Where do you buy his book? Does his book include data going back a couple cycles, to prove his method predicts changes in the real estate cycle?
Why does he use a 12 month moving average, instead of ” percent change compared to last year”, like Joseph Ellis does in Ahead of the Curve? A 1-year moving average takes out the seasonal fluctuation, but he could achieve the same result without sacricing recent trends, by using “% change vs. last year”.
NODs and foreclosure sales, like the median price are lagging indicators. Why and how does he use them?
What is the “right level” for moving average? He looks for a certain number, or a reversal of trend?
From what I’ve read here, it sounds interesting enough that I would study his book. Then I can compare my methods, which I’m going to chart soon, to his.
