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May 27, 2010 at 8:15 PM #17499May 27, 2010 at 9:39 PM #555423eavesdropperParticipant
HiggyBaby, the identification of a true cancer “cluster” in a particular geographic area is a rare occurrence. To the average layperson, the 150 cases of cancer in the stated 3-mile radius over a three-year period would appear to qualify as a cluster. Keep in mind, however, that this figure includes many types of cancer, and while all cancers are characterized by uncontrolled growth and spread of abnormal cells, the similarities end there. For all intents and purposes, “cancer” is a hundred completely different diseases, each with its own symptoms, treatments, and prognoses, and all arising from a combination of genetic, molecular, and environmental causes.
The number of cases in Carlsbad is well within normal limits as set forth by epidemiology experts. This does not mean that a cancer cluster, or concomitant disease hazard, do not exist in Carlsbad; simply that the numbers alone fall well short of establishing that condition. The website authors (the parents of a recently-deceased 16-year-old boy) consulted a well-respected epidemiologist from the USC School of Medicine, and have posted Dr. Mack’s letter on their website (under the “Recent News” heading). It has quite a bit of useful information concerning the situation in Carlsbad. You can also log onto the website of the National Cancer Institute for information on cancer clusters: http://www.cancer.gov/cancertopics/factsheet/Risk/clusters
This being said, you may want to seriously reconsider purchasing a home in Carlsbad. It will take an extremely lengthy period of time to conduct the requisite epidemiological studies and, although highly unlikely, the results may indicate the presence of harmful environmental agents that pose a serious health risk. Regardless of the results, the publicity surrounding the situation will continue to build during this period, and will almost certainly affect property values in a negative way.
May 27, 2010 at 9:39 PM #555525eavesdropperParticipantHiggyBaby, the identification of a true cancer “cluster” in a particular geographic area is a rare occurrence. To the average layperson, the 150 cases of cancer in the stated 3-mile radius over a three-year period would appear to qualify as a cluster. Keep in mind, however, that this figure includes many types of cancer, and while all cancers are characterized by uncontrolled growth and spread of abnormal cells, the similarities end there. For all intents and purposes, “cancer” is a hundred completely different diseases, each with its own symptoms, treatments, and prognoses, and all arising from a combination of genetic, molecular, and environmental causes.
The number of cases in Carlsbad is well within normal limits as set forth by epidemiology experts. This does not mean that a cancer cluster, or concomitant disease hazard, do not exist in Carlsbad; simply that the numbers alone fall well short of establishing that condition. The website authors (the parents of a recently-deceased 16-year-old boy) consulted a well-respected epidemiologist from the USC School of Medicine, and have posted Dr. Mack’s letter on their website (under the “Recent News” heading). It has quite a bit of useful information concerning the situation in Carlsbad. You can also log onto the website of the National Cancer Institute for information on cancer clusters: http://www.cancer.gov/cancertopics/factsheet/Risk/clusters
This being said, you may want to seriously reconsider purchasing a home in Carlsbad. It will take an extremely lengthy period of time to conduct the requisite epidemiological studies and, although highly unlikely, the results may indicate the presence of harmful environmental agents that pose a serious health risk. Regardless of the results, the publicity surrounding the situation will continue to build during this period, and will almost certainly affect property values in a negative way.
May 27, 2010 at 9:39 PM #556384eavesdropperParticipantHiggyBaby, the identification of a true cancer “cluster” in a particular geographic area is a rare occurrence. To the average layperson, the 150 cases of cancer in the stated 3-mile radius over a three-year period would appear to qualify as a cluster. Keep in mind, however, that this figure includes many types of cancer, and while all cancers are characterized by uncontrolled growth and spread of abnormal cells, the similarities end there. For all intents and purposes, “cancer” is a hundred completely different diseases, each with its own symptoms, treatments, and prognoses, and all arising from a combination of genetic, molecular, and environmental causes.
