Bay Park Future?

[GoUSC]

Scripps Ranch was poo-poo’d for a couple reasons…

1. Girlfriend (now fiancee) was concerned about the fire risk. Concerned was actually a very light term. She was/is VERY concerned about it.

2. We decided that we would not be happy living so far from the beach. I grew up in La Jolla, lived in Pacific Beach 9 years after that, currently live in Bay Ho. Going any further east is really not a option we decided.

[DataAgent]

[quote=GoUSC]Scripps Ranch was poo-poo’d for a couple reasons…

1. Girlfriend (now fiancee) was concerned about the fire risk. Concerned was actually a very light term. She was/is VERY concerned about it.

2. We decided that we would not be happy living so far from the beach. I grew up in La Jolla, lived in Pacific Beach 9 years after that, currently live in Bay Ho. Going any further east is really not a option we decided.

[/quote]

My wife had the same concerns and we came to the same conclusion. We now live behind the Costco on Morena Blvd. The area is far from perfect but convenient location won out over a newer / nicer inland location.

Have you looked around Soledad Mtn Rd? After the 2007 landslide, prices have come way down. The area is still pretty pricey but you may find a good deal. Ridgegate seems to be having a price war right now.

[DataAgent]

[quote=GoUSC]Scripps Ranch was poo-poo’d for a couple reasons…

1. Girlfriend (now fiancee) was concerned about the fire risk. Concerned was actually a very light term. She was/is VERY concerned about it.

2. We decided that we would not be happy living so far from the beach. I grew up in La Jolla, lived in Pacific Beach 9 years after that, currently live in Bay Ho. Going any further east is really not a option we decided.

[/quote]

My wife had the same concerns and we came to the same conclusion. We now live behind the Costco on Morena Blvd. The area is far from perfect but convenient location won out over a newer / nicer inland location.

Have you looked around Soledad Mtn Rd? After the 2007 landslide, prices have come way down. The area is still pretty pricey but you may find a good deal. Ridgegate seems to be having a price war right now.

[DataAgent]

[quote=GoUSC]Scripps Ranch was poo-poo’d for a couple reasons…

1. Girlfriend (now fiancee) was concerned about the fire risk. Concerned was actually a very light term. She was/is VERY concerned about it.

2. We decided that we would not be happy living so far from the beach. I grew up in La Jolla, lived in Pacific Beach 9 years after that, currently live in Bay Ho. Going any further east is really not a option we decided.

[/quote]

My wife had the same concerns and we came to the same conclusion. We now live behind the Costco on Morena Blvd. The area is far from perfect but convenient location won out over a newer / nicer inland location.

Have you looked around Soledad Mtn Rd? After the 2007 landslide, prices have come way down. The area is still pretty pricey but you may find a good deal. Ridgegate seems to be having a price war right now.

[DataAgent]

[quote=GoUSC]Scripps Ranch was poo-poo’d for a couple reasons…

1. Girlfriend (now fiancee) was concerned about the fire risk. Concerned was actually a very light term. She was/is VERY concerned about it.

2. We decided that we would not be happy living so far from the beach. I grew up in La Jolla, lived in Pacific Beach 9 years after that, currently live in Bay Ho. Going any further east is really not a option we decided.

[/quote]

My wife had the same concerns and we came to the same conclusion. We now live behind the Costco on Morena Blvd. The area is far from perfect but convenient location won out over a newer / nicer inland location.

Have you looked around Soledad Mtn Rd? After the 2007 landslide, prices have come way down. The area is still pretty pricey but you may find a good deal. Ridgegate seems to be having a price war right now.

[DataAgent]

[quote=GoUSC]Scripps Ranch was poo-poo’d for a couple reasons…

1. Girlfriend (now fiancee) was concerned about the fire risk. Concerned was actually a very light term. She was/is VERY concerned about it.

2. We decided that we would not be happy living so far from the beach. I grew up in La Jolla, lived in Pacific Beach 9 years after that, currently live in Bay Ho. Going any further east is really not a option we decided.

[/quote]

My wife had the same concerns and we came to the same conclusion. We now live behind the Costco on Morena Blvd. The area is far from perfect but convenient location won out over a newer / nicer inland location.

Have you looked around Soledad Mtn Rd? After the 2007 landslide, prices have come way down. The area is still pretty pricey but you may find a good deal. Ridgegate seems to be having a price war right now.

[4plexowner]

I believe Bay Ho, Bay Park and Clairemont will ‘pop’ in the next real estate cycle – we will see people scraping the 1950’s houses and building whatever is considered high-end housing at the time – this trend is especially likely for the view properties in Bay Park / Bay Ho and for the Clairemont houses along the canyon rims

that’s the good news – the bad news is that the next appreciation cycle won’t even start until 2017 or later depending on how numerous economic factors play out (bankruptcy of California and America, loss of reserve status for US dollar, retirement of boomers, peak oil, etc)

~

I hadn’t heard about increased health risks from living around the bay – I tell my kids and visitors to NEVER swim in Mission Bay – I have heard / read (?) that the water does not circulate well through the Bay so the water is relatively stagnant – combine a lack of circulation with the toxic remains of a landfill and you have the potential for a big, nasty, toxic body of water

when I first moved to San Diego 18 years ago I read a story in the Reader about unexplainable and incurable skin rashes and skin conditions that swimmers and surfers were developing – the article attributed the problem to our off-shore dumping of wastewater – made the point that every toilet in every hospital and medical facility in San Diego flushes into the ocean about 2 miles off-shore after the minimal amount of treatment required by law

anybody up for surfing this morning?

