siamcat, I agree with you, it’s impossible to know anything to a 100% certainty, especially something as complex as the economy. ps, according to your statement, you say you have data that back up your 100% recession claim. However, has the last 6 recession have the same economic factors? I highly doubt even 2 have the exact same economic variables. Also, with all the current economic variables right now, does it match 100% to any of the last 6 recession? If not, then you can’t claim it to be 100% unless you have a crystal ball or just came back from the future. The economy have hundreds if not thousands of variables, it’s already hard enough predicting something with 2-3 variables with any certainty, much less something with thousands of variables. If you say you’re right on your 100% conviction until we bring data. How about you prove to us with your data of all the variables of the economy. So far, I only see you state of 2-3 variables.
