Overleveraged bum-losers are actually doing great and could be the seed of the next RE bubble.
Bruce Norris recently told a story happening in Moreno Valley, a person owed $250K on a 2-bedroom house. It went for $57K to one of the Norris Group’s investors, and the owner was given $25,000 to agree to the transaction. After closing costs, the lender netted $23 grand. But the owner who was current on the payment had $25 grand and was able to go buy another house right away since he was just given the money.
And then Bruce gave an example of someone who bought a house back in February for $205,000. This same house has already gone up to $285,000. When they tell this story to their friends who did not receive an $80 grand increase for anything and they began thinking they need to buy something, eventually that’s how the CA RE cycle runs. It almost never stays in a fair value because you will get people migrate into the state when the RE price is rising rather than the other way around. As a rational person, I cannot understand this but that’s how the process goes.