~

edit: another water quality issue is the sewage coming up from Tijuana – the beaches along Coronado are closed several (numerous?) times each year because of unhealthy conditions

[4plexowner]

I believe Bay Ho, Bay Park and Clairemont will ‘pop’ in the next real estate cycle – we will see people scraping the 1950’s houses and building whatever is considered high-end housing at the time – this trend is especially likely for the view properties in Bay Park / Bay Ho and for the Clairemont houses along the canyon rims

that’s the good news – the bad news is that the next appreciation cycle won’t even start until 2017 or later depending on how numerous economic factors play out (bankruptcy of California and America, loss of reserve status for US dollar, retirement of boomers, peak oil, etc)

~

I hadn’t heard about increased health risks from living around the bay – I tell my kids and visitors to NEVER swim in Mission Bay – I have heard / read (?) that the water does not circulate well through the Bay so the water is relatively stagnant – combine a lack of circulation with the toxic remains of a landfill and you have the potential for a big, nasty, toxic body of water

when I first moved to San Diego 18 years ago I read a story in the Reader about unexplainable and incurable skin rashes and skin conditions that swimmers and surfers were developing – the article attributed the problem to our off-shore dumping of wastewater – made the point that every toilet in every hospital and medical facility in San Diego flushes into the ocean about 2 miles off-shore after the minimal amount of treatment required by law

anybody up for surfing this morning?

~

edit: another water quality issue is the sewage coming up from Tijuana – the beaches along Coronado are closed several (numerous?) times each year because of unhealthy conditions

[4plexowner]

I believe Bay Ho, Bay Park and Clairemont will ‘pop’ in the next real estate cycle – we will see people scraping the 1950’s houses and building whatever is considered high-end housing at the time – this trend is especially likely for the view properties in Bay Park / Bay Ho and for the Clairemont houses along the canyon rims

that’s the good news – the bad news is that the next appreciation cycle won’t even start until 2017 or later depending on how numerous economic factors play out (bankruptcy of California and America, loss of reserve status for US dollar, retirement of boomers, peak oil, etc)

~

I hadn’t heard about increased health risks from living around the bay – I tell my kids and visitors to NEVER swim in Mission Bay – I have heard / read (?) that the water does not circulate well through the Bay so the water is relatively stagnant – combine a lack of circulation with the toxic remains of a landfill and you have the potential for a big, nasty, toxic body of water

when I first moved to San Diego 18 years ago I read a story in the Reader about unexplainable and incurable skin rashes and skin conditions that swimmers and surfers were developing – the article attributed the problem to our off-shore dumping of wastewater – made the point that every toilet in every hospital and medical facility in San Diego flushes into the ocean about 2 miles off-shore after the minimal amount of treatment required by law

anybody up for surfing this morning?

~

edit: another water quality issue is the sewage coming up from Tijuana – the beaches along Coronado are closed several (numerous?) times each year because of unhealthy conditions

[4plexowner]

I believe Bay Ho, Bay Park and Clairemont will ‘pop’ in the next real estate cycle – we will see people scraping the 1950’s houses and building whatever is considered high-end housing at the time – this trend is especially likely for the view properties in Bay Park / Bay Ho and for the Clairemont houses along the canyon rims

that’s the good news – the bad news is that the next appreciation cycle won’t even start until 2017 or later depending on how numerous economic factors play out (bankruptcy of California and America, loss of reserve status for US dollar, retirement of boomers, peak oil, etc)

~

I hadn’t heard about increased health risks from living around the bay – I tell my kids and visitors to NEVER swim in Mission Bay – I have heard / read (?) that the water does not circulate well through the Bay so the water is relatively stagnant – combine a lack of circulation with the toxic remains of a landfill and you have the potential for a big, nasty, toxic body of water

when I first moved to San Diego 18 years ago I read a story in the Reader about unexplainable and incurable skin rashes and skin conditions that swimmers and surfers were developing – the article attributed the problem to our off-shore dumping of wastewater – made the point that every toilet in every hospital and medical facility in San Diego flushes into the ocean about 2 miles off-shore after the minimal amount of treatment required by law

anybody up for surfing this morning?

