SK and CA you are both spot on. Speculation, pontificating, and opining from the comfort of one’s armchair may satisfy an inner need to understand, rationalize, and justify, but as you both mention the realities–whether deliberately misrepresented, or not–are missing so much detail the wrong conclusions are as likely to be drawn. It’s a good habit to preface one’s opinions with that admission, but then it’s much harder to find any listeners.