I’m still stickng with my original plan (posted in Oct. aove) with a few adjustments. I got out of CAT and a couple mutual funds in my trading account and only hold DE and BRK alng with some international mutual funds. Lots of cash on the sidelines and hopefully more once a few RE deals close later in 2008. It seems like a good long term (5-10 years) trade will be the companies that benefit from emerging middle class in India, China, etc. Should mean higher corn, wheat, meat prices as they inprove their diets. Railroads should benefit, fertilizer companies, DE, etc. I’m looking for some ETF’s that might fit that model. Anyone have any ideas?
Financials were actually th best performing sector last week despite the bad news which could signal something close to a bottom for them, but I doubt it. I think the BA buyout of CFC may lend some transparency to the entire financial sector over the next 6-9 months. They aren’t expected to close until the 3rd qtr. so BA will have time to uncover every blemish on Angelo’s arse during that time (sorry for the visual). Meanwhile I expect the write offs to continue for at least the first 2 qtr’s of ’08.
A good trade might be the bonds of some these financials and hombuilders although many have already rallied.
My cash earning 5% is now earning about 3.5% so that’s dead money. Need to put it to work.