~

edit: another water quality issue is the sewage coming up from Tijuana – the beaches along Coronado are closed several (numerous?) times each year because of unhealthy conditions

[4plexowner]

I believe Bay Ho, Bay Park and Clairemont will ‘pop’ in the next real estate cycle – we will see people scraping the 1950’s houses and building whatever is considered high-end housing at the time – this trend is especially likely for the view properties in Bay Park / Bay Ho and for the Clairemont houses along the canyon rims

that’s the good news – the bad news is that the next appreciation cycle won’t even start until 2017 or later depending on how numerous economic factors play out (bankruptcy of California and America, loss of reserve status for US dollar, retirement of boomers, peak oil, etc)

~

I hadn’t heard about increased health risks from living around the bay – I tell my kids and visitors to NEVER swim in Mission Bay – I have heard / read (?) that the water does not circulate well through the Bay so the water is relatively stagnant – combine a lack of circulation with the toxic remains of a landfill and you have the potential for a big, nasty, toxic body of water

when I first moved to San Diego 18 years ago I read a story in the Reader about unexplainable and incurable skin rashes and skin conditions that swimmers and surfers were developing – the article attributed the problem to our off-shore dumping of wastewater – made the point that every toilet in every hospital and medical facility in San Diego flushes into the ocean about 2 miles off-shore after the minimal amount of treatment required by law

anybody up for surfing this morning?

~

edit: another water quality issue is the sewage coming up from Tijuana – the beaches along Coronado are closed several (numerous?) times each year because of unhealthy conditions

[(former)FormerSanDiegan]

I agree with 4plex, except maybe on the timing.
Bay Park is one of few communities that is convenient to central San Diego, with Bay/Ocean Views that is somewhat affordable. I am biased, since I lived there for several years before selling and still hold an old rental property there (my future vacation/retirement home). The Bay/ocean views can be among the best in San Diego for the price. As with most areas within SD Unified, the downside is the schools, particularly the Middle/High schools. Some Elementary Schools (e.g. Bay Park Elementary) were pretty good last time I checked (4+ years ago)

Of course, if you are drawn to new development/suburbia style living this area is not for you. The plus to that is lack of HOA or Mello Roos (I’ve never paid either of these)

During the recent cycle there was a lot of construction activity. There are very few 2/1, 1000 sf originals left, but a decent number of 3 BR original floor plans are left for the next cycle.

Like most neighborhoods, as the altitude increases so do the prices, generally.

I would expect the appreciation leg to start before 2017. I think that by that time construction/remodeling activity would be high, but that is too far out for me to predict.

[(former)FormerSanDiegan]

I agree with 4plex, except maybe on the timing.
Bay Park is one of few communities that is convenient to central San Diego, with Bay/Ocean Views that is somewhat affordable. I am biased, since I lived there for several years before selling and still hold an old rental property there (my future vacation/retirement home). The Bay/ocean views can be among the best in San Diego for the price. As with most areas within SD Unified, the downside is the schools, particularly the Middle/High schools. Some Elementary Schools (e.g. Bay Park Elementary) were pretty good last time I checked (4+ years ago)

Of course, if you are drawn to new development/suburbia style living this area is not for you. The plus to that is lack of HOA or Mello Roos (I’ve never paid either of these)

During the recent cycle there was a lot of construction activity. There are very few 2/1, 1000 sf originals left, but a decent number of 3 BR original floor plans are left for the next cycle.

Like most neighborhoods, as the altitude increases so do the prices, generally.

I would expect the appreciation leg to start before 2017. I think that by that time construction/remodeling activity would be high, but that is too far out for me to predict.

[(former)FormerSanDiegan]

I agree with 4plex, except maybe on the timing.
Bay Park is one of few communities that is convenient to central San Diego, with Bay/Ocean Views that is somewhat affordable. I am biased, since I lived there for several years before selling and still hold an old rental property there (my future vacation/retirement home). The Bay/ocean views can be among the best in San Diego for the price. As with most areas within SD Unified, the downside is the schools, particularly the Middle/High schools. Some Elementary Schools (e.g. Bay Park Elementary) were pretty good last time I checked (4+ years ago)

Of course, if you are drawn to new development/suburbia style living this area is not for you. The plus to that is lack of HOA or Mello Roos (I’ve never paid either of these)

During the recent cycle there was a lot of construction activity. There are very few 2/1, 1000 sf originals left, but a decent number of 3 BR original floor plans are left for the next cycle.

Like most neighborhoods, as the altitude increases so do the prices, generally.

I would expect the appreciation leg to start before 2017. I think that by that time construction/remodeling activity would be high, but that is too far out for me to predict.

[(former)FormerSanDiegan]

I agree with 4plex, except maybe on the timing.
Bay Park is one of few communities that is convenient to central San Diego, with Bay/Ocean Views that is somewhat affordable. I am biased, since I lived there for several years before selling and still hold an old rental property there (my future vacation/retirement home). The Bay/ocean views can be among the best in San Diego for the price. As with most areas within SD Unified, the downside is the schools, particularly the Middle/High schools. Some Elementary Schools (e.g. Bay Park Elementary) were pretty good last time I checked (4+ years ago)

Of course, if you are drawn to new development/suburbia style living this area is not for you. The plus to that is lack of HOA or Mello Roos (I’ve never paid either of these)

During the recent cycle there was a lot of construction activity. There are very few 2/1, 1000 sf originals left, but a decent number of 3 BR original floor plans are left for the next cycle.

Like most neighborhoods, as the altitude increases so do the prices, generally.

I would expect the appreciation leg to start before 2017. I think that by that time construction/remodeling activity would be high, but that is too far out for me to predict.

[Author]

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