typical time from peak to trough in SoCal is 6 or 7 years
2006/7 plus 6 or 7 takes us to 2012 to 2014 for the next trough
then we scrape along the bottom for 2 or 3 years so we are looking at 2014 to 2017 when the next appreciation cycle starts (not peaks)
~
it isn’t relevant to this thread but I don’t understand how people can think we have reached a bottom in 2009 only 2 or 3 years after the peak
and that’s without going into the magnitude of the cycle that peaked in 2006/7 – it might be reasonable to expect a larger (longer?) than normal down cycle after the bursting of the largest real estate bubble the planet has ever seen
