While Nate Silver might have a decent track record in the past he was horribly wrong about Trump in the Republican primaries. I do think Hillary is going to win and the democrats will do pretty well. Voter turnout is probably going to be low for this election. No one seems to be very enthusiastic about this election. Hillary probably wins the popular vote like 63-64 million to 59-60 for Trump. That will be lower than Obama’s 2008 (69 to 60) or 2012 (66 to 61) victories. I don’t want to predict electoral because it involves too much research, let Nate Silver figure that out. He’ll probably be close but it will be closer than his prediction.
