[quote=The-Shoveler]Soo you think NK will not have the ability to develop this on their own?
(or buy talent?)
Having the ability to take out “one” Individual in a crowd (reliably) may take a long time but to take out anything that looks human in a given city probably not so long.[/quote]
I don’t think NK has the ability to develop significant new tech on their own, but they have shown the ability to buy or hire talent – possibly from China, maybe Russia through their respective black markets. I alluded to that in my comments. To pick out one individual in a crowd is already there. The British police cams can do that and Apple has face recognition for their phones (allows ones face to unlock phone). Picking out human forms is already there – Google’s driving algorithms can detect and differentiate/id between cars, buses, people riding bikes, bikes on the side, animals, people walking in sidewalks.
Watch this: emphasis on time index 0:34. Yellow boxes are people walking, red box is person on bike, purple boxes are cars, series of red boxes on ground represent a ‘control zone’. It is also identifying stoplights and ‘reading’ them as well as stop signs. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MqUbdd7ae54
So on both counts we are already there. My argument goes along the lines of – lets take the required form ‘size’ for something with that capability takes up the space of a Predator drone. I feel that I am within reasonable range of that considering that Googles unit runs in a box smaller than a suitcase in a car, Apple’s face id is a phone app, the Predator already has propulsion, weapons, comm etc. Apply Moore’s law of increasing density to approx required size in implementation. A Predator drone is 55′ wide by 27′ long – approx 1,485 total horizontal area which can be represented by about 38′ on a side. In two years, Moore’s law would indicate that it would be 19′ on a side, four years 9.5′ on a side, 6 years would be 4.75′ on a side, 8 years would be 2.375′ on a side, 10 years would be 1.8′ on a side.
Now there is one big problem with what I mentioned above. That is that the Predator’s guidance, surveillance and weapons control package is about 1.5′ by 1.5′ by 3′, not 27′ by 55′. All the rest is the plane including fuel for long range operations. That means we may already be close the the 8 year mark that I mentioned above. As for smaller drones that spy, this is 2011 (reminder it is currently 2017 now)
