If the republican party does anything that isn’t nominating Trump and backing him hard they’re are likely to lose the election in a landslide. If they do nominate Trump and get behind him I think we could see an interesting close election.[/quote]
And the winner is Trump. If he wins the White House, he’s a huge winner. But if he loses, either the nomination or the presidency, he will blame the “elite” party establishment. Kinda brilliant on his part.
I read that, in order to win the White House, Trump needs about 20% of the black vote. Blacks have been hurt by free trade so he could win some of them by promising to rip up trade agreements. But his campaign is seen as too much driven by disaffected Whites.[/quote]
One thing to always remember is that we elect our president by the electoral college. At the end of the day, only a few states will decide the election. Depending on those states which are swing states, our president is selected. I believe Trump, with how the past free trade deals have gone may take some blue states that supported democrats in the past (like Bernie taking Michigan)…
Also, a lot of the African American state votes in the deep south, I think when I was looking at it hasn’t voted for a democrat in like 30-50 years. Maybe they will switch now, but if you look at the chart, most likely won’t go Clinton neither.
I also wonder for an African American, would they actually like immigrants and Latinos considering they probably feel they are taking their lower income job?
All that said, women are the big problem since he is at a much lower desirability than 2012 with Romney.
It’s also unknown how Bernie’s supporters will vote. I know personally, I won’t vote for Hillary so I will probably not vote at all, and if the 8 or 9 million decide to stay home who are Bernie supporters, that would hurt Hillary a lot sin
I also know “educated” “professional” “well-paid” people supporting Trump for various reasons. Like people who support Hillary just to not vote Trump, you have the people who will vote Trump just to not see Hillary win.
Honestly, what I would REALLY like to see is both Trump AND Bernie Sanders run independent campaigns against Cruz and Hillary. That’d be a sight to see. Bernie can fund raise over the Internet, Trump may/can do the same with his supporters perhaps…
I have said it before, but our system is rigged since only a Republican or Democrat can win. In a lot of primaries, you can’t even vote unless you are registered as a dem or rep so ultimately, for the 50% of people who are independent or non-partisan voters, you are left with little/no choice to run your nation.
When studies were done on this, it was shown that it was simply impossible to run and win as a third party candidate due to how the rules are set and this is why both Trump and Sanders are running for the republican/democratic nomination to begin with when they both probably, on the issues are independent…
I say all 4 should just run and see who wins that vote…
