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Troubled LonerParticipant
I visited their website to see if there were reserves on the properties, or if banks were allowed to bid up prices (this was present in the last auction we saw a few months ago). I did not find anything that addressed this, do any of you know if this auction will have unknown reserves and/or if banks are bidding up prices?
If not, I view the auction as a way to kind of see where the market is right now.
Troubled LonerParticipantI visited their website to see if there were reserves on the properties, or if banks were allowed to bid up prices (this was present in the last auction we saw a few months ago). I did not find anything that addressed this, do any of you know if this auction will have unknown reserves and/or if banks are bidding up prices?
If not, I view the auction as a way to kind of see where the market is right now.
Troubled LonerParticipantI visited their website to see if there were reserves on the properties, or if banks were allowed to bid up prices (this was present in the last auction we saw a few months ago). I did not find anything that addressed this, do any of you know if this auction will have unknown reserves and/or if banks are bidding up prices?
If not, I view the auction as a way to kind of see where the market is right now.
Troubled LonerParticipantNSR,
The banks are just waiting for the market to start picking up again, then they will sell those REO’s at a healthy profit. Should be happening very soon, since we’re at or near bottom (I heard it from Treasury Secretary Paulson)
Troubled LonerParticipantNSR,
The banks are just waiting for the market to start picking up again, then they will sell those REO’s at a healthy profit. Should be happening very soon, since we’re at or near bottom (I heard it from Treasury Secretary Paulson)
Troubled LonerParticipantToo many people will not have the luxury of waiting this cycle out, as homeowners did in the early nineties. We are going to see a growing number of banks and homeowners that will have to sell, adding more to inventory, forcing prices downward, and spooking out potential buyers.
My opinion is that we see an accelerated downturn in prices towards the end of this year, bottoming out (getting to rational fundamental prices) by the end of 2008, and then hanging out on that bottom for 5 or 6 years. I don’t think we will see todays prices for at least 10 years, unless wages and inflation rise significantly.
It hasn’t gotten bad yet, there are still people who think that homes are really worth what they’re selling for in SD. There are people who think now is a good time to buy before prices start going up again. The psychology hasn’t shifted yet, when it does, it will be ugly. How many of us remember what it was like in the early-mid 90’s? The last thing anyone wanted to do then was buy a home.
Troubled LonerParticipantToo many people will not have the luxury of waiting this cycle out, as homeowners did in the early nineties. We are going to see a growing number of banks and homeowners that will have to sell, adding more to inventory, forcing prices downward, and spooking out potential buyers.
My opinion is that we see an accelerated downturn in prices towards the end of this year, bottoming out (getting to rational fundamental prices) by the end of 2008, and then hanging out on that bottom for 5 or 6 years. I don’t think we will see todays prices for at least 10 years, unless wages and inflation rise significantly.
It hasn’t gotten bad yet, there are still people who think that homes are really worth what they’re selling for in SD. There are people who think now is a good time to buy before prices start going up again. The psychology hasn’t shifted yet, when it does, it will be ugly. How many of us remember what it was like in the early-mid 90’s? The last thing anyone wanted to do then was buy a home.
May 24, 2007 at 10:41 AM in reply to: Home Sales Soar by Record Amount . . . Are you kidding me? #54767Troubled LonerParticipantNew home sales stats are a joke because what is counted as a sale is when someone makes their initial agreement and deposit. It does not take into account that many of the buyers will not follow through with their purchase. With cancellations running as high as ~35%, the stats are meaningless.
May 24, 2007 at 10:41 AM in reply to: Home Sales Soar by Record Amount . . . Are you kidding me? #54752Troubled LonerParticipantNew home sales stats are a joke because what is counted as a sale is when someone makes their initial agreement and deposit. It does not take into account that many of the buyers will not follow through with their purchase. With cancellations running as high as ~35%, the stats are meaningless.
Troubled LonerParticipantOverall, it looks like there are still a few idiots left out there…
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