuudeParticipantTell me if this sounds crazy.
I’m expecting some badness next year in the stock market, maybe as late as Fall 2010, as we head back into recession.
In 2008, as the market tanked, gold came down hard with the market for a while, but recovered early. With the pain of the market dropping, margin calls and such, supposedly people were selling gold to cover losses in other areas.
I think the same will happen in late 2010. Gold will plod along until then, drop with the next negative stock market event, creating a buying opportunity, then continue upward.
I wouldn’t say it is in a bubble, but I’m not sure it is going to continue steadily upward for much longer.
This is a SWAG, not a researched opinion.
December 2, 2009 at 11:04 AM #489958scaredyclassicParticipantsounds crazy.
ok, not crazy, but gold and the stock market don’t necessarily correlate. the correlation camp probably says, well, there’s all this money floating around that has to land somehwre, and when losses amount from leverage, people sell whatever they can to pay the losses.
true enough. if it’s people that do the buying.
but if this is a seismic shift, if governments are going to be sucking up huge amounts, if big funds are going to step in and try to preserve assets with a gold-not-stocks theory, then there is no reaosn gold canot decouple from stocks.
gold is as valuable as you beleive fiat money to be worth less. i’d say it’s a good bet over the next 3-5 years. and impossible to time.
stocks are limited in some sense by earnings. IMHO maybe not sucha good bet over the next 3-5 years.
deflation will kill stocks, but not necessarily gold…
December 2, 2009 at 11:04 AM #489487scaredyclassicParticipantsounds crazy.
ok, not crazy, but gold and the stock market don’t necessarily correlate. the correlation camp probably says, well, there’s all this money floating around that has to land somehwre, and when losses amount from leverage, people sell whatever they can to pay the losses.
true enough. if it’s people that do the buying.
but if this is a seismic shift, if governments are going to be sucking up huge amounts, if big funds are going to step in and try to preserve assets with a gold-not-stocks theory, then there is no reaosn gold canot decouple from stocks.
gold is as valuable as you beleive fiat money to be worth less. i’d say it’s a good bet over the next 3-5 years. and impossible to time.
stocks are limited in some sense by earnings. IMHO maybe not sucha good bet over the next 3-5 years.
deflation will kill stocks, but not necessarily gold…
December 2, 2009 at 11:04 AM #489320scaredyclassicParticipantsounds crazy.
ok, not crazy, but gold and the stock market don’t necessarily correlate. the correlation camp probably says, well, there’s all this money floating around that has to land somehwre, and when losses amount from leverage, people sell whatever they can to pay the losses.
true enough. if it’s people that do the buying.
but if this is a seismic shift, if governments are going to be sucking up huge amounts, if big funds are going to step in and try to preserve assets with a gold-not-stocks theory, then there is no reaosn gold canot decouple from stocks.
gold is as valuable as you beleive fiat money to be worth less. i’d say it’s a good bet over the next 3-5 years. and impossible to time.
stocks are limited in some sense by earnings. IMHO maybe not sucha good bet over the next 3-5 years.
deflation will kill stocks, but not necessarily gold…
December 2, 2009 at 11:04 AM #489870scaredyclassicParticipantsounds crazy.
ok, not crazy, but gold and the stock market don’t necessarily correlate. the correlation camp probably says, well, there’s all this money floating around that has to land somehwre, and when losses amount from leverage, people sell whatever they can to pay the losses.
true enough. if it’s people that do the buying.
but if this is a seismic shift, if governments are going to be sucking up huge amounts, if big funds are going to step in and try to preserve assets with a gold-not-stocks theory, then there is no reaosn gold canot decouple from stocks.
gold is as valuable as you beleive fiat money to be worth less. i’d say it’s a good bet over the next 3-5 years. and impossible to time.
stocks are limited in some sense by earnings. IMHO maybe not sucha good bet over the next 3-5 years.
deflation will kill stocks, but not necessarily gold…
December 2, 2009 at 11:04 AM #490189scaredyclassicParticipantsounds crazy.
ok, not crazy, but gold and the stock market don’t necessarily correlate. the correlation camp probably says, well, there’s all this money floating around that has to land somehwre, and when losses amount from leverage, people sell whatever they can to pay the losses.
true enough. if it’s people that do the buying.
but if this is a seismic shift, if governments are going to be sucking up huge amounts, if big funds are going to step in and try to preserve assets with a gold-not-stocks theory, then there is no reaosn gold canot decouple from stocks.
gold is as valuable as you beleive fiat money to be worth less. i’d say it’s a good bet over the next 3-5 years. and impossible to time.
stocks are limited in some sense by earnings. IMHO maybe not sucha good bet over the next 3-5 years.
deflation will kill stocks, but not necessarily gold…
December 2, 2009 at 11:22 AM #489900sdduuuudeParticipantI agree, they don’t necessarily correlate, but when the market went bad, it took lots of stuff with it for a few weeks.
December 2, 2009 at 11:22 AM #489988sdduuuudeParticipantI agree, they don’t necessarily correlate, but when the market went bad, it took lots of stuff with it for a few weeks.
December 2, 2009 at 11:22 AM #489517sdduuuudeParticipantI agree, they don’t necessarily correlate, but when the market went bad, it took lots of stuff with it for a few weeks.
December 2, 2009 at 11:22 AM #489350sdduuuudeParticipantI agree, they don’t necessarily correlate, but when the market went bad, it took lots of stuff with it for a few weeks.
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