The number of cases in Carlsbad is well within normal limits as set forth by epidemiology experts. This does not mean that a cancer cluster, or concomitant disease hazard, do not exist in Carlsbad; simply that the numbers alone fall well short of establishing that condition. The website authors (the parents of a recently-deceased 16-year-old boy) consulted a well-respected epidemiologist from the USC School of Medicine, and have posted Dr. Mack’s letter on their website (under the “Recent News” heading). It has quite a bit of useful information concerning the situation in Carlsbad. You can also log onto the website of the National Cancer Institute for information on cancer clusters: http://www.cancer.gov/cancertopics/factsheet/Risk/clusters
This being said, you may want to seriously reconsider purchasing a home in Carlsbad. It will take an extremely lengthy period of time to conduct the requisite epidemiological studies and, although highly unlikely, the results may indicate the presence of harmful environmental agents that pose a serious health risk. Regardless of the results, the publicity surrounding the situation will continue to build during this period, and will almost certainly affect property values in a negative way.
May 27, 2010 at 9:39 PM #556106eavesdropperParticipantHiggyBaby, the identification of a true cancer “cluster” in a particular geographic area is a rare occurrence. To the average layperson, the 150 cases of cancer in the stated 3-mile radius over a three-year period would appear to qualify as a cluster. Keep in mind, however, that this figure includes many types of cancer, and while all cancers are characterized by uncontrolled growth and spread of abnormal cells, the similarities end there. For all intents and purposes, “cancer” is a hundred completely different diseases, each with its own symptoms, treatments, and prognoses, and all arising from a combination of genetic, molecular, and environmental causes.
The number of cases in Carlsbad is well within normal limits as set forth by epidemiology experts. This does not mean that a cancer cluster, or concomitant disease hazard, do not exist in Carlsbad; simply that the numbers alone fall well short of establishing that condition. The website authors (the parents of a recently-deceased 16-year-old boy) consulted a well-respected epidemiologist from the USC School of Medicine, and have posted Dr. Mack’s letter on their website (under the “Recent News” heading). It has quite a bit of useful information concerning the situation in Carlsbad. You can also log onto the website of the National Cancer Institute for information on cancer clusters: http://www.cancer.gov/cancertopics/factsheet/Risk/clusters
This being said, you may want to seriously reconsider purchasing a home in Carlsbad. It will take an extremely lengthy period of time to conduct the requisite epidemiological studies and, although highly unlikely, the results may indicate the presence of harmful environmental agents that pose a serious health risk. Regardless of the results, the publicity surrounding the situation will continue to build during this period, and will almost certainly affect property values in a negative way.
May 27, 2010 at 9:39 PM #556009eavesdropperParticipantHiggyBaby, the identification of a true cancer “cluster” in a particular geographic area is a rare occurrence. To the average layperson, the 150 cases of cancer in the stated 3-mile radius over a three-year period would appear to qualify as a cluster. Keep in mind, however, that this figure includes many types of cancer, and while all cancers are characterized by uncontrolled growth and spread of abnormal cells, the similarities end there. For all intents and purposes, “cancer” is a hundred completely different diseases, each with its own symptoms, treatments, and prognoses, and all arising from a combination of genetic, molecular, and environmental causes.
The number of cases in Carlsbad is well within normal limits as set forth by epidemiology experts. This does not mean that a cancer cluster, or concomitant disease hazard, do not exist in Carlsbad; simply that the numbers alone fall well short of establishing that condition. The website authors (the parents of a recently-deceased 16-year-old boy) consulted a well-respected epidemiologist from the USC School of Medicine, and have posted Dr. Mack’s letter on their website (under the “Recent News” heading). It has quite a bit of useful information concerning the situation in Carlsbad. You can also log onto the website of the National Cancer Institute for information on cancer clusters: http://www.cancer.gov/cancertopics/factsheet/Risk/clusters
This being said, you may want to seriously reconsider purchasing a home in Carlsbad. It will take an extremely lengthy period of time to conduct the requisite epidemiological studies and, although highly unlikely, the results may indicate the presence of harmful environmental agents that pose a serious health risk. Regardless of the results, the publicity surrounding the situation will continue to build during this period, and will almost certainly affect property values in a negative way.
