So we can’t use the “economists have predicted 8 of the past 3 recessions” joke?
Bummer.[/quote]
Haha… in this case, we can’t, because ECRI has been real good about avoiding false positives fwiw.[/quote]
So any newer versions of how the plane crashes into the mountain?
Does the funding-crisis-in-the-offing scenario still stand as likely in your mind?
And dovetailing with that:
Where are you currently landing with regard to endogenous vs exogenous inflation?
I have seen you conflate the 2 in the past (apparently implying that the difference is probably moot–which I partially agree with) but I am curious if those positions have evolved at all.
