if you add up students from all of the feeder elementaries, every grade average about 500 students. the middle school is averaging around 500 students per grade as well. that is very consistent at every grade level.
but once you go to Scripps High, suddenly in 9th grade there’s 200 additional kids for a total of over 700 students.
so we know SDUSD is busing in close to 30% of the high school freshman class.
now let’s look at the demographic numbers.
the bulk of Scripps’ population is between 40-60, that population is 12,000 strong. you figure this is also the population that is supplying most of the kids in school.
there’s a sharp drop off in population from 6500 40-50 year olds to 3000 30-40 year olds in Scripps Ranch.
that’s a greater than 50% drop off in population.
so if Scripps Ranch as a community is not replenishing its reproductive population, then the future is a school filled with 50% bused student base.
give it 10-15 years and pull this post up, you’ll see.
