Home › Forums › Financial Markets/Economics › 10-Yr 200bps in three days!
- This topic has 20 replies, 3 voices, and was last updated 15 years, 3 months ago by
HLS.
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AuthorPosts
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December 14, 2007 at 12:19 PM #11206
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December 14, 2007 at 12:37 PM #116963
RatherOpinionated
Participant“Treasurys prices slid early Friday on yet another painfully high inflation reading, which further diminishes the prospects of another cut in interest rates any time soon.”
Facing revived inflation pressures, fed funds futures drop,
reducing rate expectations. February, settling down 5 BP at 95.95, priced in about an 80% chance for the FOMC to reduce the funds rate to 4%, from 4.25%, at the Jan. 29-30 meeting. That’s down from about a 100% chance as priced in
at Thursday’s settlement. April fully priced for 4% at the March 18 FOMC meeting, with only about a 28% chance for 3.75%. A day earlier, April priced in about a 46% chance for 3.75%. Settles down 4.5 BP at 96.07.
[img_assist|nid=5758|title=|desc=|link=node|align=left|width=419|height=500] -
December 14, 2007 at 12:37 PM #117094
RatherOpinionated
Participant“Treasurys prices slid early Friday on yet another painfully high inflation reading, which further diminishes the prospects of another cut in interest rates any time soon.”
Facing revived inflation pressures, fed funds futures drop,
reducing rate expectations. February, settling down 5 BP at 95.95, priced in about an 80% chance for the FOMC to reduce the funds rate to 4%, from 4.25%, at the Jan. 29-30 meeting. That’s down from about a 100% chance as priced in
at Thursday’s settlement. April fully priced for 4% at the March 18 FOMC meeting, with only about a 28% chance for 3.75%. A day earlier, April priced in about a 46% chance for 3.75%. Settles down 4.5 BP at 96.07.
[img_assist|nid=5758|title=|desc=|link=node|align=left|width=419|height=500] -
December 14, 2007 at 12:37 PM #117131
RatherOpinionated
Participant“Treasurys prices slid early Friday on yet another painfully high inflation reading, which further diminishes the prospects of another cut in interest rates any time soon.”
Facing revived inflation pressures, fed funds futures drop,
reducing rate expectations. February, settling down 5 BP at 95.95, priced in about an 80% chance for the FOMC to reduce the funds rate to 4%, from 4.25%, at the Jan. 29-30 meeting. That’s down from about a 100% chance as priced in
at Thursday’s settlement. April fully priced for 4% at the March 18 FOMC meeting, with only about a 28% chance for 3.75%. A day earlier, April priced in about a 46% chance for 3.75%. Settles down 4.5 BP at 96.07.
[img_assist|nid=5758|title=|desc=|link=node|align=left|width=419|height=500] -
December 14, 2007 at 12:37 PM #117170
RatherOpinionated
Participant“Treasurys prices slid early Friday on yet another painfully high inflation reading, which further diminishes the prospects of another cut in interest rates any time soon.”
Facing revived inflation pressures, fed funds futures drop,
reducing rate expectations. February, settling down 5 BP at 95.95, priced in about an 80% chance for the FOMC to reduce the funds rate to 4%, from 4.25%, at the Jan. 29-30 meeting. That’s down from about a 100% chance as priced in
at Thursday’s settlement. April fully priced for 4% at the March 18 FOMC meeting, with only about a 28% chance for 3.75%. A day earlier, April priced in about a 46% chance for 3.75%. Settles down 4.5 BP at 96.07.
[img_assist|nid=5758|title=|desc=|link=node|align=left|width=419|height=500] -
December 14, 2007 at 12:37 PM #117186
RatherOpinionated
Participant“Treasurys prices slid early Friday on yet another painfully high inflation reading, which further diminishes the prospects of another cut in interest rates any time soon.”
