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  1. jpinpb
    March 22, 2009 @ 9:10 AM

    I posted this on another
    I posted this on another thread, but better here:

    These are reported numbers. We know that number is higher b/c it doesn’t factor in when you can’t refile. Although I heard they have extended that to something ridiculous like 36 months. But of course, the longer you are unemployed the harder it is to find a job. Double-edge sword there.

    As I stated also, you can’t file unemployment if you’re a small business owner closing shop, if you are self-employed, if you work under the table, if you are a full-time student working part time and lose your job. I did hear if you were full time, reduced to part time, you can try to get unemployment to help w/the diff. Not 100% sure. Not sure how that’ll work w/forced furlough.

    • peterb
      March 22, 2009 @ 9:29 AM

      You can go onto the BLS
      You can go onto the BLS website and see the other ways they calculate unemployment. The number they pump out to the MSM is called the U-3 number. The number that reflects reality is called the U-6 number. The U-6 is listed on their website for all to see who care to go look. I think it’s now pushing 15%.

      • jpinpb
        March 22, 2009 @ 9:38 AM

        I went to their website. I’m
        I went to their website. I’m having trouble locating U-6. Do you have a link?

        Edit – found it. 14.8

        Thanks

      • jpinpb
        March 22, 2009 @ 12:39 PM

        According to Dr. Housing was
        According to Dr. Housing was are at 19.1%

      • peterb
        March 22, 2009 @ 1:27 PM

        Nice find! This is very good
        Nice find! This is very good analytical work. I’ve bookmarked it. Thanks.

      • jpinpb
        March 22, 2009 @ 2:20 PM

        I can’t take credit for it.
        I can’t take credit for it. MW emailed me it. Had to share.

  2. Anonymous
    March 23, 2009 @ 8:43 AM

    DrHousingbubble on his
    DrHousingbubble on his website this weekend had California unemployment using u-6 at 19-20 percent. Nationally around 14-15.

    Those figure will do wonder to people trying to sell their house this year as they get worse.

    Carmel Valley. Get ready for option recast this fall. Your house could be next to fall 30-40 percent over the next few years.

    • peterb
      March 24, 2009 @ 9:40 AM

      We’ll see the more expensive
      We’ll see the more expensive zip codes get hit as unemployment reaches out and touches higher income people. At 20% unemployment, it’s gotta reach a few pretty quickly.

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