May 28, 2010 at 6:43 AM #556294freshmanParticipantyes , I heard this news from people working in Carlsbad yestetday too.
May 28, 2010 at 6:43 AM #556574freshmanParticipantyes , I heard this news from people working in Carlsbad yestetday too.
May 28, 2010 at 6:43 AM #556194freshmanParticipantyes , I heard this news from people working in Carlsbad yestetday too.
May 28, 2010 at 6:43 AM #555710freshmanParticipantyes , I heard this news from people working in Carlsbad yestetday too.
May 28, 2010 at 6:43 AM #555609freshmanParticipantyes , I heard this news from people working in Carlsbad yestetday too.
May 28, 2010 at 6:53 AM #555715svelteParticipantSeveral times I’ve traced creeks & rivers and noted they end up in the lagoons in Carlsbad (Buena Vist, Aqua Hedionda) – no surprise there.
The first thought that has always jumped to mind is that any contaminants that have been dumped or washed into those creeks since time began all ends up in those lagoons or out to sea or in the water tables under Carlsbad. There was probably a lot of that going on back before people thought about the long-term effects of dumping. Speaking of which, were there any dumps in the area back in the early 1900s? Did they dump trash in the ocean back then, as they did in northern CA?
Hopefully it is nothing more than a statistical blip as eavesdropper suggests, but I think it certainly deserves a study to eliminate my hypothesis above as the culprit.
May 28, 2010 at 6:53 AM #556199svelteParticipantSeveral times I’ve traced creeks & rivers and noted they end up in the lagoons in Carlsbad (Buena Vist, Aqua Hedionda) – no surprise there.
The first thought that has always jumped to mind is that any contaminants that have been dumped or washed into those creeks since time began all ends up in those lagoons or out to sea or in the water tables under Carlsbad. There was probably a lot of that going on back before people thought about the long-term effects of dumping. Speaking of which, were there any dumps in the area back in the early 1900s? Did they dump trash in the ocean back then, as they did in northern CA?
Hopefully it is nothing more than a statistical blip as eavesdropper suggests, but I think it certainly deserves a study to eliminate my hypothesis above as the culprit.
May 28, 2010 at 6:53 AM #556299svelteParticipantSeveral times I’ve traced creeks & rivers and noted they end up in the lagoons in Carlsbad (Buena Vist, Aqua Hedionda) – no surprise there.
The first thought that has always jumped to mind is that any contaminants that have been dumped or washed into those creeks since time began all ends up in those lagoons or out to sea or in the water tables under Carlsbad. There was probably a lot of that going on back before people thought about the long-term effects of dumping. Speaking of which, were there any dumps in the area back in the early 1900s? Did they dump trash in the ocean back then, as they did in northern CA?
Hopefully it is nothing more than a statistical blip as eavesdropper suggests, but I think it certainly deserves a study to eliminate my hypothesis above as the culprit.
May 28, 2010 at 6:53 AM #556579svelteParticipantSeveral times I’ve traced creeks & rivers and noted they end up in the lagoons in Carlsbad (Buena Vist, Aqua Hedionda) – no surprise there.
The first thought that has always jumped to mind is that any contaminants that have been dumped or washed into those creeks since time began all ends up in those lagoons or out to sea or in the water tables under Carlsbad. There was probably a lot of that going on back before people thought about the long-term effects of dumping. Speaking of which, were there any dumps in the area back in the early 1900s? Did they dump trash in the ocean back then, as they did in northern CA?
Hopefully it is nothing more than a statistical blip as eavesdropper suggests, but I think it certainly deserves a study to eliminate my hypothesis above as the culprit.
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