Facing revived inflation pressures, fed funds futures drop,
reducing rate expectations. February, settling down 5 BP at 95.95, priced in about an 80% chance for the FOMC to reduce the funds rate to 4%, from 4.25%, at the Jan. 29-30 meeting. That’s down from about a 100% chance as priced in
at Thursday’s settlement. April fully priced for 4% at the March 18 FOMC meeting, with only about a 28% chance for 3.75%. A day earlier, April priced in about a 46% chance for 3.75%. Settles down 4.5 BP at 96.07.
[img_assist|nid=5758|title=|desc=|link=node|align=left|width=419|height=500] -
December 14, 2007 at 1:16 PM #116992
HLS
ParticipantRADE,
I think that you mean 20 bps….30 year fixed rates (Conforming) were 5.50% at par about 10 days ago, they are at 6% today.
For those of you that think a FED rate cut lowers long term fixed rates it doesn’t.
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December 14, 2007 at 2:54 PM #117138
GoUSC
ParticipantYeah added a 0 there…Still though that is a HUGE jump in three days.
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December 14, 2007 at 3:36 PM #117183
HLS
ParticipantThere were recent days with 15+ point swings on the same day.
You are looking at uncertainty and fear.A 30 YR fixed rate locked 7 days apart this week vs last week has a HUGE difference in interest over the life of the loan.
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December 14, 2007 at 3:36 PM #117314
HLS
ParticipantThere were recent days with 15+ point swings on the same day.
You are looking at uncertainty and fear.A 30 YR fixed rate locked 7 days apart this week vs last week has a HUGE difference in interest over the life of the loan.
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December 14, 2007 at 3:36 PM #117348
HLS
ParticipantThere were recent days with 15+ point swings on the same day.
You are looking at uncertainty and fear.A 30 YR fixed rate locked 7 days apart this week vs last week has a HUGE difference in interest over the life of the loan.
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December 14, 2007 at 3:36 PM #117390
HLS
ParticipantThere were recent days with 15+ point swings on the same day.
You are looking at uncertainty and fear.A 30 YR fixed rate locked 7 days apart this week vs last week has a HUGE difference in interest over the life of the loan.
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December 14, 2007 at 3:36 PM #117406
HLS
ParticipantThere were recent days with 15+ point swings on the same day.
You are looking at uncertainty and fear.A 30 YR fixed rate locked 7 days apart this week vs last week has a HUGE difference in interest over the life of the loan.
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December 14, 2007 at 2:54 PM #117269
GoUSC
ParticipantYeah added a 0 there…Still though that is a HUGE jump in three days.
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December 14, 2007 at 2:54 PM #117303
GoUSC
ParticipantYeah added a 0 there…Still though that is a HUGE jump in three days.
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December 14, 2007 at 2:54 PM #117345
GoUSC
ParticipantYeah added a 0 there…Still though that is a HUGE jump in three days.
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December 14, 2007 at 2:54 PM #117361
GoUSC
ParticipantYeah added a 0 there…Still though that is a HUGE jump in three days.
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December 14, 2007 at 1:16 PM #117122
HLS
ParticipantRADE,
I think that you mean 20 bps….30 year fixed rates (Conforming) were 5.50% at par about 10 days ago, they are at 6% today.
For those of you that think a FED rate cut lowers long term fixed rates it doesn’t.
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December 14, 2007 at 1:16 PM #117159
HLS
ParticipantRADE,
I think that you mean 20 bps….30 year fixed rates (Conforming) were 5.50% at par about 10 days ago, they are at 6% today.
For those of you that think a FED rate cut lowers long term fixed rates it doesn’t.
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December 14, 2007 at 1:16 PM #117201
HLS
ParticipantRADE,
I think that you mean 20 bps….30 year fixed rates (Conforming) were 5.50% at par about 10 days ago, they are at 6% today.
For those of you that think a FED rate cut lowers long term fixed rates it doesn’t.
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December 14, 2007 at 1:16 PM #117216
HLS
ParticipantRADE,
I think that you mean 20 bps….30 year fixed rates (Conforming) were 5.50% at par about 10 days ago, they are at 6% today.
For those of you that think a FED rate cut lowers long term fixed rates it doesn’t.
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